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An annealed version of the quenched mean-field model for epidemic spread is introduced and investigated analytically and assisted by numerical calculations. The interaction between individuals follows a prescription that is used to generate…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-01-22 K. M. Kim , M. O. Hase

World models have emerged as a unifying paradigm for learning latent dynamics, simulating counterfactual futures, and supporting planning under uncertainty. In this paper, we argue that computational epidemiology is a natural and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-14 Zeeshan Memon , Yiqi Su , Christo Kurisummoottil Thomas , Walid Saad , Liang Zhao , Naren Ramakrishnan

Analytical description of propagation phenomena on random networks has flourished in recent years, yet more complex systems have mainly been studied through numerical means. In this paper, a mean-field description is used to coherently…

Understanding the interplay between human behavioral phenomena and infectious disease dynamics has been one of the central challenges of mathematical epidemiology. However, socio-cognitive processes critical for the initiation of desired…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-01-01 Qingchu Wu , Tarik Hadzibeganovic , Xiao-Pu Han

Mean-field game theory relies on approximating games that are intractable to model due to a very large to infinite population of players. While these kinds of games can be solved analytically via the associated system of partial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-16 Anna C. M. Thöni , Yoram Bachrach , Tal Kachman

We consider the spread of infectious diseases through a Mean Field Game version of a SIR compartmental model with social structure, in which individuals are grouped by their age class and interact together in different settings. In our game…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-12-14 Louis Bremaud , Denis Ullmo

Compartmental models have long served as important tools in mathematical epidemiology, with their usefulness highlighted by the recent COVID-19 pandemic. However, most of the classical models fail to account for certain features of this…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-08-21 Monique Chyba , Taylor Klotz , Yuriy Mileyko , Corey Shanbrom

Network epidemiology often assumes that the relationships defining the social network of a population are static. The dynamics of relationships is only taken indirectly into account, by assuming that the relevant information to study…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2010-04-09 Sebastian Risau-Gusman

Empirically derived continuum models of collective behavior among large populations of dynamic agents are a subject of intense study in several fields, including biology, engineering and finance. We formulate and study a mean-field game…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2018-06-22 Piyush Grover , Kaivalya Bakshi , Evangelos A. Theodorou

The spreading dynamics of infectious diseases is influenced by individual behaviours, which are in turn affected by the level of awareness about the epidemic. Modelling the co-evolution of disease transmission and behavioural changes within…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-02-27 Daniele Proverbio , Riccardo Tessarin , Giulia Giordano

In this manuscript we present several possible ways of modeling human capital accumulation during the spread of a disease following an agent based approach, where agents behave maximizing their intertemporal utility. We assume that the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-06-09 Daria Ghilli , Cristiano Ricci , Giovanni Zanco

The recently developed mean-field game models of corruption and bot-net defence in cyber-security, the evolutionary game approach to inspection and corruption, and the pressure-resistance game element, can be combined under an extended…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-05-03 Stamatios Katsikas , Vassili Kolokoltsov

People's cooperation in adopting protective measures is effective in epidemic control and creates herd immunity as a public good. Similarly, the presence of an epidemic is a driving factor for the formation and improvement of cooperation.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-06-03 Mehran Noori , Nahid Azimi-Tafreshi , Mohammad Salahshour

In numerous contexts, individuals may decide whether they take actions to mitigate the spread of disease, or not. Mitigating the spread of disease requires an individual to change their routine behaviours to benefit others, resulting in a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-08-11 Julie Rowlett , Carl-Joar Karlsson

Compartmental epidemic models with dynamics that evolve over a graph network have gained considerable importance in recent years but analysis of these models is in general difficult due to their complexity. In this paper, we develop two…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-05-31 Sei Zhen Khong , Lanlan Su

Epidemic models are invaluable tools to understand and implement strategies to control the spread of infectious diseases, as well as to inform public health policies and resource allocation. However, current modeling approaches have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Caitlin Ward , Rob Deardon , Alexandra M. Schmidt

The dynamics of ecological as well as chemical systems may depend on heterogeneous configurations. Heterogeneity in reaction-diffusion systems often increase modelling and simulating difficulties when non-linear effects are present. One…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-08-27 Orlando Silva

We use the annealed formulation of complex networks to study the dynamical behavior of disease spreading on both static and adaptive networked systems. This unifying approach relies on the annealed adjacency matrix, representing one network…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2010-11-09 Beniamino Guerra , Jesus Gomez-Gardenes

Real epidemic spreading networks often composed of several kinds of networks interconnected with each other, and the interrelated networks have the different topologies and epidemic dynamics. Moreover, most human diseases are derived from…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-06-21 Zhongpu Xu , Xinchu Fu

In the present paper, our goal is to establish a framework for the mathematical modelling and the analysis of the spread of an epidemic in a large population commuting regularly, typically along a time-periodic pattern, as is roughly…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-08-29 Pierre-Alexandre Bliman , Boureima Sangaré , Assane Savadogo