相关论文: Finite-time ruin probability for correlated Browni…

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that a stochastic process $(Z_t)_{t \geq 0}$ does not exceed a constant barrier up to time $T$ (the so called survival probability) when Z is the composition of two independent processes…

We analyze the dynamics of random walks with long-term memory (binary chains with long-range correlations) in the presence of an absorbing boundary. An analytically solvable model is presented, in which a dynamical phase-transition occurs…

Let $\{B_H(t):t\ge 0\}$ be a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(\frac{1}{2},1)$. For the storage process $Q_{B_H}(t)=\sup_{-\infty\le s\le t} \left(B_H(t)-B_H(s)-c(t-s)\right)$ we show that, for any $T(u)>0$ such that…

We consider a risk model with a counting process whose intensity is a Markovian shot-noise process, to resolve one of the disadvantages of the Cram\'er-Lundberg model, namely the constant jump intensity of the Poisson process. Due to this…

We elaborate on the theorem saying that as permeability coefficients of snapping-out Brownian motions tend to infinity in such a way that their ratio remains constant, these processes converge to a skew Brownian motion. In particular,…

In this study, it is theoretically proven that the expected value of maximum loss of fractional Brownian motion (fBm) up to time 1 with Hurst parameter $[1/2,1)$ is bounded above by $2/\sqrt{\pi}$ and below by $1/\sqrt{\pi}$. This result is…

We formulate the insurance risk process in a general Levy process setting, and give general theorems for the ruin probability and the asymptotic distribution of the overshoot of the process above a high level, when the process drifts to…

We derive the exact asymptotics of \[ P\left( \sup_{t\ge 0} \Bigl( X_1(t) - \mu_1 t\Bigr)> u, \ \sup_{s\ge 0} \Bigl( X_2(s) - \mu_2 s\Bigr)> u \right), \ \ u\to\infty, \] where $(X_1(t),X_2(s))_{t,s\ge0}$ is a correlated two-dimensional…

We reconsider a classical, well-studied problem from applied probability. This is the max-sum equivalence of randomly weighted sums, and the originality is because we manage to include interdependence among the primary random variables, as…

We extend to the vector-valued situation some earlier work of Ciesielski and Roynette on the Besov regularity of the paths of the classical Brownian motion. We also consider a Brownian motion as a Besov space valued random variable. It…

We use Stein's method to obtain a bound on the distance between scaled $p$-dimensional random walks and a $p$-dimensional (correlated) Brownian Motion. We consider dependence schemes including those in which the summands in scaled sums are…

We present an alternative to the well-known Anderson's formula for the probability that a first exit time from the planar region between two slopping lines -a_1 t -b_1 and a_2 t + b_2 by a standard Brownian motion is greater than T. As the…

In this article, we show a result of approximation in law to subfractional Brownian motion, with $H>\frac{1}{2}$, in the Skorohod topology. The construction of these approximations is based on a sequence of I.I.D random variables

The paper investigates a discrete time Binomial risk model with different types of polices and shock events may influence some of the claim sizes. It is shown that this model can be considered as a particular case of the classical compound…

We present an analytical method to estimate the continuous-time collision probability of motion plans for autonomous agents with linear controlled Ito dynamics. Motion plans generated by planning algorithms cannot be perfectly executed by…

Consider a system of particles performing branching Brownian motion with negative drift $\mu = \sqrt{2 - \epsilon}$ and killed upon hitting zero. Initially there is one particle at $x>0$. Kesten showed that the process survives with…

The joint distribution of maximum increase and decrease for Brownian motion up to an independent exponential time is computed. This is achieved by decomposing the Brownian path at the hitting times of the infimum and the supremum before the…

We investigate the persistence probability of a Brownian particle in a harmonic potential, which decays to zero at long times -- leading to an unbounded motion of the Brownian particle. We consider two functional forms for the decay of the…

First passage models, where corporate assets undergo correlated random walks and a company defaults if its assets fall below a threshold provide an attractive framework for modeling the default process. Typical one year default correlations…

We consider continuous state branching processes that are perturbed by a Brownian motion. These processes are constructed as the unique strong solution of a stochastic differential equation. The long-term extinction and explosion behaviours…