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For a semimartingale with jumps, we propose a new estimation method for integrated volatility, i.e., the quadratic variation of the continuous martingale part, based on the global jump filter proposed by Inatsugu and Yoshida [8]. To decide…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-16 Haruhiko Inatsugu , Nakahiro Yoshida

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

We propose methods to infer jumps of a semi-martingale, which describes long-term price dynamics, based on discrete, noisy, high-frequency observations. Different to the classical model of additive, centered market microstructure noise, we…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-11-18 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Alexander Ristig

In quantitative finance, we often model asset prices as semimartingales, with drift, diffusion and jump components. The jump activity index measures the strength of the jumps at high frequencies, and is of interest both in model selection…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-13 Adam D. Bull

This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is in the volatility of an It\^{o} semi-martingale, the latter being discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-13 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Mathias Vetter

We provide a comprehensive analysis of spot volatility inference in pure-jump semimartingales under two asymptotic settings: fixed-$k$, where each local window uses a fixed number of observations, and large-$k$, where this number grows with…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-27 Chengxin Yan , Dachuan Chen , Jia Li

This paper introduces test and estimation procedures for abrupt and gradual changes in the entire jump behaviour of a discretely observed Ito semimartingale. In contrast to existing work we analyse jumps of arbitrary size which are not…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-08 Michael Hoffmann , Holger Dette

The typical central limit theorems in high-frequency asymptotics for semimartingales are results on stable convergence to a mixed normal limit with an unknown conditional variance. Estimating this conditional variance usually is a hard…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-25 Mathias Vetter

We consider statistical inference for a class of continuous semimartingale regression models based on high-frequency observations subject to contamination by finite-activity jumps and spike noise. By employing density-power weighting and…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-01 Shoichi Eguchi , Hiroki Masuda

Asymptotic theory for approximate martingale estimating functions is generalised to diffusions with finite-activity jumps, when the sampling frequency and terminal sampling time go to infinity. Rate optimality and efficiency are of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-05 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

We consider the problem of detecting jumps in an otherwise smoothly evolving trend whilst the covariance and higher-order structures of the system can experience both smooth and abrupt changes over time. The number of jump points is allowed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-27 Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

Volatility estimation is a central problem in financial econometrics, but becomes particularly challenging when jump activity is high, a phenomenon observed empirically in highly traded financial securities. In this paper, we revisit the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-13 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Tianwei Zhou

The scope of this manuscript is to review some recent developments in statistics for discretely observed semimartingales which are motivated by applications for financial markets. Our journey through this area stops to take closer looks at…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-04-23 Markus Bibinger

Many methods for estimating integrated volatility and related functionals of semimartingales in the presence of jumps require specification of tuning parameters for their use in practice. In much of the available theory, tuning parameters…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than two decades. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems has been the estimation of the quadratic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-04-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

This article investigates discrete-time approximations of stochastic integrals driven by semimartingales with jumps via weighted bounded mean oscillation (BMO) approach. This approach enables $L_p$-estimates, $p \in (2, \infty)$, for the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-12-14 Nguyen Tran Thuan

This paper proposes novel tests for the absence of jumps in a univariate semimartingale and for the absence of common jumps in a bivariate semimartingale. Our methods rely on ratio statistics of power variations based on irregular…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-21 Ole Martin , Mathias Vetter

We study the estimation of leverage effect and volatility of volatility by using high-frequency data with the presence of jumps. We first construct spot volatility estimator by using the empirical characteristic function of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu , Wang Zhou

The objective of this paper is to study the filtering problem for a system of partially observable processes $(X, Y)$, where $X$ is a non-Markovian pure-jump process representing the signal and $Y$ is a general jump-diffusion which provides…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-02 Elena Bandini , Alessandro Calvia , Katia Colaneri

In this study, we develop a deterministic nonlinear filtering algorithm based on a high-dimensional version of Kitagawa (1987) to evaluate the likelihood function of models that allow for stochastic volatility and jumps whose arrival…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-07-02 Jean-François Bégin , Mathieu Boudreault
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