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We consider a discrete time hidden Markov model where the signal is a stationary Markov chain. When conditioned on the observations, the signal is a Markov chain in a random environment under the conditional measure. It is shown that this…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-24 Ramon van Handel

We study the transport properties of nonautonomous chaotic dynamical systems over a finite time duration. We are particularly interested in those regions that remain coherent and relatively non-dispersive over finite periods of time,…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-05-19 Gary Froyland , Naratip Santitissadeekorn , Adam Monahan

A one-dimensional confined Nonlinear Random Walk is a tuple of $N$ diffeomorphisms of the unit interval driven by a probabilistic Markov chain. For generic such walks, we obtain a geometric characterization of their ergodic stationary…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-07-19 Victor Kleptsyn , Denis Volk

We study a fairly general class of time-homogeneous stochastic evolutions driven by noises that are not white in time. As a consequence, the resulting processes do not have the Markov property. In this setting, we obtain constructive…

概率论 · 数学 2009-02-12 M. Hairer

In the theory of random dynamical systems (RDS), individuals with different initial states follow a same law of motion that is stochastically changing with time | called extrinsic noise. In the present work, intrin- sic noises for each…

概率论 · 数学 2018-06-21 Adrian Jarret

Metastability is a physical phenomenon ubiquitous in first order phase transitions. A fruitful mathematical way to approach this phenomenon is the study of rare transitions Markov chains. For Metropolis chains associated with Statistical…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-30 Emilio Cirillo , Francesca Nardi , Julien Sohier

We describe classes of ergodic dynamical systems for which some statistical properties are known exactly. These systems have integer dimension, are not globally dissipative, and are defined by a probability density and a two-form. This…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2014-06-09 Zachary Guralnik , Cengiz Pehlevan , Gerald Guralnik

The deterministic dynamics of randomly connected neural networks are studied, where a state of binary neurons evolves according to a discreet-time synchronous update rule. We give a theoretical support that the overlap of systems' states…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-03-10 Taro Toyoizumi , Haiping Huang

In the present paper, we consider random invariant densities and the mean ergodic theorem for Markov operator cocycles which are applicable to quenched type random dynamical systems. We give necessary and sufficient conditions for the…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-07-27 Fumihiko Nakamura , Hisayoshi Toyokawa

Asymptotic local equivalence in the sense of Le Cam is established for inference on the drift in multidimensional ergodic diffusions and an accompanying sequence of Gaussian shift experiments. The nonparametric local neighbourhoods can be…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-08-20 Arnak Dalalyan , Markus Reiss

Motivated by studying stochastic systems with non-Gaussian L\'evy noise, spectral properties for a type of linear cocycles are considered. These linear cocycles have countable jump discontinuities in time. A multiplicative ergodic theorem…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-09 Huijie Qiao , Jinqiao Duan

We study the ergodic behaviour of a discrete-time process $X$ which is a Markov chain in a stationary random environment. The laws of $X_t$ are shown to converge to a limiting law in (weighted) total variation distance as $t\to\infty$.…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-29 Balazs Gerencser , Miklos Rasonyi

This paper shows the existence of independent random matching of a large (continuum) population in both static and dynamic systems, which has been popular in the economics and genetics literatures. We construct a joint agent-probability…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Darrell Duffie , Yeneng Sun

In the framework of statistical mechanics the properties of macroscopic systems are deduced starting from the laws of their microscopic dynamics. One of the key assumptions in this procedure is the ergodic property, namely the equivalence…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-01-09 Marco Baldovin , Raffaele Marino , Angelo Vulpiani

We study statistical properties of a family of maps acting in the space of integer valued sequences, which model dynamics of simple deterministic traffic flows. We obtain asymptotic (as time goes to infinity) properties of trajectories of…

动力系统 · 数学 2007-05-23 Michael Blank

A discrete dynamical system in Euclidean m-space generated by the iterates of an asymptotically zero map f, satisfying f(x) goes to zero as x goes to infinity, must have a compact global attracting set $A $. The question of what additional…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-06-17 Yogesh Joshi , Denis Blackmore

We prove that diffusion equations with a space-time stationary and ergodic, divergence-free drift homogenize in law to a deterministic stochastic partial differential equation with Stratonovich transport noise. In the absence of spatial…

概率论 · 数学 2022-08-01 Benjamin Fehrman

We prove that certain asymptotic moments exist for some random distance expanding dynamical systems and Markov chains in random dynamical environment, and compute them in terms of the derivatives at the $0$ of an appropriate pressure…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-05-13 Yeor Hafouta

The aim of this paper is to study the asymptotic behaviour of a class of self- attracting motions on R^d . Using stochastic approximation methods, these processes have already been studied by Bena\"im, Ledoux and Raimond (2002) in a compact…

概率论 · 数学 2010-06-01 Victor Kleptsyn , Aline Kurtzmann

We are concerned with the asymptotics of the Markov chain given by the post-jump locations of a certain piecewise-deterministic Markov process with a state-dependent jump intensity. We provide sufficient conditions for such a model to…

概率论 · 数学 2024-03-26 Dawid Czapla , Joanna Kubieniec