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We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) provides asymptotically consistent estimates of intractable posterior expectations as the number of iterations tends to infinity. However, in large data applications, MCMC can be computationally expensive per…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-11-03 Niloy Biswas , Lester Mackey

We present simple to implement Wald-type statistics that deliver a general nonparametric inference theory for linear restrictions on varying coefficients in a range of regression models allowing for cross-sectional or spatial dependence. We…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-27 Abhimanyu Gupta , Xi Qu , Sorawoot Srisuma , Jiajun Zhang

Let $\nu\in M^1([0,\infty[)$ be a fixed probability measure. For each dimension $p\in \mathbb{N}$, let $(X_n^{p})_{n\geq1}$ be i.i.d. $\mathbb{R}^p$-valued random variables with radially symmetric distributions and radial distribution…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-20 Waldemar Grundmann

Suppose one has a collection of parameters indexed by a (possibly infinite dimensional) set. Given data generated from some distribution, the objective is to estimate the maximal parameter in this collection evaluated at this distribution.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-26 Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are known to be sensitive to parameter specification. Distributionally robust MDPs alleviate this issue by allowing for \emph{ambiguity sets} which give a set of possible distributions over parameter sets.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-05-05 Julien Grand-Clément , Christian Kroer

To avoid poor empirical performance in Metropolis-Hastings and other accept-reject-based algorithms practitioners often tune them by trial and error. Lower bounds on the convergence rate are developed in both total variation and Wasserstein…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-04 Austin Brown , Galin L. Jones

Motivated by the stochastic block model, we investigate a class of Wigner-type matrices with certain block structures, and establish a CLT for the corresponding linear spectral statistics via the large-deviation bounds from local law and…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-26 Zhenggang Wang , Jianfeng Yao

We show that the two-stage minimum description length (MDL) criterion widely used to estimate linear change-point (CP) models corresponds to the marginal likelihood of a Bayesian model with a specific class of prior distributions. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-09 David Ardia , Arnaud Dufays , Carlos Ordas Criado

Change point detection for time series analysis is a difficult and important problem in applied statistics, for which a variety of approaches have been developed in the past several decades. Here, the Wasserstein metric is employed as a…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-03 David Gentile , Joshua Huang , James M. Murphy

Optimal transport and the Wasserstein distance $\mathcal{W}_p$ have recently seen a number of applications in the fields of statistics, machine learning, data science, and the physical sciences. These applications are however severely…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-24 Ruiyu Han , Cynthia Rush , Johannes Wiesel

In this paper, we establish the convergence rate in central limit theorem (CLT) for linearly extended negative quadrant dependent (LENQD) random variables (rv's). Under some weak conditions, the rate of normal approximation is shown as…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-22 Mohamed Kaber El Alem , Zohra Guessoum , Abdelkader Tatachak , Ourida Sadki

This paper develops asymptotic theory for quantile estimation via stochastic gradient descent (SGD) with a constant learning rate. The quantile loss function is neither smooth nor strongly convex. Beyond conventional perspectives and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-06 Ziyang Wei , Jiaqi Li , Likai Chen , Wei Biao Wu

We prove Berry-Esseen type rates of convergence for central limit theorems (CLTs) of regenerative processes which generalize previous results of Bolthausen under weaker moment assumptions. We then show how this general result can be applied…

概率论 · 数学 2017-10-03 Xiaoqin Guo , Jonathon Peterson

A quantum analogue of the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for bosonic system, first introduced by Cushen and Hudson (1971), states that the $n$-fold convolution $\rho^{\boxplus n}$ of an $m$-mode quantum state $\rho$, with zero first moments…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-05-11 Salman Beigi , Milad M. Goodarzi , Hami Mehrabi

In this paper, we provide sufficient conditions for the existence of the invariant distribution and for subgeometric rates of convergence in Wasserstein distance for general state-space Markov chains which are (possibly) not irreducible.…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-15 Alain Durmus , Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines

Optimal transport and Wasserstein distances are flourishing in many scientific fields as a means for comparing and connecting random structures. Here we pioneer the use of an optimal transport distance between L\'{e}vy measures to solve a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-18 Marta Catalano , Hugo Lavenant , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

Learning conditional densities and identifying factors that influence the entire distribution are vital tasks in data-driven applications. Conventional approaches work mostly with summary statistics, and are hence inadequate for a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-13 Chengliang Tang , Nathan Lenssen , Ying Wei , Tian Zheng

In this work, we provide non-asymptotic bounds for the average speed of convergence of the empirical measure in the law of large numbers, in Wasserstein distance. We also consider occupation measures of ergodic Markov chains. One motivation…

概率论 · 数学 2011-05-27 Emmanuel Boissard , Thibaut Le Gouic

Classical Edgeworth expansions provide asymptotic correction terms to the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) up to an order that depends on the number of moments available. In this paper, we provide subsequent correction terms beyond those given…

概率论 · 数学 2011-03-23 Henry Lam , Jose Blanchet , Damian Burch , Martin Z. Bazant