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相关论文: A note on critical Hawkes processes

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We study the critical and off-critical (Griffiths-McCoy) regions of the random transverse-field Ising spin chain by analytical and numerical methods and by phenomenological scaling considerations. Here we extend previous investigations to…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-10-30 F. Igloi , H. Rieger

Hawkes processes are a self-exciting stochastic process used to describe phenomena whereby past events increase the probability of the occurrence of future events. This work presents a flexible approach for modelling a variant of these,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-08 Raiha Browning , Judith Rousseau , Kerrie Mengersen

We present a "black box" proof of mean-field near-critical behaviour for a family of functions on $\mathbb Z^d$ (${d>2}$) satisfying a short list of assumptions. The functions represent two-point functions of a lattice statistical…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-22 Hugo Duminil-Copin , Aman Markar , Romain Panis , Gordon Slade

As a tool for capturing irregular temporal dependencies (rather than resorting to binning temporal observations to construct time series), Hawkes processes with exponential decay have seen widespread adoption across many application…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-05 Tiago Santos , Florian Lemmerich , Denis Helic

A step reinforced random walk is a discrete time process with memory such that at each time step, with fixed probability $p \in (0,1)$, it repeats a previously performed step chosen uniformly at random while with complementary probability…

概率论 · 数学 2022-10-04 Alejandro Rosales-Ortiz

We construct the conditional version of $k$ independent and identically distributed random walks on $\R$ given that they stay in strict order at all times. This is a generalisation of so-called non-colliding or non-intersecting random…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Peter Eichelsbacher , Wolfgang Konig

Existence and stability properties are studied for Hawkes process, i.e. point process $S$ that has long-memory and intensity $r(t)=\lambda \big(g_0(t)+ \sum_{\tau<t, \tau \in S} h(t-\tau) \big)$. The approach to Hawkes process presented in…

概率论 · 数学 2013-01-17 Dmytro Karabash

We consider a system of independent branching random walks on $\R$ which start off a Poisson point process with intensity of the form $e_{\lambda}(du)=e^{-\lambda u}du$, where $\lambda\in\R$ is chosen in such a way that the overall…

概率论 · 数学 2011-03-31 Zakhar Kabluchko

Hawkes processes are a class of point processes that have the ability to model the self- and mutual-exciting phenomena. Although the classic Hawkes processes cover a wide range of applications, their expressive ability is limited due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-10 Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong , Yixuan Zhang , Cheng Feng , Jun Zhu

We consider a sequence of Hawkes processes whose excitation measures may depend on the generation, and study its scaling limits in the near-unstable limiting regime. The limiting random measures, characterized via a nonlinear convolutional…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-08 Tristan Pace , Gordan Zitkovic

We consider a nonlinear multivariate Hawkes process having a variable length memory which allows to describe the activity of a neuronal network by its membrane potential. We propose a graphical construction of the process and we construct,…

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-20 Branda Goncalves , Paul Gresland

We introduce a continuous-time random walk model on an infinite multilayer structure inspired by transportation networks. Each layer is a copy of $\mathbb{R}^d$, indexed by a non-negative integer. A walker moves within a layer by means of…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-04 Alessandra Bianchi , Marco Lenci , Françoise Pène

In this work, several convergence results are established for nearly critical self-excited systems in which event arrivals are described by multivariate marked Hawkes point processes. Under some mild high-frequency assumptions, the rescaled…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-31 Wei Xu

We consider a discrete-time version of a Hawkes process defined as a Poisson auto-regressive process whose parameters depend on the past of the trajectory. We allow these parameters to take on negative values, modelling inhibition. More…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-19 Manon Costa , Pascal Maillard , Anthony Muraro

In this paper we prove that, under the assumption of quasi-transitivity, if a branching random walk on ${{\mathbb{Z}}^d}$ survives locally (at arbitrarily large times there are individuals alive at the origin), then so does the same process…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-22 Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca

Let T be a rooted supercritical multi-type Galton-Watson (MGW) tree with types coming from a finite alphabet, conditioned to non-extinction. The lambda-biased random walk (X_t, t>=0) on T is the nearest-neighbor random walk which, when at a…

概率论 · 数学 2012-05-08 Amir Dembo , Nike Sun

We consider the critical and off-critical properties at the boundary of the random transverse-field Ising spin chain when the distribution of the couplings and/or transverse fields, at a distance $l$ from the surface, deviates from its…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-08-15 Dragi Karevski , Róbert Juhász , Loïc Turban , Ferenc Iglói

Hawkes processes are a class of self-exciting point processes that are used to model complex phenomena. While most applications of Hawkes processes assume that event data occurs in continuous-time, the less-studied discrete-time version of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-06-01 Trinnhallen Brisley , Gordon Ross , Daniel Paulin , Jake Easto

In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of nearly unstable Hawkes processes whose regression kernel has $L^1$ norm strictly greater than one and close to one as time goes to infinity. We find that,the scaling size determines…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-14 Chenguang Liu , Liping Xu , An Zhang

In this paper, we introduce a new class of processes which are diffusions with jumps driven by a multivariate nonlinear Hawkes process. Our goal is to study their long-time behavior. In the case of exponential memory kernels for the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-09 Charlotte Dion , Sarah Lemler , Eva Löcherbach