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We derive a system of stochastic differential equations simulating the dynamics of the three agent groups with herding interaction. Proposed approach can be valuable in the modeling of the complex socio-economic systems with similar…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-10-17 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

We present examples of agent-based and stochastic models of competition and business processes in economics and finance. We start from as simple as possible models, which have microscopic, agent-based, versions and macroscopic treatment in…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2012-07-31 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis , Valentas Daniunas

We investigate the volatility return intervals in the NYSE and FOREX markets. We explain previous empirical findings using a model based on the interacting agent hypothesis instead of the widely-used efficient market hypothesis. We derive…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-10-26 Vygintas Gontis , Shlomo Havlin , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Boris Podobnik , H. Eugene Stanley

We propose a Markov jump process with the three-state herding interaction. We see our approach as an agent-based model for the financial markets. Under certain assumptions this agent-based model can be related to the stochastic description…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2013-02-05 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

Agent-based modeling is a powerful simulation technique to understand the collective behavior and microscopic interaction in complex financial systems. Recently, the concept for determining the key parameters of the agent-based models from…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-03-21 T. T. Chen , B. Zheng , Y. Li , X. F. Jiang

Background: For complex financial systems, the negative and positive return-volatility correlations, i.e., the so-called leverage and anti-leverage effects, are particularly important for the understanding of the price dynamics. However,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-07-22 Jun-jie Chen , Bo Zheng , Lei Tan

A growing part of the behavioral finance literature has addressed some of the stylized facts of financial time series as macroscopic patterns emerging from herding interactions among groups of agents with heterogeneous trading strategies…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-09-28 Adrián Carro , Raúl Toral , Maxi San Miguel

In complex financial systems, the sector structure and volatility clustering are respectively important features of the spatial and temporal correlations. However, the microscopic generation mechanism of the sector structure is not yet…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2015-04-09 Jun-Jie Chen , Lei Tan , Bo Zheng

We focus on the influence of external sources of information upon financial markets. In particular, we develop a stochastic agent-based market model characterized by a certain herding behavior as well as allowing traders to be influenced by…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2015-07-28 Adrián Carro , Raúl Toral , Maxi San Miguel

A characteristic feature of complex systems in general is a tight coupling between their constituent parts. In complex socio-economic systems this kind of behavior leads to self-organization, which may be both desirable (e.g. social…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-03-29 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

Agent-based models provide a constructive approach to studying emergent dynamics in life-like systems composed of interacting, adaptive agents. Financial markets serve as a canonical example of such systems, where collective price dynamics…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-28 Ryuji Hashimoto , Ryosuke Takata , Masahiro Suzuki , Yuki Tanaka , Kiyoshi Izumi

In this paper, we study the herding phenomena in financial markets arising from the combined effect of (1) non-coordinated collective interactions between the market players and (2) concurrent reactions of market players to dynamic market…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2017-12-05 Hyeong-Ohk Bae , Seung-yeon Cho , Sang-hyeok Lee , Seok-Bae Yun

We address microscopic, agent based, and macroscopic, stochastic, modeling of the financial markets combining it with the exogenous noise. The interplay between the endogenous dynamics of agents and the exogenous noise is the primary…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-11-22 Vygintas Gontis

We introduce a stochastic heterogeneous interacting-agent model for the short-time non-equilibrium evolution of excess demand and price in a stylized asset market. We consider a combination of social interaction within peer groups and…

We provide evidence that for some values of the parameters a simple agent based model, describing herding behavior, yields signals with 1/f power spectral density. We derive a non-linear stochastic differential equation for the ratio of…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2015-06-03 J. Ruseckas , B. Kaulakys , V. Gontis

We propose a three-state microscopic opinion formation model for the purpose of simulating the dynamics of financial markets. In order to mimic the heterogeneous composition of the mass of investors in a market, the agent-based model…

One approach to the analysis of stochastic fluctuations in market prices is to model characteristics of investor behaviour and the complex interactions between market participants, with the aim of extracting consequences in the aggregate.…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ulrich Horst , Ronnie Sircar

Based on criteria of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a model with volatility driven by fractional noise has been constructed which provides a fairly accurate mathematical parametrization of the data.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2010-08-31 R. Vilela Mendes

We present a detailed study of the statistical properties of an Agent Based Model and of its generalization to the multiplicative dynamics. The aim of the model is to consider the minimal elements for the understanding of the origin of the…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 V. Alfi , M. Cristelli , L. Pietronero , A. Zaccaria

Agent-based models help explain stock price dynamics as emergent phenomena driven by interacting investors. In this modeling tradition, investor behavior has typically been captured by two distinct mechanisms -- learning and heterogeneous…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-11-12 Ryuji Hashimoto , Ryosuke Takata , Masahiro Suzuki , Yuki Tanaka , Kiyoshi Izumi
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