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We observe the actions of a $K$ sub-sample of $N$ individuals up to time $t$ for some large $K\le N$. We model the relationships of individuals by i.i.d. Bernoulli($p$)-random variables, where $p\in (0,1]$ is an unknown parameter. The rate…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-20 Chenguang Liu

We observe the actions of a $K$ sub-sample of $N$ individuals up to time $t$ for some large $K<N$. We model the relationships of individuals by i.i.d. Bernoulli($p$)-random variables, where $p\in (0,1]$ is an unknown parameter. The rate of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-15 Chenguang Liu

We consider a population of $N$ individuals, of which we observe the number of actions as time evolves. For each couple of individuals $(i,j)$, $j$ may or not influence $i$, which we model by i.i.d. Bernoulli$(p)$-random variables, for some…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-28 Sylvain Delattre , Nicolas Fournier

We prove a central limit type theorem for critical marked Hawkes processes. We study the case where the marks are i.i.d. with nonnegative values and their common distribution is either heavy tailed or has finite variance. The kernel…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-05 Anna Talarczyk

Hawkes process is a self-exciting point process with clustering effect whose intensity depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in neuroscience, finance and many other fields. In this paper, we obtain a functional…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-16 Lingjiong Zhu

A univariate Hawkes process is a simple point process that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process is given by the sum of a baseline intensity and another term that depends on the entire past history…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-04 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

We prove that the long-run behavior of Hawkes processes is fully determined by the average number and the dispersion of child events. For subcritical processes we provide FLLNs and FCLTs under minimal conditions on the kernel of the process…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-31 Ulrich Horst , Wei Xu

We generalize multivariate Hawkes processes mainly by including a dependence with respect to the age of the process, i.e. the delay since the last point. Within this class, we investigate the limit behaviour, when n goes to infinity, of a…

概率论 · 数学 2017-03-16 Julien Chevallier

We investigate the asymptotic behaviour of networks of interacting non-linear Hawkes processes modeling a homogeneous population of neurons in the large population limit. In particular, we prove a functional central limit theorem for the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-06 Sophie Heesen , Wilhelm Stannat

The propagation of chaos and associated law of large numbers for mean-field interacting age-dependent Hawkes processes (when the number of processes n goes to +$\infty$) being granted by the study performed in (Chevallier, 2015), the aim of…

概率论 · 数学 2016-11-08 Julien Chevallier

We study a multivariate, non-linear Hawkes process $Z^N$ on the complete graph with $N$ nodes. Each vertex is either excitatory (probability $p$) or inhibitory (probability $1-p$). We take the mean-field limit of $Z^N$, leading to a…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-14 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Stefan Rotter , Jakob Stiefel

We generalise the construction of multivariate Hawkes processes to a possibly infinite network of counting processes on a directed graph $\mathbb G$. The process is constructed as the solution to a system of Poisson driven stochastic…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-25 Sylvain Delattre , Nicolas Fournier , Marc Hoffmann

We study large time behavior of critical marked Hawkes processes and related branching particle systems. In case of marked Hawkes processes we assume that the kernel function has multiplicative form and the marks corresponding to the events…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-05 Anna Talarczyk

We prove a law of large numbers and a functional central limit theorem for multivariate Hawkes processes observed over a time interval $[0,T]$ in the limit $T \rightarrow \infty$. We further exhibit the asymptotic behaviour of the…

概率论 · 数学 2012-02-07 Emmanuel Bacry , Sylvain Delattre , Marc Hoffmann , Jean François Muzy

In this article, we study an interacting particle system in the context of epidemiology where the individuals (particles) are characterized by their position and infection state. We begin with a description at the microscopic level where…

概率论 · 数学 2022-12-06 Maxime Hauray , Etienne Pardoux , Yen V. Vuong

We introduce and show the existence of a Hawkes self-exciting point process with exponentially-decreasing kernel and where parameters are time-varying. The quantity of interest is defined as the integrated parameter…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-06-28 Simon Clinet , Yoann Potiron

We establish a functional weak law of large numbers for observable macroscopic state variables of interacting particle systems (e.g., voter and contact processes) over fast time-varying sparse random networks of interactions. We show that,…

概率论 · 数学 2017-03-01 Augusto Almeida Santos , Soummya Kar , José M. F. Moura , João Xavier

In the present work, we introduce a general class of mean-field interacting nonlinear Hawkes processes modelling the reciprocal interactions between two neuronal populations, one excitatory and one inhibitory. The model incorporates two…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-25 Céline Duval , Eric Luçon , Christophe Pouzat

In this paper we consider some non linear Hawkes processes with signed reproduction function (or memory kernel) thus exhibiting both self-excitation and inhibition. We provide a Law of Large Numbers, a Central Limit Theorem and large…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-06 Patrick Cattiaux , Laetitia Colombani , Manon Costa

The Hawkes process is a self-exciting sample point process. It has wide applications in finance, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. With the development of storage technology, data-driven models are attracting…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-23 Haixu Wang
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