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We propose a new splitting method for strong numerical solution of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model. For this method, applied over both deterministic and adaptive random meshes, we prove a uniform moment bound and strong error results of order…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-02-08 Cónall Kelly , Gabriel J. Lord

In [Schuhmacher, Electron. J. Probab. 10 (2005), 165--201] estimates of the Barbour-Brown distance d_2 between the distribution of a thinned point process and the distribution of a Poisson process were derived by combining discretization…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Dominic Schuhmacher

The analytical tractability of affine (short rate) models, such as the Vasicek and the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross models, has made them a popular choice for modelling the dynamics of interest rates. However, in order to account properly for the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2016-09-08 Philipp Harms , David Stefanovits , Josef Teichmann , Mario Wüthrich

This paper considers the case of pricing discretely-sampled variance swaps under the class of equity-interest rate hybridization. Our modeling framework consists of the equity which follows the dynamics of the Heston stochastic volatility…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2020-04-14 Teh Raihana Nazirah Roslan , Wenjun Zhang , Jiling Cao

In usual stochastic volatility models, the process driving the volatility of the asset price evolves according to an autonomous one-dimensional stochastic differential equation. We assume that the coefficients of this equation are smooth.…

概率论 · 数学 2011-10-19 Benjamin Jourdain , Mohamed Sbai

This work is denoted to studying the tail behavior of Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) processes with regime-switching. One essential difference shown in this work between CIR process with regime-switching and without regime-switching is that the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-07 Tongtong Hou , Jinghai Shao

We consider a class of stochastic path-dependent volatility models where the stochastic volatility, whose square follows the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model, is multiplied by a (leverage) function of the spot price, its running maximum, and time.…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2018-10-09 Andrei Cozma , Christoph Reisinger

We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form $dr_t = (a - b r_t) dt + \sigma\sqrt{r_t}dW_t$, where $a$, $b$ and $\sigma$ are positive constants. The solution corresponds to the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. We study the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-12 Olena Dehtiar , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We consider the exact path sampling of the squared Bessel process and some other continuous-time Markov processes, such as the CIR model, constant elasticity of variance diffusion model, and hypergeometric diffusions, which can all be…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2009-10-28 Roman N. Makarov , Devin Glew

The computational cost for inference and prediction of statistical models based on Gaussian processes with Mat\'ern covariance functions scales cubicly with the number of observations, limiting their applicability to large data sets. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-04 David Bolin , Vaibhav Mehandiratta , Alexandre B. Simas

Due to the importance of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process in different areas of finance, a broad spectrum of studies and investigations on this model have been carried out. In case of ambiguity, we characterize it by applying the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-11-14 Bahar Akhtari , Hanwu Li

For valuing European options, a straightforward model is the well-known Black-Scholes formula. Contrary to market reality, this model assumed that interest rate and volatility are constant. To modify the Black-Scholes model, Heston and…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-06-13 Elham Mashayekhi , Javad Damirchi , Ahmad Reza Yazdanian

A basic model in financial mathematics was introduced by Black, Scholes and Merton in 1973 (BSM model). A classical discrete approximation in distribution is the binomial model given by Cox, Ross and Rubinstein in 1979 (CRR model). The BSM…

概率论 · 数学 2016-05-10 Zsolt Nika , Tamás Szabados

In this paper, we consider three stochastic-volatility models, each characterized by distinct dynamics of instantaneous volatility: (1) a CIR process for squared volatility (i.e., the classical Heston model); (2) a mean-reverting lognormal…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2025-10-14 V. Perederiy

Stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo (SGMCMC) has become a popular method for scalable Bayesian inference. These methods are based on sampling a discrete-time approximation to a continuous time process, such as the Langevin…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-10-29 Jack Baker , Paul Fearnhead , Emily B Fox , Christopher Nemeth

We consider rough stochastic volatility models where the driving noise of volatility has fractional scaling, in the "rough" regime of Hurst parameter $H < 1/2$. This regime recently attracted a lot of attention both from the statistical and…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2018-03-12 Christian Bayer , Peter K. Friz , Archil Gulisashvili , Blanka Horvath , Benjamin Stemper

We study the $L^1$-approximation of the log-Heston SDE at the terminal time point by arbitrary methods that use an equidistant discretization of the driving Brownian motion. We show that such methods can achieve at most order $ \min \{ \nu,…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-02-15 Annalena Mickel , Andreas Neuenkirch

We introduce Conformal Interquantile Regression (CIR), a conformal regression method that efficiently constructs near-minimal prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage. CIR leverages black-box machine learning models to estimate outcome…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-07 Naixin Guo , Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

For stochastic processes of non-commuting random variables we formulate a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) stochastic differential equation in the context of free probability theory which was introduced by Voicelescu. By transforming the classical…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-27 Holger Fink , Henry Port , Georg Schlüchtermann

Modelling random dynamical systems in continuous time, diffusion processes are a powerful tool in many areas of science. Model parameters can be estimated from time-discretely observed processes using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-12 Susanne Pieschner , Christiane Fuchs