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This paper examines the possibility of using derivative-implied risk premia to explain stock returns. The rapid development of derivative markets has led to the possibility of trading various kinds of risks, such as credit and interest rate…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2010-06-01 Florian Steiger

We find that factors explaining bank loan recovery rates vary depending on the state of the economic cycle. Our modeling approach incorporates a two-state Markov switching mechanism as a proxy for the latent credit cycle, helping to explain…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-04-20 Hong Wang , Catherine S. Forbes , Jean-Pierre Fenech , John Vaz

Using a comprehensive dataset collected by the Federal Reserve, I find that over one-third of corporate loans issued by US banks are fully guaranteed by legal entities separate from borrowing firms. Using an empirical strategy that accounts…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-18 Mehdi Beyhaghi

This article proposes a method for measuring the latent risks involved in the recovery process of non performing loans in financial institutions and business firms that deal with collection and recovery processes. To that end, we apply the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-08-20 Mauro R. Oliveira , Francisco Louzada

We study a credit risk model which captures effects of economic interactions on a firm's default probability. Economic interactions are represented as a functionally defined graph, and the existence of both cooperative, and competitive,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-11 J. P. L. Hatchett , R. Kuehn

Due to the variety of corporate risks in turmoil markets and the consequent financial distress especially in COVID-19 time, this paper investigates corporate resilience and compares different types of resilience that can be potential…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-03-26 Elham Daadmehr

The instability of the financial system as experienced in recent years and in previous periods is often linked to credit defaults, i.e., to the failure of obligors to make promised payments. Given the large number of credit contracts, this…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-06-17 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

We give a detailed account of correlations between credit sector/quality and treasury curve factors, using the robust framework of the Barclays POINT Global Risk Model. Consistent with earlier studies, we find a strong negative correlation…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2013-12-06 Arthur M. Berd , Elena Ranguelova , Antonio Baldaque da Silva

The hypothesis that committed revolving credit lines with fixed spreads can provide firms with interest rate insurance is a standard feature of models on these credit facilities' interest rate structure. Nevertheless, this hypothesis has…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-24 Miguel A. Duran

We study a simple, solvable model that allows us to investigate effects of credit contagion on the default probability of individual firms, in both portfolios of firms and on an economy wide scale. While the effect of interactions may be…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 J. P. L. Hatchett , R. Kuehn

In this paper, we propose a method that provides a useful technique to compare relationship between risks involved that takes customer become defaulter and debt collection process that might make this defaulter recovered. Through estimation…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-08-20 Mauro R. Oliveira , Francisco Louzada

Optimal reinsurance when Value at Risk and expected surplus is balanced through their ratio is studied, and it is demonstrated how results for risk-adjusted surplus can be utilized. Simplifications for large portfolios are derived, and this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-12-10 Erik Bølviken , Yinzhi Wang

Systemic risk in banking systems remains a crucial issue that it has not been completely understood. In our toy model, banks are exposed to two sources of risks, namely, market risk from their investments in assets external to the banking…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-02-24 Aki-Hiro Sato , Paolo Tasca , Takashi Isogai

Risk aversion and insurance are two prominent and interconnected concepts in economics and finance. To explore their fundamental connection, we introduce risk-insurance parity, which associates various classes of insurance contracts with…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-11 Benjamin Côté , Ruodu Wang , Qinyu Wu

Return-risk models are the two pillars of modern portfolio theory, which are widely used to make decisions in choosing the loan portfolio of a bank. Banks and other financial institutions are subjected to limited liability protection.…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2022-09-27 Deb Narayan Barik , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

Counterparty risk denotes the risk that a party defaults in a bilateral contract. This risk not only depends on the two parties involved, but also on the risk from various other contracts each of these parties holds. In rather informal…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-09-16 Vahan Nanumyan , Antonios Garas , Frank Schweitzer

The current research on credit risk is primarily focused on modeling default probabilities. Recovery rates are often treated as an afterthought; they are modeled independently, in many cases they are even assumed constant. This is despite…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2012-10-16 Rudi Schäfer , Alexander F. R. Koivusalo

Loan seasoning and inefficient consumer interest rate refinance behavior are well-known for mortgages. Consumer automobile loans, which are collateralized loans on a rapidly depreciating asset, have attracted less attention, however. We…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-24 Jackson P. Lautier , Vladimir Pozdnyakov , Jun Yan

The risk of a credit portfolio depends crucially on correlations between the probability of default (PD) in different economic sectors. Often, PD correlations have to be estimated from relatively short time series of default rates, and the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Bernd Rosenow , Rafael Weissbach , Frank Altrock

We consider a market consisting of one safe and one risky asset, which offer constant investment opportunities. Taking into account both proportional transaction costs and linear price impact, we derive optimal rebalancing policies for…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2017-09-05 Ren Liu , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Marko H. Weber
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