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In the simple mean-field SIS and SIR epidemic models, infection is transmitted from infectious to susceptible members of a finite population by independent $p-$coin tosses. Spatial variants of these models are proposed, in which finite…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Steven P. Lalley

Recent years have seen a large amount of interest in epidemics on networks as a way of representing the complex structure of contacts capable of spreading infections through the modern human population. The configuration model is a popular…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-01-23 Frank Ball , Thomas House

Since 1927, until recently, models describing the spread of disease have mostly been of the SIR-compartmental type, based on the assumption that populations are homogeneous and well-mixed. The focus of these models have typically been on…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-07-23 Lara Goscé , David A W Barton , Anders Johansson

We examine the spread of an infectious disease, such as one that is caused by a respiratory virus, with two distinct modes of transmission. To do this, we consider a susceptible--infected--susceptible (SIS) disease on a hypergraph, which…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-01-09 Tung D. Nguyen , Mason A. Porter

The disease spreading on complex networks is studied in SIR model. Simulations on empirical complex networks reveal two specific regimes of disease spreading: local containment and epidemic outbreak. The variables measuring the extent of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-04-02 Alen Lancic , Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Mile Sikic , Hrvoje Stefancic

A stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a social network is analysed. The underlying social network is described by an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph but, during the course of the epidemic,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-17 Frank Ball , Tom Britton

We address the question of understanding the effect of the underlying network topology on the spread of a virus and the dissemination of information when users are mobile performing independent random walks on a graph. To this end we…

概率论 · 数学 2008-10-20 M. Draief , A. Ganesh

Epidemic spread on networks is one of the most studied dynamics in network science and has important implications in real epidemic scenarios. Nonetheless, the dynamics of real epidemics and how it is affected by the underline structure of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-09-08 Bnaya Gross , Shlomo Havlin

In a metapopulation network, infectious diseases spread widely because of the travel of individuals. In the present study, we consider a modified metapopulation Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model with a latent period, which we call…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-08-02 Kazue Kudo , Kanako Mizuno

We study atypical behavior in bootstrap percolation on the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph. Initially a set $S$ is infected. Other vertices are infected once at least $r$ of their neighbors become infected. Janson et al. (2012) locates the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-18 Omer Angel , Brett Kolesnik

The SIRS process is a continuous-time process for how infections spread on a graph. In this model, each vertex is in one of the following three states: susceptible (to the infection; S), infected (I), or recovered (R) and thus immune to the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-20 Andreas Göbel , Nicolas Klodt , Martin S. Krejca

We consider the edge-based compartmental models for infectious disease spread introduced in Part I. These models allow us to consider standard SIR diseases spreading in random populations. In this paper we show how to handle deviations of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-09-03 Joel C. Miller , Erik M. Volz

The SIR model is the cornerstone model for mathematical epidemiology, explaining key epidemic features such as the second-order transition between disease-free and epidemic states, the initial exponential growth of outbreaks or the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-03-20 Santiago Lamata-Otín , Alex Arenas , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes , David Soriano-Paños

In this paper, we study the spread of a classical SIR process on a two-layer random network, where the first layer represents the households, while the second layer models the contacts outside the households by a random scale-free graph. We…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-03-01 Ágnes Backhausz , Edit Bognár , Villő Csiszár , Damján Tárkányi , András Zempléni

A standard model for epidemics is the SIR model on a graph. We introduce a simple algorithm that uses the early infection times from a sample path of the SIR model to estimate the parameters this model, and we provide a performance…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-08-11 Charles Clum , Dustin G. Mixon

We numerically investigate the geometry and transport properties of infection fronts within the spatial SIR model in two dimensions. The model incorporates short-range correlated quenched random transmission rates. Our findings reveal that…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2024-09-18 Renzo Zagarra , Karina Laneri , Alejandro B. Kolton

We consider the effect of a nonvanishing fraction of initially infected nodes (seeds) on the SIR epidemic model on random networks. This is relevant when, for example, the number of arriving infected individuals is large, but also to the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-02-10 G. Machado , G. J. Baxter

We study the SIR ("susceptible, infected, removed/recovered") model on directed graphs with heterogeneous transmission probabilities within the message-passing approximation. We characterize the percolation transition, predict cluster size…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-12-01 Christoph Widder , Tanja Schilling

We study the spread of discrete-time epidemics over arbitrary networks for well-known propagation models, namely SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible), SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered), SIRS (susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible)…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-10-03 Navid Azizan Ruhi , Hyoung Jun Ahn , Babak Hassibi

Stochastic infection processes are continuous-time Markov chains on graphs that assign each vertex one of multiple states, such as susceptible, infected, or recovered. Depending on the model, vertices change their state based on random…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-20 Nicolas Klodt , Martin S. Krejca