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In this paper we study the asymptotic decay of finite time ruin probabilities for an insurance company that faces heavy-tailed claims, uses predictable investment strategies and makes investments in risky assets whose prices evolve…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 Henrik Hult , Filip Lindskog

In this note, we study the ultimate ruin probabilities of a real-valued L{\'e}vy process X with light-tailed negative jumps. It is well-known that, for such L{\'e}vy processes, the probability of ruin decreases as an exponential function…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-26 Jérôme Spielmann

We derive formulas for the moments of the ruin time in a L\'evy risk model and use these to determine the asymptotic behavior of the moments of the ruin time as the initial capital tends to infinity. In the special case of the perturbed…

概率论 · 数学 2022-08-02 Philipp Lukas Strietzel , Anita Behme

In this paper a quantitative analysis of the ruin probability in finite time of discrete risk process with proportional reinsurance and investment of finance surplus is focused on. It is assumed that the total loss on a unit interval has a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-12-14 Helena Jasiulewicz , Wojciech Kordecki

We examine hitting probability problems for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes and Geometric Brownian motions (GBM) with respect to exponential boundaries related to problems arising in risk theory and asset and liability models in pension…

概率论 · 数学 2023-12-14 Efstathia Bougioukli , Michael A. Zazanis

We consider the valuation problem of an (insurance) company under partial information. Therefore we use the concept of maximizing discounted future dividend payments. The firm value process is described by a diffusion model with constant…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2016-02-16 Gunther Leobacher , Michaela Szölgyenyi , Stefan Thonhauser

We study the problem of optimally managing an inventory with unknown demand trend. Our formulation leads to a stochastic control problem under partial observation, in which a Brownian motion with non-observable drift can be singularly…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-11-28 Salvatore Federico , Giorgio Ferrari , Neofytos Rodosthenous

In this paper we investigate continuity properties for ruin probability in the classical risk model. Properties of contractive integral operators are used to derive continuity estimates for the deficit at ruin. These results are also…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-18 Lazaros Kanellopoulos

The Cram\'er-Lundberg model with exponential claims and proportional investment is solved exactly: the integro-differential equation for the survival probability reduces to a doubly confluent Heun equation, yielding an explicit solution in…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-13 Platon Promyslov , Maxim Romanov , Goluba Yurieva

We introduce the concept of cumulative Parisian ruin, which is based on the time spent in the red by the underlying surplus process. Our main result is an explicit representation for the distribution of the occupation time, over a…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-24 Hélène Guérin , Jean-François Renaud

We consider the classical optimal dividends problem under the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with exponential claim sizes subject to a constraint on the time of ruin. We introduce the dual problem and show that the complementary slackness…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-12-08 Camilo Hernandez , Mauricio Junca

In this paper, we study two optimisation settings for an insurance company, under the constraint that the terminal surplus at a deterministic and finite time $T$ follows a normal distribution with a given mean and a given variance. In both…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2022-06-13 Katia Colaneri , Julia Eisenberg , Benedetta Salterini

In this note we consider the two-dimensional risk model introduced in Avram et al. \cite{APP08} with constant interest rate. We derive the integral-differential equations of the Laplace transforms, and asymptotic expressions for the finite…

概率论 · 数学 2012-07-17 Ze-Chun Hu , Bin Jiang

In this paper, we discuss the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with investments, where the price of the invested risk asset follows a geometric Brownian motion with drift $a$ and volatility $\sigma> 0.$ By assuming there is a cap on the claim sizes,…

概率论 · 数学 2010-03-02 Shimao Fan , Sheng Xiong , Wei-Shih Yang

This paper derives the asymptotic behavior of $$\mathbb{P} \{ \int\limits_0^\infty \mathbb{I}\Big(B_H(s)-c_1s>q_1u, B_H(s)-c_2s>q_2u\Big)ds>T_u\},\quad u \to \infty,$$ where $B_H$ is a fractional Brownian motion, $c_1,c_2,q_1,q_2>0,\ H \in…

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-26 Grigori Jasnovidov

We consider the simple random walk on the $N$-dimensional integer lattice from the perspective of evaluating asymptotically the duration of play in the multidimensional gambler\apost s ruin problem. We show that, under suitable rescalings,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-08 Achillefs Tzioufas

We study multidimensional Cram\'er-Lundberg risk processes where agents, located on a large sparse network, receive losses form their neighbors. To reduce the dimensionality of the problem, we introduce classification of agents according to…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-15 Hamed Amini , Zhongyuan Cao , Andreea Minca , Agnès Sulem

This article studies in detail the solution of an integral equation due to Rongming et al. [13]. The methods involve complex analysis. As an application, we find the ruin probability of a given Bonus-Malus system in a steady state. We…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-23 Dan Kucerovsky , Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi

The discrete time risk model with two seasons and dependent claims is considered. An algorithm is created for computing the values of the ultimate ruin probability. Theoretical results are illustrated with numerical examples.

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-13 Olga Navickienė , Jonas Sprindys , Jonas Šiaulys

In this short note, we derive explicit formulas for the joint densities of the time to ruin and the number of claims until ruin in perturbed classical risk models, by constructing several auxiliary random processes.

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-22 Peng Liu , Chunsheng Zhang , Lanpeng Ji