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We prove a sequence of limiting results about weakly dependent stationary and regularly varying stochastic processes in discrete time. After deducing the limiting distribution for individual clusters of extremes, we present a new type of…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-05 Bojan Basrak , Hrvoje Planinic , Philippe Soulier

A symbolic-computational algorithm, fully implemented in Maple, is described, that computes explicit expressions for generating functions that enable the efficient computations of the expectation, variance, and higher moments, of the random…

组合数学 · 数学 2017-03-22 Andrew Lohr , Doron Zeilberger

We introduce a class of two-parameter discrete dispersion models, obtained by combining convolution with a factorial tilting operation, similar to exponential dispersion models which combine convolution and exponential tilting. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-09-29 Bent Jørgensen , Célestin C. Kokonendji

Inferring the ancestral state at the root of a phylogenetic tree from states observed at the leaves is a problem arising in evolutionary biology. The simplest technique -- majority rule -- estimates the root state by the most frequently…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-04-11 Elchanan Mossel , Mike Steel

From the perspective of expectations of randomly stopped sums, Wald's equation and the Optional Sampling Theorem identify situations in which the stopping time can be decoupled from the stopping place, acting as if the two were independent.…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-27 Michael J. Klass , Victor H. de la Pena

The now classical convergence in distribution theorem for well normalized sums ofstationary martingale increments has been extended to multi-indexed martingaleincrements (see Voln\'{y} (2019) and references in there). In the presentarticle…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-05-24 Davide Giraudo , Emmanuel Lesigne , Dalibor Volny

We develop a method based on martingales to study first-passage problems of time-additive observables exiting an interval of finite width in a Markov process. In the limit that the interval width is large, we derive generic expressions for…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-05-14 Izaak Neri

Several results of large deviations are obtained for distributions that are associated with the Poisson--Dirichlet distribution and the Ewens sampling formula when the parameter $\theta$ approaches infinity. The motivation for these results…

概率论 · 数学 2007-11-06 Shui Feng

The analysis of the linearization effect in multifractal analysis, and hence of the estimation of moments for multifractal processes, is revisited borrowing concepts from the statistical physics of disordered systems, notably from the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2011-07-28 Florian Angeletti , Marc Mézard , Eric Bertin , Patrice Abry

We present sufficient conditions for sums of dependent point processes to converge in distribution to a Poisson process. This extends the classical result of Grigelionis [Theory Probab. Appl. 8 (1963) 172--182] for sums of uniformly null…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Matthew O. Jones , Richard F. Serfozo

In this paper considering the transformation $X=\frac{Y}{1+Y}$, where $Y \sim\text{Lindley}(\theta)$, we propose the unit-Lindley distribution and investigate some of its mathematical properties. A important fact associated with this new…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-09 J. Mazucheli , A. F. B. Menezes , S. Chakraborty

We introduce innovative inference procedures for analyzing time series data. Our methodology enables density approximation and composite hypothesis testing based on Whittle's estimator, a widely applied M-estimator in the frequency domain.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-20 Alban Moor , Davide La Vecchia , Elvezio Ronchetti

We revisit the discrete additive and multiplicative coalescents, starting with $n$ particles with unit mass. These cases are known to be related to some "combinatorial coalescent processes": a time reversal of a fragmentation of Cayley…

概率论 · 数学 2014-09-16 Nicolas Broutin , Jean-François Marckert

Coalescence processes have received a lot of attention in the context of conditional branching processes with fixed population size and non-overlapping generations. Here we focus on similar problems in the context of the standard…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-25 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

The ancestral selection graph in population genetics was introduced by KroneNeuhauser (1997) as an analogue of the coalescent genealogy of a sample of genes from a neutrally evolving population. The number of particles in this graph,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-04-08 Shuhei Mano

In this paper, we consider Galton-Watson processes with immigration. Pick $i(\ge2)$ individuals randomly without replacement from the $n$-th generation and trace their lines of descent back in time till they coalesce into $1$ individual in…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-25 Hua-Ming Wang , Lulu Li , Huizi Yao

A Galton-Watson process in a varying environment is a discrete time branching process where the offspring distributions vary among generations. It is known that in the critical case, these processes have a Yaglom limit, that is, a suitable…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-03 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Arturo Jaramillo , Sandra Palau

In probability theory and statistics, the IID model represents a single population, and a large, potentially infinite sample from this population. Main theorems, in particular the central limit theorem and laws of large number (LLN) assure…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-02 Uwe Saint-Mont

We study the process of suitably normalized successive return times to rare events in the setting of infinite-measure preserving dynamical systems. Specifically, we consider small neighborhoods of points whose measure tends to zero. We…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-12-02 Dylan Bansard-Tresse

We handle divergent {\epsilon} expansions in different universality classes derived from modified Landau-Wilson Hamiltonian. Landau-Wilson Hamiltonian can cater for describing critical phenomena on a wide range of physical systems which…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-09-24 Venkat Abhignan , R. Sankaranarayanan