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The importance of a strict quarantine has been widely debated during the COVID-19 epidemic even from the purely epidemiological point of view. One argument against strict lockdown measures is that once the strict quarantine is lifted, the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-02-03 Varun Nimmagadda , Oleg Kogan , Evgeniy Khain

We study the effectiveness of tracking and testing in mitigating or suppressing epidemic outbreaks, in combination with or as an alternative to quarantines and global lockdowns. We study these intervention methods on a network-based SEIR…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-15 Yoav Kolumbus , Noam Nisan

Many infectious diseases are comprised of multiple strains with examples including Influenza, tuberculosis, and Dengue virus. The time evolution of such systems is linked to a complex landscape shaped by interactions between competing…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-11-21 Nir Gavish , Musa Rabiu

We present an SI epidemic model whereby a continuous variable captures variability in proliferative potential and resistance to infection among susceptibles. The occurrence of heritable, spontaneous changes in these phenotype and the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-12-30 Tommaso Lorenzi , Andrea Pugliese , Mattia Sensi , Agnese Zardini

For centuries isolation has been the main control strategy of unforeseen epidemic outbreaks. When implemented in full and without delay, isolation is very effective. However, flawless implementation is seldom feasible in practice. We…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-01-23 Lai-Sang Young , Stefan Ruschel , Serhiy Yanchuk , Tiago Pereira

It is essential to understand the dynamics of epidemics in the presence of coexisting pathogens. There are various phenomenon that can effect the dynamics. In this paper, we formulate a mathematical model using different assumptions to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-11-02 S. Ghersheen , V. Kozlov , U. Wennergren

The focus of this article is on the dynamics of a new susceptible-infected model which consists of a susceptible group ($S$) and two different infectious groups ($I_1$ and $I_2$). Once infected, an individual becomes a member of one of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-01 Ayse Peker-Dobie , Semra Ahmetolan , Ayse Humeyra Bilge , Ali Demirci

We will study a mathematical model of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in the presence of combination therapy that includes within-host infectious dynamics. The deterministic model requires us to analyze asymptotic stability…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-09-04 Majid Jaberi Douraki

Based on the classical SIR model, we derive a simple modification for the dynamics of epidemics with a known incubation period of infection. The model is described by a system of integro-differential equations. Parameters of our model…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-09-01 David B. Saakian

Numerous elements drive the spread of infectious diseases in complex real-world networks. Of particular interest is social behaviors that evolve in tandem with the spread of disease. Moreover, recent studies highlight the importance of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-03 Benjamin Catalano , Keith Paarporn , Sebin Gracy

The Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) epidemiological model is one of the standard models of disease spreading. Here we analyse an extended SEIR model that accounts for asymptomatic carriers, believed to play an important role…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-01-26 Arghya Das , Abhishek Dhar , Srashti Goyal , Anupam Kundu , Saurav Pandey

In recent years, numerous advances have been made in understanding how epidemic dynamics is affected by changes in individual behaviours. We propose an SIS-based compartmental model to tackle the simultaneous and coupled evolution of an…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-11-04 Giulia de Meijere , Hugo Martin

We study a symmetric two-disease SIR co-infection model on networks in which co-infected individuals recover at a rate distinct from that of single infections. The model explicitly represents all co-infection states and features absorbing…

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model has successfully mimicked the propagation of such airborne diseases as influenza A (H1N1). Although the SIR model has recently been studied in a multilayer networks configuration, in almost all…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-07-16 L. G. Alvarez Zuzek , H. E. Stanley , L. A. Braunstein

Stochastic discrete-time SIS and SIR models of endemic diseases are introduced and analyzed. For the deterministic, mean-field model, the basic reproductive number $R_0$ determines their global dynamics. If $R_0\le 1$, then the frequency of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-05-19 Sebastian J. Schreiber , Shuo Huang , Jifa Jiang , Hao Wang

In this work, we inspect the reliability of controlling and quelling an epidemic disease mimicked by a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model defined on a complex network by means of current and implementable quarantine and isolation…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-06-12 Nuno Crokidakis , Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

The COVID-19 pandemic led several countries to resort to social distancing, the only known way to slow down the spread of the virus and keep the health system under control. Here we use an individual based model (IBM) to study how the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-08-18 Vitor M. Marquioni , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

The existence and local stability of some non-negative equilibrium points of a class of SIRS infectious disease models with non-linear infection and treatment rates are investigated under the condition that the total population is a…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-03-08 Mengqi Tan

A significant proportion of the infections driving the current {SARS-CoV-2} pandemic are transmitted asymptomatically. Here we introduce and study a simple epidemic model with separate compartments comprising asymptomatic and symptomatic…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-10-12 Maurice Görtz , Joachim Krug

In general, the rates of infection and removal (whether through recovery or death) are nonlinear functions of the number of infected and susceptible individuals. One of the simplest models for the spread of infectious diseases is the SIR…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-05-11 Seong Jun Park , M. Y. Choi