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This study presents an integrated approach to understanding epidemic dynamics through a stochastic spatio-temporal simulation model on a multiplex network, blending physical and informational layers. The physical layer maps the geographic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-09-26 H. M. Shadman Tabib , Jaber Ahmed Deedar , K. M. Ariful Kabir

We investigate a model for spatial epidemics explicitly taking into account bi-directional movements between base and destination locations on individual mobility networks. We provide a systematic analysis of generic dynamical features of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

Despite the advanced stage of epidemic modeling, there is a major demand for methods to incorporate behavioral responses to the spread of a disease such as social distancing and adoption of prevention methods. Mobility plays an important…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-03-14 Paulo Cesar Ventura , Alberto Aleta , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Yamir Moreno

A model describing the dynamics related to the spreading of non-lethal infectious diseases in a fixed-size population is proposed. The model consists of a non-linear delay-differential equation describing the time evolution of the increment…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2010-10-05 A. Noviello , F. Romeo , R. De Luca

In regard to infectious diseases socioeconomic determinants are strongly associated with differential exposure and susceptibility however they are seldom accounted for by standard compartmental infectious disease models. These associations…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-28 Alison C Hale , Jonathan M Read , Christopher P Jewell

Most spreading processes require spatial proximity between agents. The stationary state of spreading dynamics in a population of mobile agents thus depends on the interplay between the time and length scales involved in the epidemic process…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-03-05 Jorge P. Rodríguez , Matteo Paoluzzi , Demian Levis , Michele Starnini

We propose a dynamical model for describing the spread of epidemics. This model is an extension of the SIQR (susceptible-infected-quarantined-recovered) and SIRP (susceptible-infected-recovered-pathogen) models used earlier to describe…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-12-08 S. P. Lukyanets , I. S. Gandzha , O. V. Kliushnichenko

Understanding spreading dynamics will benefit society as a whole in better preventing and controlling diseases, as well as facilitating the socially responsible information while depressing destructive rumors. In network-based spreading…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-01-16 Ai-Xiang Cui , Zimo Yang , Tao Zhou

Models of disease spreading are critical for predicting infection growth in a population and evaluating public health policies. However, standard models typically represent the dynamics of disease transmission between individuals using…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-06-07 Christopher A. Browne , Daniel B. Amchin , Joanna Schneider , Sujit S. Datta

Networks of person-person contacts form the substrate along which infectious diseases spread. Most network-based studies of the spread focus on the impact of variations in degree (the number of contacts an individual has). However, other…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2008-12-15 Joel C. Miller

Disease spread in most biological populations requires the proximity of agents. In populations where the individuals have spatial mobility, the contact graph is generated by the "collision dynamics" of the agents, and thus the evolution of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2007-06-07 Z. Toroczkai , H. Guclu

In this work, the spread of crime dynamics in the US is analyzed from a mathematical scope, an epidemiological model is established, including five compartments: Susceptible (S), Latent 1 (E1), Latent 2 (E2), Incarcerated (I), and Recovered…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-10-03 Michael Aguadze , Ana Vivas , Sujan Pant , Kubilay Dagtoros

The dynamics of economies and infectious disease are inexorably linked: economic well-being influences health (sanitation, nutrition, treatment capacity, etc.) and health influences economic well-being (labor productivity lost to sickness…

Augmenting classical epidemiological models with information from the social sciences helps unveil the interplay between contagion dynamics and social responses. However, multidisciplinary integration of social analysis and epidemiological…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-07-29 Daniele Proverbio , Riccardo Tessarin , Giulia Giordano

We study a model for the spread of an infectious disease which incorporates spatial and temporal effects. The model is a delayed multi-type branching process in which types represent geographic regions while infected individuals reproduce…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-27 Andrew Hart , Servet Martínez

Background: Recently developed techniques to study the spread of infectious diseases through networks make assumptions that the initial proportion infected is infinitesimal and the population behavior is static throughout the epidemic. The…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-08-17 Joel C. Miller

Understanding the dynamics of the spread of diseases within populations is critical for effective public health interventions. We extend the classical SIR model by incorporating additional complexities such as the introduction of a cure and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-10-30 Daniel Perkins , Davis Hunter , Drake Brown , Trevor Garrity , Wyatt Pochman

Many pathogens spread primarily via direct contact between infected and susceptible hosts. Thus, the patterns of contacts or contact network of a population fundamentally shapes the course of epidemics. While there is a robust and growing…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-08-01 Shweta Bansal , Lauren Ancel Meyers

We analyze four models of epidemic spreading using a stochastic approach in which the primary stochastic variables are the numbers of individuals in each class. The stochastic approach is described by a master equation and the transition…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-10-28 Tânia Tomé , Mário J. de Oliveira

Pandemics, in addition to affecting the health of populations, can have huge impacts on their social and economic behavior. These factors, on the other hand, have the potential to feed back to and influence the disease spreading. It is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-09-28 Jan E. Snellman , Rafael A. Barrio , Kimmo K. Kaski , Maarit J. Korpi--Lagg