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This paper proposes an adaptive sparse polynomial chaos expansion(PCE)-based method to quantify the impacts of uncertainties on critical clearing time (CCT) that is an important index in transient stability analysis. The proposed method can…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-06-10 Jingyu Liu , Xiaoting Wang , Xiaozhe Wang

The increasing uncertainty level caused by growing renewable energy sources (RES) and aging transmission networks poses a great challenge in the assessment of total transfer capability (TTC) and available transfer capability (ATC). In this…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-10-29 Xiaoting Wang , Xiaozhe Wang , Hao Sheng , Xi Lin

Many physics and engineering applications demand Partial Differential Equations (PDE) property evaluations that are traditionally computed with resource-intensive high-fidelity numerical solvers. Data-driven surrogate models provide an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-18 Raphaël Pestourie , Youssef Mroueh , Chris Rackauckas , Payel Das , Steven G. Johnson

We present a regression technique for data-driven problems based on polynomial chaos expansion (PCE). PCE is a popular technique in the field of uncertainty quantification (UQ), where it is typically used to replace a runnable but expensive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-02 E. Torre , S. Marelli , P. Embrechts , B. Sudret

We propose a non-intrusive reduced-order modeling method based on proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) and polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) for stochastic representations in uncertainty quantification (UQ) analysis. Firstly, POD provides…

计算物理 · 物理学 2021-07-02 Xiang Sun , Xiaomin Pan , Jung-Il Choi

In an ever-increasing interest for Machine Learning (ML) and a favorable data development context, we here propose an original methodology for data-based prediction of two-dimensional physical fields. Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE),…

计算物理 · 物理学 2021-02-03 Rem-Sophia Mouradi , Cédric Goeury , Olivier Thual , Fabrice Zaoui , Pablo Tassi

Implementations of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods need to confront two fundamental challenges: accurate representation of prior information and efficient evaluation of likelihoods. Principal component analysis (PCA) and related…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-10-20 Giovanni Angelo Meles , Macarena Amaya , Shiran Levy , Stefano Marelli , Niklas Linde

The algorithm "automated compression of environments" (ACE) [Nat. Phys. 18, 662 (2022)] provides a versatile way of simulating an extremely broad class of open quantum systems. This is achieved by encapsulating the influence of the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-05-01 Moritz Cygorek , Brendon W. Lovett , Jonathan Keeling , Erik M. Gauger

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are well-suited to quantifying uncertainty in models parameterized by independent random variables. The assumption of independence leads to simple strategies for evaluating PCE coefficients. In contrast,…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-05-04 John Jakeman , Fabian Franzelin , Akil Narayan , Michael Eldred , Dirk Plfueger

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCEs) have been used in many real-world engineering applications to quantify how the uncertainty of an output is propagated from inputs. PCEs for models with independent inputs have been extensively explored in…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-06-02 Zhanlin Liu , Youngjun Choe

Parallel surrogate optimization algorithms have proven to be efficient methods for solving expensive noisy optimization problems. In this work we develop a new parallel surrogate optimization algorithm (ProSRS), using a novel tree-based…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-08-22 Chenchao Shou , Matthew West

Linear structural causal models (SCMs) are used to express and analyse the relationships between random variables. Direct causal effects are represented as directed edges and confounding factors as bidirected edges. Identifying the causal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-03-06 Aaryan Gupta , Markus Bläser

This work develops a novel basis-adaptive method for constructing anisotropic polynomial chaos expansions of multidimensional (vector-valued, multi-output) model responses. The adaptive basis selection is based on multivariate sensitivity…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-10-11 Dimitrios Loukrezis , Eric Diehl , Herbert De Gersem

Human exposure induced by wireless communication systems increasingly draws the public attention. Here, an indoor down-link scenario is concerned and the exposure level is statistically analyzed. The electromagnetic field (EMF) emitted by a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-04-14 Zicheng Liu , Dominique Lesselier , Bruno Sudret , Joe Wiart

As uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of complex models grows ever more important, the difficulty of their timely realizations highlights a need for more efficient numerical operations. Non-intrusive Polynomial Chaos methods are highly…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-04-14 Konstantin Weise , Erik Müller , Lucas Poßner , Thomas R. Knösche

This paper analyzes the effects of input uncertainties on the outputs of a three dimensional natural convection problem in a differentially heated cubical enclosure. Two different cases are considered for parameter uncertainty propagation…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2020-10-06 Shantanu Shahane , Narayana R. Aluru , Surya Pratap Vanka

In this work we introduce a manifold learning-based surrogate modeling framework for uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional stochastic systems. Our first goal is to perform data mining on the available simulation data to identify a…

In this paper, we investigate adaptive nonlinear regression and introduce tree based piecewise linear regression algorithms that are highly efficient and provide significantly improved performance with guaranteed upper bounds in an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-12-30 N. Denizcan Vanli , Suleyman S. Kozat

In complex and unknown processes, global models are initially generated over the entire experimental space but often fail to provide accurate predictions in local areas. A common approach is to use local models, which requires partitioning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-29 Dominik Polke , Tim Kösters , Elmar Ahle , Dirk Söffker

Preferential Bayesian Optimization (PBO) aims to find a decision-maker's most preferred solution in as few pairwise comparisons as possible. Existing approaches rely on Gaussian Process (GP) surrogates, which provide strong performance but…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-11 Nick Leenders , Thomas Quadt , Boris Cule , Roy Lindelauf , Herman Monsuur , Joost van Oijen , Mark Voskuijl