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We propose a frequentist adaptive phase 2 trial design to evaluate the safety and efficacy of three treatment regimens (doses) compared to placebo for four types of helminth (worm) infections. This trial will be carried out in four…

Two useful strategies to speed up drug development are to increase the patient accrual rate and use novel adaptive designs. Unfortunately, these two strategies often conflict when the evaluation of the outcome cannot keep pace with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-24 Ruitao Lin , Ying Yuan

Adaptive experiments are used extensively in online platforms, healthcare and biotechnology, and a variety of other settings. In many of these applications, the main goal is not to precisely estimate a treatment effect, but to demonstrate…

In clinical trials, response-adaptive randomization (RAR) has the appealing ability to assign more subjects to better-performing treatments based on interim results. The traditional RAR strategy alters the randomization ratio on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-01 David Merrell , Thevaa Chandereng , Yeonhee Park

Adaptive sample size re-estimation, early stopping, and trial re-design at interim analyses can reduce expected sample sizes in randomised trials. Cluster randomised trials, in which groups of participants are randomly allocated to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-09 Samuel I. Watson , James Martin

Multi-armed bandit (MAB) algorithms are efficient approaches to reduce the opportunity cost of online experimentation and are used by companies to find the best product from periodically refreshed product catalogs. However, these algorithms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-19 Mohsen Bayati , Junyu Cao , Wanning Chen

2-in-1 design (Chen et al. 2018) is becoming popular in oncology drug development, with the flexibility of using different endpoints at different decision time. Based on the observed interim data, sponsors choose either to seamlessly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-15 Runjia Li , Liwen Wu , Rachael Liu , Jianchang Lin

We consider applying multi-armed bandits to model-assisted designs for dose-finding clinical trials. Multi-armed bandits are very simple and powerful methods to determine actions to maximize a reward in a limited number of trials. Among the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-17 Masahiro Kojima

Anchored covariate-adjusted indirect comparisons inform reimbursement decisions where there are no head-to-head trials between the treatments of interest, there is a common comparator arm shared by the studies, and there are patient-level…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-06 Antonio Remiro-Azócar

It is generally appreciated that a frequentist analysis of a group sequential trial must in order to avoid inflating type I error account for the fact that one or more interim analyses were performed. It is also to a lesser extent realised…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-12 Simon Bang Kristensen , Erik Thorlund Parner

Clinical trials with time-to-event endpoints, such as overall survival (OS) or progression-free survival (PFS), are fundamental for evaluating new treatments, particularly in immuno-oncology. However, modern therapies, such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-10 James Salsbury , Jeremy Oakley , Steven Julious , Lisa Hampson

Matching is one of the most widely used causal inference frameworks in observational studies. However, all the existing matching-based causal inference methods are designed for either a single treatment with general treatment types (e.g.,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-23 Jianan Zhu , Tianruo Zhang , Diana Silver , Ellicott Matthay , Omar El-Shahawy , Hyunseung Kang , Siyu Heng

Precision medicine is an emerging field that takes into account individual heterogeneity to inform better clinical practice. In clinical trials, the evaluation of treatment effect heterogeneity is an important component, and recently, many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-24 Yuejia Xu , Angela M. Wood , Brian D. M. Tom

Digital firms routinely run many online experiments on shared user populations. When product decisions are compositional, such as combinations of interface elements, flows, messages, or incentives, the number of feasible interventions grows…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-13 Xin Wen , Xi Chen , Will Wei Sun , Yichen Zhang

Recent developments in artificial intelligence and automation support a new drug design paradigm: autonomous drug design. Under this paradigm, generative models can provide suggestions on thousands of molecules with specific properties, and…

Background. Designing trials to reduce treatment duration is important in several therapeutic areas, including TB and antibiotics. We recently proposed a new randomised trial design to overcome some of the limitations of standard two-arm…

Thul et al. (2020) called attention to problems that arise when chronometric experiments implementing specific factorial designs are analysed with the generalized additive mixed model (GAMM), using factor smooths to capture trial-to-trial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-19 R. Harald Baayen , Matteo Fasiolo , Simon Wood , Yu-Ying Chuang

Fast-track procedures play an important role in the context of conditional registration of medical devices, such as listing processes for digital health applications. They offer the potential for earlier patient access to innovative…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-23 Liane Kluge , Werner Brannath

Large language models, employed as multiple agents that interact and collaborate with each other, have excelled at solving complex tasks. The agents are programmed with prompts that declare their functionality, along with the topologies…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Han Zhou , Xingchen Wan , Ruoxi Sun , Hamid Palangi , Shariq Iqbal , Ivan Vulić , Anna Korhonen , Sercan Ö. Arık

There is growing interest in using machine learning (ML) to support clinical diagnosis, but most approaches rely on static, fully observed datasets and fail to reflect the sequential, resource-aware reasoning clinicians use in practice.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Silas Ruhrberg Estévez , Nicolás Astorga , Mihaela van der Schaar