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In this study, we develop and analyze a deterministic two-strain host-vector model for dengue transmission that incorporates key immuno-epidemiological mechanisms, including temporary cross-immunity, antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE),…

动力系统 · 数学 2026-01-13 Burcu Gürbüz , Aytül Gökçe , Joseph Páez Chávez , Thomas Götz

We have developed a globally applicable diagnostic Covid-19 model by augmenting the classical SIR epidemiological model with a neural network module. Our model does not rely upon previous epidemics like SARS/MERS and all parameters are…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-11-24 Raj Dandekar , Chris Rackauckas , George Barbastathis

We consider the SEIRS epidemiology model with such features of the COVID-19 outbreak as: abundance of unidentified infected individuals, limited time of immunity and a possibility of vaccination. The control of the pandemic dynamics is…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-03-31 J. Ilnytskyi , T. Patsahan

We perform a bifurcation analysis on an SIR model involving two pathogens that influences each other. Partial cross-immunity is assumed and coinfection is thought to be less transmittable then each of the diseases alone. The susceptible…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-09-09 J. Andersson , V. Kozlov , V. G. Tkachev , U. Wennergren

The Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model is applied in several countries to ascertain the spread of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We consider discrete-time SEIR epidemic model in a closed system which does not…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-05-04 U. A. Rozikov , S. K. Shoyimardonov

We take up a recently proposed compartmental SEIQR model with delays, ignore loss of immunity in the context of a fast pandemic, extend the model to a network structured on infectivity, and consider the continuum limit of the same with a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-24 C. P. Vyasarayani , Anindya Chatterjee

This study focuses on investigating the manner in which a prompt quarantine measure suppresses epidemics in networks. A simple and ideal quarantine measure is considered in which an individual is detected with a probability immediately…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-08-16 Takehisa Hasegawa , Koji Nemoto

We introduce an epidemic model with varying infectivity and general exposed and infectious periods, where the infectivity of each individual is a random function of the elapsed time since infection, those function being i.i.d. for the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-01 Raphael Forien , Guodong Pang , Etienne Pardoux

In this article, we present a modification to the network-based stochastic SEIR epidemic model which allows for modifications to the underlying contact network to account for the effects of quarantine. We also discuss the changes needed to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-08-05 Chris Groendyke , Adam Combs

The aim of this study is to propose a modified Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed (SEIR) model that describes the behaviour of symptomatic, asymptomatic and hospitalized patients of COVID-19 epidemic, including the effect of demographic…

The resurgence of vector-borne diseases is an increasing public health concern, and there is a need for a better understanding of their dynamics. For a number of diseases, e.g. dengue and chikungunya, this resurgence occurs mostly in urban…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-04-14 Abderrahman Iggidr , Gauthier Sallet , Max O. Souza

This work will study an optimal control problem describing the two-strain SEIR epidemic model. The studied model is in the form of six nonlinear differential equations illustrating the dynamics of the susceptibles and the exposed, the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-04-29 Karam Allali , Mouhamadou A. M. T. Balde , Babacar M. Ndiaye

We introduce and investigate an SIS-type model for the spread of an infectious disease, where the infected population is structured with respect to the different strain of the virus/bacteria they are carrying. Our aim is to capture the…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2019-03-25 Àngel Calsina , József Z. Farkas

Mathematical models are formal and simplified representations of the knowledge related to a phenomenon. In classical epidemic models, a neglected aspect is the heterogeneity of disease transmission and progression linked to the viral load…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-05-10 Rossella Della Marca , Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

Recent evidences show that individuals who recovered from COVID-19 can be reinfected. However, this phenomenon has rarely been studied using mathematical models. In this paper, we propose a SEIRE epidemic model to describe the spread of the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-05-17 Shaoli Wang , Tengfei Wang , Ya-nen Qi , Fei Xu

We study a competitive infection-age structured SI model between two diseases. The well-posedness of the system is handled by using integrated semigroups theory, while the existence and the stability of disease-free or endemic equilibria…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2020-09-14 Quentin Richard

Dynamic properties of spreading infection through a heterogeneous population are studied numerically and analytically using a dynamic variant of Watts and Strogatz Small World Network-based stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-06-28 O. Mosbah , N. Zekri , M. Mokhtari , S. Sahraoui

Contact tracing and quarantine are well established non-pharmaceutical epidemic control tools. The paper aims to clarify the impact of these measures in COVID-19 epidemic. A new deterministic model is introduced (SEIRQ: susceptible,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-01 Tomasz Piasecki , Piotr B. Mucha , Magdalena Rosińska

We consider the SEIRS compartment epidemiology model suitable for predicting the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemy in the extreme limiting case of no acquired immunity. The disease-free and endemic fixed points are found and their stability…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-12-15 J. M. Ilnytskyi

We consider the $SEIRS$ epidemiology model with such features of the COVID-19 outbreak as: abundance of unidentified infected individuals, limited time of immunity and a possibility of vaccination. Within a compartmental realization of this…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-12-07 Jaroslav Ilnytskyi , Taras Patsahan