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We investigate three aspects of the importance of nodes with respect to Susceptible-Infectious-Removed (SIR) disease dynamics: influence maximization (the expected outbreak size given a set of seed nodes), the effect of vaccination (how…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-12-13 Petter Holme

We study a multi-type SIR epidemic process among a heterogeneous population that interacts through a network. When we base social contact on a random graph with given vertex degrees, we give limit theorems on the fraction of infected…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-11-02 Hamed Amini , Andreea Minca

The spread of an infectious disease depends on intrinsic properties of the disease as well as the connectivity and actions of the population. This study investigates the dynamics of an SIR type model which accounts for human tendency to…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-07-26 Hannah Scanlon , John Gemmer

In most models of the spread of disease over contact networks it is assumed that the probabilities per unit time of disease transmission and recovery from disease are constant, implying exponential distributions of the time intervals for…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2010-07-23 Brian Karrer , M. E. J. Newman

In the standard SIR model on a graph, infected vertices infect their neighbors at rate $\alpha$ and recover at rate $\mu$. We consider a two-type SIR process where each individual in the graph can be infected with two types of diseases, $A$…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-24 Ruibo Ma , Tai Heng Liu , Baghdadi Othmane , Dong Yao

In the study of disease spreading on empirical complex networks in SIR model, initially infected nodes can be ranked according to some measure of their epidemic impact. The highest ranked nodes, also referred to as "superspreaders", are…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-07-16 Mile Sikic , Alen Lancic , Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Hrvoje Stefancic

In the simple mean-field SIS and SIR epidemic models, infection is transmitted from infectious to susceptible members of a finite population by independent p-coin tosses. Spatial variants of these models are proposed, in which finite…

概率论 · 数学 2007-07-26 Steven P. Lalley

We investigate final outcome properties of an SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a population of large sub-communities in which there is stronger disease transmission within the communities than…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-08 Frank Ball , David Sirl , Pieter Trapman

We present a modelling framework for the spreading of epidemics on temporal networks from which both the individual-based and pair-based models can be recovered. The proposed temporal pair-based model that is systematically derived from…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-11-17 Rory Humphries , Kieran Mulchrone , Jamie Tratalos , Simon More , Philipp Hövel

Two factors that are often ignored but could play a crucial role in the progression of an infectious disease are the distributions of inherent susceptibility ($\sigma_{inh}$) and external infectivity ($\iota_{ext}$), in a given population.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-01-01 Saumyak Mukherjee , Sayantan Mondal , Biman Bagchi

One of the popular dynamics on complex networks is the epidemic spreading. An epidemic model describes how infections spread throughout a network. Among the compartmental models used to describe epidemics, the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2011-07-14 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio

An epidemic model where disease transmission can occur either through global contacts or through local, nearest neighbor interactions is considered. The classical SIR--model describing the global interactions is extended by adding…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-02-02 Thomas Götz

In the standard Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) and Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Removed (SEIR) models, the peak of infected individuals coincides with the in ection point of removed individuals. Nevertheless, a survey based on the data…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2019-09-26 Ayse Peker Dobie , Ali Demirci , Ayse Humeyra Bilge , Semra Ahmetolan

We consider the spread of a supercritical stochastic SIR (Susceptible, Infectious, Recovered) epidemic on a configuration model random graph. We mainly focus on the final stages of a large outbreak and provide limit results for the duration…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-26 Abid Ali Lashari , Ana Serafimović , Pieter Trapman

We define and study an open stochastic SIR (Susceptible -- Infected -- Removed) model on a graph in order to describe the spread of an epidemic on a cattle trade network with epidemiological and demographic dynamics occurring over the same…

概率论 · 数学 2019-03-28 Pierre Montagnon

Compartmental models of epidemics are widely used to forecast the effects of communicable diseases such as COVID-19 and to guide policy. Although it has long been known that such processes take place on social networks, the assumption of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-03-14 Samuel Johnson

In a collection of particles performing independent random walks on $\mathbb Z^d$ we study the spread of an infection with SIR dynamics. Susceptible particles become infected when they meet an infected particle. Infected particles heal and…

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-14 Duncan Dauvergne , Allan Sly

This paper is concerned with stochastic SIR and SEIR epidemic models on random networks in which individuals may rewire away from infected neighbors at some rate $\omega$ (and reconnect to non-infectious individuals with probability…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-11-15 Tom Britton , David Juher , Joan Saldana

The history of infections and epidemics holds famous examples where understanding, containing and ultimately treating an outbreak began with understanding its mode of spread. Influenza, HIV and most computer viruses, spread person to…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-09-26 Chris Milling , Constantine Caramanis , Shie Mannor , Sanjay Shakkottai

The SIR model is used extensively in the field of epidemiology, in particular, for the analysis of communal diseases. One problem with SIR and other existing models is that they are tailored to random or Erdos type networks since they do…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-10-22 M. S. S. Khan