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In the present paper, our goal is to establish a framework for the mathematical modelling and the analysis of the spread of an epidemic in a large population commuting regularly, typically along a time-periodic pattern, as is roughly…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-08-29 Pierre-Alexandre Bliman , Boureima Sangaré , Assane Savadogo

A key problem in modelling the evolution dynamics of infectious diseases is the mathematical representation of the mechanism of transmission of the contagion. Models with a finite number of subpopulations can be described via systems of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-03-09 Sebastian Anita , Vincenzo Capasso

We consider multiple diseases spreading in a static Configuration Model network. We make standard assumptions that infection transmits from neighbor to neighbor at a disease-specific rate and infected individuals recover at a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-06-11 Joel C. Miller

Nowadays, one of the challenges we face when carrying out modeling of epidemic spreading is to develop methods to control disease transmission. In this article we study how the spreading of knowledge of a disease affects the propagation of…

The propagation of infectious diseases and its impact on individuals play a major role in disease dynamics, and it is important to incorporate population heterogeneity into efforts to study diseases. As a simplistic but illustrative…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-07-24 Juan G. Calvo , Alberto Hernández , Mason A. Porter , Fabio Sanchez

Network epidemiology often assumes that the relationships defining the social network of a population are static. The dynamics of relationships is only taken indirectly into account, by assuming that the relevant information to study…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2010-04-09 Sebastian Risau-Gusman

Epidemic disease spreading is conventionally often modelled and analyzed by means of rate and diffusion equations, following the paradigms of well-controlled chemical reactions and diffusive dynamics in a test tube. Yet, serious worries…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-01-03 Klaus Kroy

We introduce a kinetic model that couples the movement of a population of individuals with the dynamics of a pathogen in the same population. We consider that transmission occurs when a susceptible and an infectious individual are…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2026-01-30 Carolina Strecht-Fernandes , Fabio A. C. C. Chalub

In this paper we study some mathematical models describing evolution of population density and spread of epidemics in population systems in which spatial movement of individuals depends only on the departure and arrival locations and does…

泛函分析 · 数学 2014-03-24 Shangbin Cui , Meng Bai

A simple, but ``classical``, stochastic model for epidemic spread in a finite, but large, population is studied. The progress of the epidemic can be divided into three different phases that requires different tools to analyse. Initially the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-05-29 Åke Svensson

The fundamental models of epidemiology describe the progression of an infectious disease through a population using compartmentalized differential equations, but do not incorporate population-level heterogeneity in infection susceptibility.…

The COVID-19 pandemic has led to significant changes in how people are currently living their lives. To determine how to best reduce the effects of the pandemic and start reopening societies, governments have drawn insights from…

其他定量生物学 · 定量生物学 2020-09-08 Heather Z. Brooks , Unchitta Kanjanasaratool , Yacoub H. Kureh , Mason A. Porter

Advances in mathematical epidemiology have led to a better understanding of the risks posed by epidemic spreading and informed strategies to contain disease spread. However, a challenge that has been overlooked is that, as a disease becomes…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-02-17 Lucas Böttcher , Olivia Woolley-Meza , Nuno A. M. Araújo , Hans J. Herrmann , Dirk Helbing

Human diseases spread over networks of contacts between individuals and a substantial body of recent research has focused on the dynamics of the spreading process. Here we examine a model of two competing diseases spreading over the same…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-03-19 Brian Karrer , M. E. J. Newman

Understanding the interplay between human behavioral phenomena and infectious disease dynamics has been one of the central challenges of mathematical epidemiology. However, socio-cognitive processes critical for the initiation of desired…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-01-01 Qingchu Wu , Tarik Hadzibeganovic , Xiao-Pu Han

The impact that information diffusion has on epidemic spreading has recently attracted much attention. As a disease begins to spread in the population, information about the disease is transmitted to others, which in turn has an effect on…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-15 Xiu-Xiu Zhan , Chuang Liu , Ge Zhou , Zi-Ke Zhang , Gui-Quan Sun , Jonathan J. H. Zhu

We consider the spread of infectious disease through contact networks of Configuration Model type. We assume that the disease spreads through contacts and infected individuals recover into an immune state. We discuss a number of existing…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-03-11 Joel C Miller , Istvan Z Kiss

The spread of certain diseases can be promoted, in some cases substantially, by prior infection with another disease. One example is that of HIV, whose immunosuppressant effects significantly increase the chances of infection with other…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-08-04 M. E. J. Newman , C. R. Ferrario

In this paper, we propose a Boltzmann-type kinetic model of the spreading of an infectious disease on a network. The latter describes the connections among countries, cities or districts depending on the spatial scale of interest. The…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-06-25 Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

Understanding dynamics of an infectious disease helps in designing appropriate strategies for containing its spread in a population. Recent mathematical models are aimed at studying dynamics of some specific types of infectious diseases. In…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-02-05 P. Raja Sekhara Rao , M. Naresh Kumar