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Let $\{X_n,n\ge1\}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables, taking non-negative integer values, and call $X_n$ a $\delta$-record if $X_n>\max\{X_1,...,X_{n-1}\}+\delta$, where $\delta$ is an integer…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Raúl Gouet , F. Javier López , Gerardo Sanz

Let $Y=\sum_{k\ge 1} 1_{A_k}$ be an infinite sum of the indicators of independent events. We investigate a precise (as opposed to logarithmic) first-order asymptotic behavior of the tail probabilities $\mathbb{P}\{Y\ge n\}$ and the point…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-10 Alexander Iksanov , Valeriya Kotelnikova

In this paper, we introduce reduced-bias estimators for the estimation of the tail index of a Pareto-type distribution. This is achieved through the use of a regularised weighted least squares with an exponential regression model for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-19 E. Ocran , R. Minkah , G. Kallah-Dagadu , K. Doku-Amponsah

The extremal tail probabilities of moving sums in a marked Poisson random field is examined here. These sums are computed by adding up the weighted occurrences of events lying within a scanning set of fixed shape and size. Change of measure…

概率论 · 数学 2007-08-22 Hock Peng Chan

Multivariate extreme value theory is concerned with modeling the joint tail behavior of several random variables. Existing work mostly focuses on asymptotic dependence, where the probability of observing a large value in one of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-11 Michaël Lalancette , Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

This paper addresses the problem of estimating, in the presence of random censoring as well as competing risks, the extreme value index of the (sub)-distribution function associated to one particular cause, in the heavy-tail case.…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-20 Julien Worms , Rym Worms

Consider the sum $Z = \sum_{n=1}^\infty \lambda_n (\eta_n - \mathbb{E}\eta_n)$, where $\eta_n$ are i.i.d.~gamma random variables with shape parameter $r > 0$, and the $\lambda_n$'s are predetermined weights. We study the asymptotic behavior…

概率论 · 数学 2010-10-20 Mark S. Veillette , Murad S. Taqqu

We establish sharp large deviation asymptotics for the maximum order statistic of independent and identically distributed heavy-tailed random variables, valid for all Borel subsets of the right tail. This result yields exact decay rates for…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-09 José M. Zapata

Let $X_{1},X_{2},...$ be a sequence of independent random variables ($rv$)with common distribution function ($df$) $F$ such that $F(1)=0$ and for each $n\geq 1,$ let $X_{1,n}\leq X_{2,n}\leq ...\leq X_{n,n}$ denote the order statistics…

概率论 · 数学 2012-02-14 Gane Samb lo

Heavy-tailed phenomena appear across diverse domains --from wealth and firm sizes in economics to network traffic, biological systems, and physical processes-- characterized by the disproportionate influence of extreme values. These…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-10 Hamidreza Maleki Almani

We address the estimation of quantiles from heavy-tailed distributions when functional covariate information is available and in the case where the order of the quantile converges to one as the sample size increases. Such "extreme"…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-04-04 L. Gardes , S. Girard , A. Lekina

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

数学物理 · 物理学 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto

We consider the self-normalized sums $T_{n}=\sum_{i=1}^{n}X_{i}Y_{i}/\sum_{i=1}^{n}Y_{i}$, where ${Y_{i} : i\geq 1}$ are non-negative i.i.d. random variables, and ${X_{i} : i\geq 1} $ are i.i.d. random variables, independent of ${Y_{i} : i…

概率论 · 数学 2012-06-20 Peter Kevei , David M. Mason

The use of expectiles in risk management has recently gathered remarkable momentum due to their excellent axiomatic and probabilistic properties. In particular, the class of elicitable law-invariant coherent risk measures only consists of…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-21 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

We obtain first decay rates of probabilities of tails of multivariate polynomials built on independent random variables with heavy tails. Then we derive stable limit theorems for nonconventional sums of the form $\sum_{Nt\geq n\geq…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-08 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

We obtain concentration and large deviation for the sums of independent and identically distributed random variables with heavy-tailed distributions. Our concentration results are concerned with random variables whose distributions satisfy…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-27 Milad Bakhshizadeh , Arian Maleki , Victor H. de la Pena

In this paper we consider the problem of computing tail probabilities of the distribution of a random sum of positive random variables. We assume that the individual variables follow a reproducible natural exponential family (NEF)…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-09 Shaul Bar-Lev , Ad Ridder

Let $X_{1},X_{2},...$ be a sequence of independent copies (s.i.c) of a real random variable (r.v.) $X\geq 1$, with distribution function $df$ $F(x)=\mathbb{P}% (X\leq x)$ and let $X_{1,n}\leq X_{2,n} \leq ... \leq X_{n,n}$ be the order…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-11-22 Gane Samb Lo , El Hadji Deme , Aliou Diop

Various members of the class of weighted insurance premiums and risk capital allocation rules have been researched from a number of perspectives. Corresponding formulas in the case of parametric families of distributions have been derived,…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-11 Nadezhda Gribkova , Ričardas Zitikis

We suggest approximating the distribution of the sum of independent and identically distributed random variables with a Pareto-like tail by combining extreme value approximations for the largest summands with a normal approximation for the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-05 Ulrich K. Mueller