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We present a novel model for the effect of echo chambers, filter bubbles, and reinforcement on election results. Our model extends the well known voter model with zealots to include reinforcement. We analyze the behaviour of the model,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-07-09 Johannes Müller , Volker Hösel , Aurélien Tellier

This paper develops two mathematical models to understand subjects' behavior in response to the urgency of a change and inputs from governments e.g., (subsides) in the context of the diffusion of the solar photovoltaic in Italy. The first…

Instruction-finetuned Large Language Models inherit clear political leanings that have been shown to influence downstream task performance. We expand this line of research beyond the two-party system in the US and audit Llama Chat in the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-03-25 Ilias Chalkidis , Stephanie Brandl

Politics around the world exhibits increasing polarization, demonstrated in part by rigid voting configurations in institutions like legislatures or courts. A crux of polarization is separation along a unidimensional ideological axis, but…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-12-12 Edward D. Lee

In this paper, using Monte Carlo simulations we show that the Blume-Capel model gives rise to the social depolarization. This model borrowed from statistical physics uses the continuous Ising spin varying from -1 to 1 passing by zero to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-12-27 Hung T. Diep , Miron Kaufman , Sanda Kaufman

We present a model of voting behaviour based on a version of aggregated overdispersed multinomial distributions; relative to a similar model by \citet{BP86}, our model is based on more realistic assumptions and free from certain…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-11-10 Antonio Forcina

The stability of a leadership against a growing internal opposition is studied in bottom-up hierarchical organizations. Using a very simple model with bottom-up majority rule voting, the dynamics of power distribution at the various…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Serge Galam

We study the community structure of networks representing voting on resolutions in the United Nations General Assembly. We construct networks from the voting records of the separate annual sessions between 1946 and 2008 in three different…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2011-10-19 Kevin T. Macon , Peter J. Mucha , Mason A. Porter

We propose the use of hierarchical taxonomy to analyze the legislative election results as a model of multi-party system to show the robustness in political system. As an example we use the result of Indonesian legislative election 2004 is…

斑图形成与孤子 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Hokky Situngkir

Political fragmentation denotes the differentiation of a political system into multiple groups and the extent of separation among them. It often manifests structurally in online interaction behaviors. To measure and compare political…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Yuan Zhang , Laia Castro , Frank Esser , Alexandre Bovet

The study of complex political phenomena such as parties' polarization calls for mathematical models of political systems. In this paper, we aim at modeling the time evolution of a political system whereby various parties selfishly interact…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-09-13 Nicolas Lanzetti , Joudi Hajar , Florian Dörfler

We study the volatility of the MIB30-stock-index high-frequency data from November 28, 1994 through September 15, 1995. Our aim is to empirically characterize the volatility random walk in the framework of continuous-time finance. To this…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Marco Raberto , Enrico Scalas , Gianaurelio Cuniberti , Massimo Riani

The cluster analysis methods are used in order to perform a comparative study of 15 EU countries in relation with the fluctuations of some basic macroeconomic indicators. The statistical distances between countries are calculated for…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2010-03-16 Mircea Gligor , Marcel Ausloos

Often exhibiting hierarchical and overlapping structures, communities or modular groups are fundamental and complex in network science. One of the most exploited tools to detect the mesoscopic structure is synchronization. Several phenomena…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-07-05 Ren Ren , Jinliang Shao

We study a family of weighted random walks on complete graphs. These `democratic walks' turn out to be explicitly solvable, and we find the hierarchy window for which the characteristic time scale saturates the so-called fast scrambling…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2015-07-10 Javier M. Magan

We introduce and study the block voter model with noise on two-dimensional square lattices using Monte Carlo simulations and finite-size scaling techniques. The model is defined by an outflow dynamics where a central set of $N_{PCS}$ spins,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-09-30 C. I. N. Sampaio , F. G. B. Moreira

We describe the simulation method of modelling the population evolution using Monte Carlo based on the Penna model. Individuals in the populations are represented by their diploid genomes. Genes expressed after the minimum reproduction age…

基因组学 · 定量生物学 2009-01-13 Agnieszka Laszkiewicz , Przemyslaw Biecek , Katarzyna Bonkowska , Stanislaw Cebrat

We study the bidimensional voter model on a square lattice with numerical simulations. We demonstrate that the evolution takes place in two distinct dynamic regimes; a first approach towards critical site percolation and a further approach…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-10-14 Alessandro Tartaglia , Leticia F. Cugliandolo , Marco Picco

A most debated topic of the last years is whether simple statistical physics models can explain collective features of social dynamics. A necessary step in this line of endeavour is to find regularities in data referring to large scale…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Santo Fortunato , Claudio Castellano

The last decades have not only been characterized by an explosive growth of data, but also an increasing appreciation of data as a valuable resource. Their value comes with the ability to extract meaningful patterns that are of economic,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-27 Jonas I. Liechti , Sebastian Bonhoeffer