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We derive subexponential tail asymptotics for the distribution of the maximum of a compound renewal process with linear component and of a L\'evy process, both with negative drift, over random time horizon $\tau$ that does not depend on the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-07 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov , Zbigniew Palmowski

In this paper, according to a certain criterion, we divide the exponential distribution class into three subclasses. One of them is closely related to the regular-variation-tailed distribution class, so it is called the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-30 Zhaolei Cui , Edward Omey , Wenyuan Wang , Yuebao Wang

We consider a two dimensional skip-free reflecting random walk on a nonnegative integer quadrant. We are interested in the tail asymptotics of its stationary distribution, provided its existence is assumed. We derive exact tail asymptotics…

概率论 · 数学 2012-01-17 Masahiro Kobayashi , Masakiyo Miyazawa

We obtain an asymptotic expansion for the tails of the random variable $\tcal=\arg\max_{u\in\mathbb{R}}(\mathcal{A}_2(u)-u^2)$ where $\mathcal{A}_2$ is the Airy$_2$ process. Using the formula of Schehr \cite{Sch} that connects the density…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-06-12 Thomas Bothner , Karl Liechty

Asymptotic normality of extreme value tail estimators received much attention in the literature, giving rise to increasingly complicated 2nd order regularity conditions. However, such conditions are really difficult to be checked for real…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-23 Pavlina Jordanova , Milan Stehlik

Let $X$ be lognormal$(\mu,\sigma^2)$ with density $f(x)$, let $\theta>0$ and define ${L}(\theta)=E e^{-\theta X}$. We study properties of the exponentially tilted density (Esscher transform) $f_\theta(x) =e^{-\theta x}f(x)/{L}(\theta)$, in…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-20 Soren Asmussen , Jens Ledet Jensen , Leonardo Rojas-Nandayapa

If the step distribution in a renewal process has finite mean and regularly varying tail with index -{\alpha}, 1<{\alpha}<2, the first two terms in the asymptotic expansion of the renewal function have been known for many years. Here we…

概率论 · 数学 2019-09-26 Ron Doney

If the Euclidean norm is strongly concentrated with respect to a measure, the average distribution of an average marginal of this measure has Gaussian asymptotics that captures tail behaviour. If the marginals of the measure have…

度量几何 · 数学 2007-08-28 Sasha Sodin

We deduce in this paper the sufficient conditions for weak convergence of centered and normed deviation of the u-statistics with values in the space of the real valued continuous function defined on some compact metric space. We obtain also…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-12 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We study conditions under which $P(S_\tau>x)\sim P(M_\tau>x)\sim E\tau P(\xi_1>x)$ as $x\to\infty$, where $S_\tau$ is a sum $\xi_1+...+\xi_\tau$ of random size $\tau$ and $M_\tau$ is a maximum of partial sums $M_\tau=\max_{n\le\tau}S_n$.…

概率论 · 数学 2011-11-29 Denis Denisov , Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov

In this paper, we introduce reduced-bias estimators for the estimation of the tail index of a Pareto-type distribution. This is achieved through the use of a regularised weighted least squares with an exponential regression model for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-19 E. Ocran , R. Minkah , G. Kallah-Dagadu , K. Doku-Amponsah

Let (S_1,S_2)=(R \cos(\Theta), R \sin (\Theta)) be a bivariate random vector with associated random radius R which has distribution function $F$ being further independent of the random angle \Theta. In this paper we investigate the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-14 Enkelejd Hashorva

We investigate the tail behaviour of the steady state distribution of a stochastic recursion that generalises Lindley's recursion. This recursion arises in queuing systems with dependent interarrival and service times, and includes…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-23 Maria Vlasiou , Zbigniew Palmowski

The upper tail problem in the Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph $G\sim\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ asks to estimate the probability that the number of copies of a graph $H$ in $G$ exceeds its expectation by a factor $1+\delta$. Chatterjee and Dembo…

组合数学 · 数学 2019-11-12 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly , Eyal Lubetzky , Yufei Zhao

The paper suggests a simple method of deriving minimax lower bounds to the accuracy of statistical inference on heavy tails. A well-known result by Hall and Welsh (Ann. Statist. 12 (1984) 1079-1084) states that if $\hat{\alpha}_n$ is an…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-14 S. Y. Novak

In this paper, we study the tail behavior of $\max_{i\leq N}\sup_{s>0}\left(W_i(s)+W_A(s)-\beta s\right)$ as $N\to\infty$, with $(W_i,i\leq N)$ i.i.d. Brownian motions and $W_A$ an independent Brownian motion. This random variable can be…

概率论 · 数学 2022-08-10 Dennis Schol , Maria Vlasiou , Bert Zwart

We obtain an optimal exponential square integrability theorem for the Bergman projection of a function bounded by 1 in modulus. This is interpreted as the statement that the asymptotic tail variance of such a function is at most 1. The…

复变函数 · 数学 2019-04-02 Haakan Hedenmalm

The "infamous upper tail problem" for $r$-uniform hypergraphs is to estimate the probability that the number of copies of a fixed hypergraph $H$ in a large binomial $r$-uniform hypergraph $\boldsymbol{G}$ exceeds its expectation by a…

组合数学 · 数学 2025-10-01 Nicholas A. Cook , Nguyen Nguyen

The upper tail problem in a sparse Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph asks for the probability that the number of copies of some fixed subgraph exceeds its expected value by a constant factor. We study the analogous problem for oriented subgraphs in…

概率论 · 数学 2024-05-06 Jiyun Park

Let ${X_1,...,X_n}$ be i.i.d. random observations. Let $\mathbb{S}=\mathbb{L}+\mathbb{T}$ be a $U$-statistic of order $k\ge2$ where $\mathbb{L}$ is a linear statistic having asymptotic normal distribution, and $\mathbb{T}$ is a…

概率论 · 数学 2009-12-14 Vidmantas Bentkus , Bing-Yi Jing , Wang Zhou