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The limiting probability distribution is one of the key characteristics of a Markov chain since it shows its long-term behavior. In this paper, for a higher order Markov chain, we establish some properties related to its exact limiting…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-20 Lixing Han , Jianhong Xu

A symmetric relation in the probabilistic Green's function for birth-death chains is explored. Two proofs are given, each of which makes use of the known symmetry of the Green's functions in other contexts. The first uses as primary tool…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-22 Greg Markowsky , José Luis Palacios

Decision trees are flexible models that are well suited for many statistical regression problems. In a Bayesian framework for regression trees, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) search algorithms are required to generate samples of tree…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-27 Reza Mohammadi , Matthew Pratola , Maurits Kaptein

Continuous-time Markov chains on non-negative integers can be used for modeling biological systems, population dynamics, and queueing models. Qualitative behaviors of birth-and-death models, typical examples of such one-dimensional…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-24 Minjun Kim , Seokhwan Moon , Jinsu Kim

We establish connections between the absorption probabilities of a class of birth-death processes with killing, and the stationary tail of a related class of birth-death processes with catastrophes. The major ingredients of the proofs are a…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-28 Ellen Baake , Fernando Cordero , Enrico Di Gaspero , Anton Wakolbinger

A well-known theorem usually attributed to Keilson states that, for an irreducible continuous-time birth-and-death chain on the nonnegative integers and any d, the passage time from state 0 to state d is distributed as a sum of d…

概率论 · 数学 2009-05-19 James Allen Fill

In this article, we provide different representations for a time-fractional birth and death process $N_{\alpha}(t)$, whose transition probabilities are governed by a time-fractional system of differential equations. More specifically, we…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-30 Jorge Littin

In this paper we study the long term evolution of a continuous time Markov chain formed by two interacting birth-and-death processes. The interaction between the processes is modelled by transition rates which are functions with suitable…

概率论 · 数学 2017-03-23 Mikhail Menshikov , Vadim Shcherbakov

We derive the conditions for recurrence and transience for time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes considered as random walks with positively biased drifts. We establish a general result, from which the earlier known particular results…

概率论 · 数学 2023-05-11 Vyacheslav M. Abramov

The $L^p$ maximal inequalities for martingales are one of the classical results in probability theory. Here we establish the sharp moderate maximal inequalities for upward skip-free Markov chains, which include the $L^p$ maximal…

概率论 · 数学 2018-03-06 Chen Jia

We introduce the concept of asymptotic period for an irreducible and aperiodic, discrete-time Markov chain X on a countable state space, and develop the theory leading to its formal definition. The asymptotic period of X equals one - its…

概率论 · 数学 2019-03-05 Erik A. van Doorn

This paper provides full classification of dynamics for continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs) on the non-negative integers with polynomial transition rate functions. Such stochastic processes are abundant in applications, in particular in…

概率论 · 数学 2021-12-01 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

A birth-death-move process with mutations is a Markov model for a system of marked particles in interaction, that move over time, with births and deaths. In addition the mark of each particle may also change, which constitutes a mutation.…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-08 Lisa Balsollier , Frédéric Lavancier

Lattice birth-and-death Markov dynamics of particle systems with spins from the set of non-negative integers are constructed as unique solutions to certain stochastic equations. Pathwise uniqueness, strong existence, Markov property and…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-07 Viktor Bezborodov , Yuri Kondratiev , Oleksandr Kutoviy

Let $(X_n)_{n \ge 0}$ be an irreducible, aperiodic, homogeneous Markov chain, with state space a totally ordered finite alphabet of size $m$. Using combinatorial constructions and weak invariance principles, we obtain the limiting shape of…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-07 Christian Houdré , Trevis J. Litherland

Given positive integers $n$ and $m$, let $p_n(m)$ be the probability that a uniform random permutation of $[n]$ has order exactly $m$. We show that, as $n \to \infty$, the maximum of $p_n(m)$ over all $m$ is asymptotic to $1/n$, the…

组合数学 · 数学 2025-10-14 Adrian Beker

Let $X_1,X_2,...$ be a sequence of random variables satisfying the distributional recursion $X_1=0$ and $X_n= X_{n-I_n}+1$ for $n=2,3,...$, where $I_n$ is a random variable with values in $\{1,...,n-1\}$ which is independent of…

概率论 · 数学 2007-11-01 Alex Iksanov , Martin Möhle

A $p$-jump process is a piecewise deterministic Markov process with jumps by a factor of $p$. We prove a limit theorem for such processes on the unit interval. Via duality with respect to probability generating functions, we deduce limiting…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-02 F. Hermann , P. Pfaffelhuber

We consider birth-and-death processes of objects (animals) defined in ${\bf Z}^d$ having unit death rates and random birth rates. For animals with uniformly bounded diameter we establish conditions on the rate distribution under which the…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Roberto Fernandez , Pablo A. Ferrari , Gustavo R. Guerberoff

This paper is a step in the direction of understanding the behavior of non-intersecting Brownian motions on the real line, when the number of particles becomes large. Consider 2k non-intersecting Brownian motions, all starting at the…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Mark Adler , Pierre van Moerbeke