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We consider synchronizing properties of Markov decision processes (MDP), viewed as generators of sequences of probability distributions over states. A probability distribution is p-synchronizing if the probability mass is at least p in some…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2014-07-01 Laurent Doyen , Thierry Massart , Mahsa Shirmohammadi

The problem of estimating an unknown discrete distribution from its samples is a fundamental tenet of statistical learning. Over the past decade, it attracted significant research effort and has been solved for a variety of divergence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-30 Yi Hao , Alon Orlitsky , Venkatadheeraj Pichapati

Generating function equation has been derived for the probability distribution of the number of nodes with $k \ge 0$ outgoing lines in randomly evolving special trees. The stochastic properties of end-nodes (k=0) have been analyzed, and it…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 L. Pal

We investigate parameter estimation in subcritical continuous-time birth-and-death processes with multiple births. We show that the classical maximum likelihood estimators for the model parameters, based on the continuous observation of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-04 Sophie Hautphenne , Emma Horton

Consider a sequence (indexed by n) of Markov chains Z^n in R^d characterized by transition kernels that approximately (in n) depend only on the rescaled state n^{-1} Z^n. Subject to a smoothness condition, such a family can be closely…

概率论 · 数学 2009-08-17 Kamil Szczegot

Randomized higher-order computation can be seen as being captured by a lambda calculus endowed with a single algebraic operation, namely a construct for binary probabilistic choice. What matters about such computations is the probability of…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2020-12-24 Ugo Dal Lago , Claudia Faggian , Simona Ronchi Della Rocca

Inferring directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) from data via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is computationally challenging in moderate-to-high dimensional settings because their discrete sampling space grows super-exponentially with the number…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Morris Greenberg , Kieran R Campbell , Radu Craiu

A method yielding simple relationships among bilateral birth-and-death processes is outlined. This allows one to relate birth and death rates of two processes in such a way that their transition probabilities, first-passage-time densities…

概率论 · 数学 2008-03-11 Antonio Di Crescenzo

A branching process in a Markovian environment consists of an irreducible Markov chain on a set of "environments" together with an offspring distribution for each environment. At each time step the chain transitions to a new random…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-22 Lila Greco , Lionel Levine

Renewal processes are zero-dimensional processes defined by independent intervals of time between zero crossings of a random walker. We subject renewal processes them to stochastic resetting by setting the position of the random walker to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-03-02 Pascal Grange

For near-critical, transient Markov chains on the non-negative integers in the Lamperti regime, where the mean drift at $x$ decays as $1/x$ as $x \to \infty$, we quantify degree of transience via existence of moments for conditional return…

概率论 · 数学 2024-05-07 Chak Hei Lo , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

We consider uniform random permutations of length $n$ conditioned to have no cycle longer than $n^\beta$ with $0<\beta<1$, in the limit of large $n$. Since in unconstrained uniform random permutations most of the indices are in cycles of…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-21 Volker Betz , Helge Schäfer , Dirk Zeindler

Given a sequence $(\mathfrak{X}_i, \mathscr{K}_i)_{i=1}^\infty$ of Markov chains, the cut-off phenomenon describes a period of transition to stationarity which is asymptotically lower order than the mixing time. We study mixing times and…

数论 · 数学 2021-05-25 Bob Hough

In this paper, we give a sufficient condition for the existence of a quasi-ergodic distribution for absorbing Markov processes. Using an orthogonal-polynomial approach, we prove that the previous main result is valid for the birth-death…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-25 Guoman He , Hanjun Zhang , Yixia Zhu

We study properties of !-limit sets of multivalued semiflows like chain recurrence or the existence of cyclic chains. First, we prove that under certain conditions the omega-limit set of a trajectory is chain recurrent, applying this result…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-01-10 Oleksiy V. Kapustyan , Pavlo O. Kasyanov , José Valero

In this paper, we develop a general theory for the estimation of the transition probabilities of reversible Markov chains using the maximum entropy principle. A broad range of physical models can be studied within this approach. We use…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-14 Erik Van der Straeten

Fix some $p\in[0,1]$ and a positive integer $n$. The discrete Bak-Sneppen model is a Markov chain on the space of zero-one sequences of length $n$ with periodic boundary conditions. At each moment of time a minimum element (typically, zero)…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-05 Stanislav Volkov

A feature of human creativity is the ability to take a subset of existing items (e.g. objects, ideas, or techniques) and combine them in various ways to give rise to new items, which, in turn, fuel further growth. Occasionally, some of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-08-21 Mike Steel , Wim Hordijk , Stuart A. Kauffman

The cutoff phenomenon was recently shown to systematically follow from non-negative curvature and the product condition, for all Markov diffusions. The proof crucially relied on a classical \emph{chain rule} satisfied by the carr\'e du…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-23 Francesco Pedrotti , Justin Salez

The dynamics of a population exhibiting exponential growth can be modelled as a birth-death process, which naturally captures the stochastic variation in population size over time. In this article, we consider a supercritical birth-death…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-05-07 Anastasia Ignatieva , Jotun Hein , Paul A. Jenkins
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