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The purpose of this letter is to improve Hoeffding's lemma and consequently Hoeffding's tail bounds. The improvement pertains to left skewed zero mean random variables $X\in[a,b]$, where $a<0$ and $-a>b$. The proof of Hoeffding's improved…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-08 David Hertz

We adapt the techniques in Stigler [Ann. Statist. 1 (1973) 472--477] to obtain a new, general asymptotic result for trimmed $U$-statistics via the generalized $L$-statistic representation introduced by Serfling [Ann. Statist. 12 (1984)…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-11-29 Yuri V. Borovskikh , N. C. Weber

This paper investigates tail asymptotics of stationary distributions and quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs) of continuous-time Markov chains on subsets of the non-negative integers. Based on the so-called flux-balance equation, we…

概率论 · 数学 2023-08-16 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

Asmussen and Lehtomaa [Distinguishing log-concavity from heavy tails. Risks 5(10), 2017] introduced an interesting function $g$ which is able to distinguish between log-convex and log-concave tail behaviour of distributions, and proposed a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-25 Toshiya Iwashita , Bernhard Klar

Normal copula with a correlation coefficient between $-1$ and $1$ is tail independent and so it severely underestimates extreme probabilities. By letting the correlation coefficient in a normal copula depend on the sample size, H\"usler and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-04 Xin Liao , Liang Peng , Zuoxiang Peng , Yanting Zheng

In this paper, we establish the precise asymptotic behaviors of the tail probability and the transition density of a large class of isotropic L\'evy processes when the scaling order is between 0 and 2 including 2. We also obtain the precise…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-30 Panki Kim , Ante Mimica

Let $\eta_1$, $\eta_2,\ldots$ be independent copies of a random variable $\eta$ with zero mean and finite variance which is bounded from the right, that is, $\eta\leq b$ almost surely for some $b>0$. Considering different types of the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-10-17 Alexander Iksanov , Vitali Wachtel

The non-asymptotic tail bounds of random variables play crucial roles in probability, statistics, and machine learning. Despite much success in developing upper bounds on tail probability in literature, the lower bounds on tail…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-08 Anru R. Zhang , Yuchen Zhou

We consider the spatial stochastic model of single-tier downlink cellular networks, where the wireless base stations are deployed according to a general stationary point process on the Euclidean plane with general i.i.d. propagation…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-03-16 Naoto Miyoshi , Tomoyuki Shirai

Consider a sequence of i.i.d. random Lipschitz functions $\{\Psi_n\}_{n \geq 0}$. Using this sequence we can define a Markov chain via the recursive formula $R_{n+1} = \Psi_{n+1}(R_n)$. It is a well known fact that under some mild moment…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-21 Piotr Dyszewski

Tail asymptotics of the solution $R$ to a fixpoint problem of type $R =_{st} Q + \sum_1^N R_m$ is derived under heavy-tailed conditions allowing both dependence between $Q$ and $N$ and the tails to be of the same order of magnitude. Similar…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-15 Søren Asmussen , Sergey Foss

The asymptotic behavior of solutions to the second-order linear differential equation $d^{2}w/dz^{2}=\{u^{2}f(\alpha,z)+g(z)\}w$ is analyzed for a large real parameter $u$ and $\alpha\in[0,\alpha_{0}]$, where $\alpha_{0}>0$ is fixed. The…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2025-12-24 T. M. Dunster

We study deviation of U-statistics when samples have heavy-tailed distribution so the kernel of the U-statistic does not have bounded exponential moments at any positive point. We obtain an exponential upper bound for the tail of the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-30 Milad Bakhshizadeh

In this paper, we study critical and subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes, $\alpha \in (0, 2)$. We obtain the exact asymptotic behaviors of the tails of the maximal positions of all subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-09 Haojie Hou , Yiyang Jiang , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

Given $n$ samples from a population of individuals belonging to different species, what is the number $U$ of hitherto unseen species that would be observed if $\lambda n$ new samples were collected? This is an important problem in many…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-17 Stefano Favaro , Zacharie Naulet

In many areas of interest, modern risk assessment requires estimation of the extremal behaviour of sums of random variables. We derive the first order upper-tail behaviour of the weighted sum of bivariate random variables under weak…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-17 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the (skew) Macdonald and Jack symmetric polynomials as the number of variables grows to infinity. We characterize their limits in terms of certain variational problems. As an intermediate…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-10 Alice Guionnet , Jiaoyang Huang

Power-law tail behavior and the summation scheme of Levy-stable distributions is the basis for their frequent use as models when fat tails above a Gaussian distribution are observed. However, recent studies suggest that financial asset…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2016-12-21 Rafal Weron

Multistable distributions, which have been introduced recently by Falconer, L\'evy V\'ehel and their co-authors, are natural generalizations of symmetric "alpha" stable distributions; roughly speaking, they are obtained by replacing the…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-07 Antoine Ayache

We study the tail asymptotics of two functionals (the maximum and the sum of the marks) of a generic cluster in two sub-models of the marked Poisson cluster process, namely the renewal Poisson cluster process and the Hawkes process. Under…