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The main objective of this paper is to develop extreme value theory for $\vartheta$-expansions. We establish the limit distribution of the maximum value in a $\vartheta$-continued fraction mixing stationary stochastic process, along with…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-04 Gabriela Ileana Sebe , Dan Lascu , Bilel Selmi

We explore the class of exchangeable Bernoulli distributions building on their geometrical structure. Exchangeable Bernoulli probability mass functions are points in a convex polytope and we have found analytical expressions for their…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-20 Roberto Fontana , Patrizia Semeraro

Let $ ([0,1]^d,T,\mu) $ be a measure-preserving dynamical system so that the correlations decay exponentially for H\"older continuous functions. Suppose that $ \mu $ is absolutely continuous with a density function $ h\in L^q(\mathcal L^d)…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-10-15 Yubin He

In this paper, we investigate annealed and quenched limit theorems for random expanding dynamical systems. Making use of functional analytic techniques and more probabilistic arguments with martingales, we prove annealed versions of a…

动力系统 · 数学 2014-07-18 Romain Aimino , Matthew Nicol , Sandro Vaienti

We obtain new lower and upper bounds for probabilities of unions of events.These bounds are sharp. They are stronger than earlier ones. General bounds maybe applied in arbitrary measurable spaces.We have improved the method that has been…

概率论 · 数学 2014-08-19 Andrei N. Frolov

Extreme value theory is part and parcel of any study of order statistics in one dimension. Our aim here is to consider such large sample theory for the maximum distance to the origin, and the related maximum "interpoint distance," in…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-30 Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka , Svante Janson

Leveraging the recently emerging geometric approach to multivariate extremes and the flexibility of normalising flows on the hypersphere, we propose a principled deep-learning-based methodology that enables accurate joint tail extrapolation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-07 Lambert De Monte , Raphaël Huser , Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jordan Richards

For a sequence of independent events $E_n$ the sum of the associated zero-one random variables $1_{E_n}$ is almost surely finite or almost surely infinite according as the sum of the probabilities converges or diverges. In this paper the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-07 Guus Balkema

In this paper we extend the orthogonal polynomials approach for extreme value calculations of Hermitian random matrices, developed by Nadal and Majumdar [1102.0738], to normal random matrices and 2D Coulomb gases in general. Firstly, we…

数学物理 · 物理学 2018-03-05 R. Ebrahimi , S. Zohren

A classical question about a metric space is whether Borel measures on the space are determined by their values on balls. We show that for any given measure this property is stable under Gromov-Wasserstein convergence of metric measure…

代数拓扑 · 数学 2024-01-23 Anne van Delft , Andrew J. Blumberg

We introduce the concept of geometric extremal graphical models, which are defined through the gauge function of the limit set obtained from suitably scaled random vectors in light-tailed margins. For block graphs, we prove results relating…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-05 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jennifer Wadsworth

We show that generalised extreme value statistics -the statistics of the k-th largest value among a large set of random variables- can be mapped onto a problem of random sums. This allows us to identify classes of non-identical and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Eric Bertin , Maxime Clusel

A coordinate-free proof of the Maximum Principle is provided in the specific case of an optimal control problem with fixed time. Our treatment heavily relies on a special notion of variation of curves that consist of a concatenation of…

微分几何 · 数学 2007-05-23 B. Langerock

We consider intermittent maps T of the interval, with an absolutely continuous invariant probability measure \mu. Kim showed that there exists a sequence of intervals A_n such that \sum \mu(A_n)=\infty, but \{A_n\} does not satisfy the…

动力系统 · 数学 2009-11-13 Sebastien Gouezel

We study the statistics of the maximum and minimum of a set of $N$ random variables whose dynamical and statistical properties fall within the scope of infinite ergodic theory. These non-stationary yet recurrent systems are described, in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-03-09 Talia Baravi , Eli Barkai

Data-driven anomaly detection methods typically build a model for the normal behavior of the target system, and score each data instance with respect to this model. A threshold is invariably needed to identify data instances with high (or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-09 Sreelekha Guggilam , S. M. Arshad Zaidi , Varun Chandola , Abani Patra

We consider the question of giving an upper bound for the first nontrivial eigenvalue of the Wentzell-Laplace operator of a domain $\Omega$, involving only geometrical informations. We provide such an upper bound, by generalizing Brock's…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-10-02 Marc Dambrine , Djalil Kateb , Jimmy Lamboley

In this paper we perform an analytical and numerical study of Extreme Value distributions in discrete dynamical systems that have a singular measure. Using the block maxima approach described in Faranda et al. [2011] we show that,…

动力系统 · 数学 2011-06-14 Davide Faranda , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

We introduce and study Multi-Quantile estimators for the parameters $( \xi, \sigma, \mu)$ of Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distributions to provide a robust approach to extreme value modeling. Unlike classical estimators, such as the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-03 Sen Lin , Ao Kong , Robert Azencott

We discuss some conditional generalized Borel-Cantelli lemmas and investigate their quantitative versions following the ideas of Arthan and Oliva (arXiv: 2012.09942).

概率论 · 数学 2022-11-30 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao