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The famous results of Koml\'os, Major and Tusn\'ady (see [15] and [17]) state that it is possible to approximate almost surely the partial sums of size n of i.i.d. centered random variables in L p (p > 2) by a Wiener process with an error…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-27 Christophe Cuny , Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède

We provide a general steady-state diffusion approximation result which bounds the Wasserstein distance between the reversible measure $\mu$ of a diffusion process and the measure $\nu$ of an approximating Markov chain. Our result is…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-15 Thomas Bonis

Consider a probability measure on a Hilbert space defined via its density with respect to a Gaussian. The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate that an appropriately defined Markov chain, which is reversible with respect to the measure in…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-04-21 Natesh S. Pillai , Andrew M. Stuart , Alexandre H. Thiery

Our article considers a Gaussian variational approximation of the posterior density in a high-dimensional state space model. The variational parameters to be optimized are the mean vector and the covariance matrix of the approximation. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-20 Matias Quiroz , David J. Nott , Robert Kohn

Applications of stochastic models often involve the evaluation of steady-state performance, which requires solving a set of balance equations. In most cases of interest, the number of equations is infinite or even uncountable. As a result,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-04-08 Shukai Li , Sanjay Mehrotra

We consider the Markov random flight $\bold X(t), \; t>0,$ in the three-dimensional Euclidean space $\Bbb R^3$ with constant finite speed $c>0$ and the uniform choice of the initial and each new direction at random time instants that form a…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-01 Alexander D. Kolesnik

This paper investigates the Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimation of an exponentially ergodic multidimensional Markov process, which is expressed as a solution to a L\'{e}vy driven stochastic differential equation whose coefficients are…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-08-14 Hiroki Masuda

For a finite state Markov process and a finite collection $\{ \Gamma_k, k \in K \}$ of subsets of its state space, let $\tau_k$ be the first time the process visits the set $\Gamma_k$. We derive explicit/recursive formulas for the joint…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-03 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Monique Jeanblanc , Ali Devin Sezer

We present two data-driven procedures to estimate the transition density of an homogeneous Markov chain. The first yields to a piecewise constant estimator on a suitable random partition. By using an Hellinger-type loss, we establish…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-10-19 Mathieu Sart

We prove a Chernoff-type bound for sums of matrix-valued random variables sampled via a regular (aperiodic and irreducible) finite Markov chain. Specially, consider a random walk on a regular Markov chain and a Hermitian matrix-valued…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-30 Jiezhong Qiu , Chi Wang , Ben Liao , Richard Peng , Jie Tang

We derive and analyze new diffusion approximations of stationary distributions of Markov chains that are based on second- and higher-order terms in the expansion of the Markov chain generator. Our approximations achieve a higher degree of…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-12 Anton Braverman , J. G. Dai , Xiao Fang

We study the performance of a stochastic algorithm based on the power method that adaptively learns the large deviation functions characterizing the fluctuations of additive functionals of Markov processes, used in physics to model…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-03-30 Francesco Coghi , Hugo Touchette

We consider Gaussian and bootstrap approximations for the supremum of additive functionals of aperiodic Harris recurrent Markov chains. The supremum is taken over a function class that may depend on the sample size, which allows for…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-21 Kyuseong Choi , Gabriella Ciolek

We prove the tightness of a natural approximation scheme for an analog of the Liouville quantum gravity metric on $\mathbb R^d$ for arbitrary $d\geq 2$. More precisely, let $\{h_n\}_{n\geq 1}$ be a suitable sequence of Gaussian random…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-08 Jian Ding , Ewain Gwynne , Zijie Zhuang

The density-dependent Markov chain (DDMC) introduced in \cite{Kurtz1978} is a continuous time Markov process applied in fields such as epidemics, chemical reactions and so on. In this paper, we give moderate deviation principles of paths of…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-26 Xiaofeng Xue

An aperiodic and irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space converges to its stationary distribution. When convergence to equilibrium is measured by total variation distance, there exists an optimal coupling and a maximal coupling…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-01 Agnes Coquio

In this paper we study the distribution of the level at time $\theta$ of Markovian fluid queues and Markovian continuous time random walks, the maximum (and minimum) level over $[0,\theta]$, and their joint distributions. We approximate…

概率论 · 数学 2014-09-18 Sarah Dendievel , Guy Latouche

The Collective Graphical Model (CGM) models a population of independent and identically distributed individuals when only collective statistics (i.e., counts of individuals) are observed. Exact inference in CGMs is intractable, and previous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-05-21 Li-Ping Liu , Daniel Sheldon , Thomas G. Dietterich

Markov processes with stochastic resetting towards the origin generically converge towards non-equilibrium steady-states. Long dynamical trajectories can be thus analyzed via the large deviations at Level 2.5 for the joint probability of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-05-07 Cecile Monthus

We study ergodic properties of a class of Markov-modulated general birth-death processes under fast regime switching. The first set of results concerns the ergodic properties of the properly scaled joint Markov process with a parameter that…

概率论 · 数学 2019-09-17 Ari Arapostathis , Guodong Pang , Yi Zheng