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Topology optimization (TO) is a well-established methodology for structural design under user-defined constraints, e.g. minimum volume and maximum stiffness. However, such methods have traditionally been applied to static, deterministic…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-03-28 Luis Irastorza-Valera , Luis Saucedo-Mora

Tumor response, a binary variable, has historically been the main measure of antitumor activity for many cancer phase II single-arm trials. Simon two-stage designs are often used. Sargent et al. proposed a three-outcome trial design in this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-20 Minghua Shan

The treatment assignment mechanism in a randomized clinical trial can be optimized for statistical efficiency within a specified class of randomization mechanisms. Optimal designs of this type have been characterized in terms of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Wei Zhang , Zhiwei Zhang , Aiyi Liu

Adaptive designs are increasingly used in clinical trials and online experiments to improve participant outcomes by dynamically updating treatment allocation as data accumulate. In practice, experimenters often consider multiple candidate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-08 Wenxin Zhang , Aaron Hudson , Maya Petersen , Mark van der Laan

Clinicians need to predict patient outcomes with high accuracy as early as possible after disease inception. In this manuscript, we show that patient-to-patient variability sets a fundamental limit on outcome prediction accuracy for a…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2016-02-17 Manuel Mai , Kun Wang , Greg Huber , Michael Kirby , Mark D. Shattuck , Corey S. O'Hern

Phase I-II cancer clinical trial designs are intended to accelerate drug development. In cases where efficacy cannot be ascertained in a short period of time, it is common to divide the study in two stages: i) a first stage in which dose is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-13 José L. Jiménez , Mourad Tighiouart

Dose-finding studies are frequently conducted to evaluate the effect of different doses or concentration levels of a compound on a response of interest. Applications include the investigation of a new medicinal drug, a herbicide or…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-08-01 Björn Bornkamp , Frank Bretz , Holger Dette , José Pinheiro

We consider the sequential experimental design problem in the predict-then-optimize paradigm. In this paradigm, the outputs of the prediction model are used as coefficient vectors in a downstream linear optimization problem. Traditional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-06 Beichen Wan , Mo Liu , Paul Grigas , Zuo-Jun Max Shen

Recently, the strategy for dose optimization in oncology has shifted to conduct Phase 2 randomized controlled trials with multiple doses. Optimal biologic dose selection from Phase 1 trial data to determine candidate doses for Phase 2…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-14 Masahiro Kojima

Traditionally, the major objective in phase I trials is to identify a working-dose for subsequent studies, whereas the major endpoint in phase II and III trials is treatment efficacy. The dose sought is typically referred to as the maximum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-14 Mourad Tighiouart , André Rogatko

In developing products for rare diseases, statistical challenges arise due to the limited number of patients available for participation in drug trials and other clinical research. Bayesian adaptive clinical trial designs offer the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-09-19 Xiao Wu , Yi Xu , Bradley P. Carlin

This paper proposes TIP-Search, a time-predictable inference scheduling framework for real-time market prediction under uncertain workloads. Motivated by the strict latency demands in high-frequency financial systems, TIP-Search dynamically…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-06-18 Xibai Wang

Statistical methodology for the design and analysis of clinical Phase II dose response studies, with related software implementation, are well developed for the case of a normally distributed, homoscedastic response considered for a single…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-09 José Pinheiro , Björn Bornkamp , Ekkehard Glimm , Frank Bretz

Background: Incidence of adverse outcome events rises as patients with advanced illness approach end-of-life. Exposures that tend to occur near end-of-life, e.g., use of wheelchair, oxygen therapy and palliative care, may therefore be found…

Model-assisted interval designs such as the Keyboard design are transparent and easy to implement in phase I oncology trials. However, interim decisions based solely on data from the current dose may overlook informative signals from…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Jiangyan Zhao , Xian Shi , Jin Xu

Novel dose-finding designs, using estimation to assign the best estimated maximum- tolerated-dose (MTD) at each point in the experiment, most commonly via Bayesian techniques, have recently entered large-scale implementation in Phase I…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-24 Assaf P. Oron , Peter D. Hoff

FDA's Project Optimus initiative for oncology drug development emphasizes selecting a dose that optimizes both efficacy and safety. When an inferentially adaptive Phase 2/3 design with dose selection is implemented to comply with the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-12-12 Cong Chen , Mo Huang , Xuekui Zhang

Many applications involve reasoning about time durations before a critical event happens--also called time-to-event outcomes. When will a customer cancel a subscription, a coma patient wake up, or a convicted criminal reoffend?…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-03 George H. Chen

Traditional accelerated life test plans are typically based on optimizing the C-optimality for minimizing the variance of an interested quantile of the lifetime distribution. The traditional methods rely on some specified planning values…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-12-04 Lu Lu , I-Chen Lee , Yili Hong

Combination of several anti-cancer treatments has typically been presumed to have enhanced drug activity. Motivated by a real clinical trial, this paper considers phase I-II dose finding designs for dual-agent combinations, where one main…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-09 José L. Jiménez , Haiyan Zheng