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相关论文: Example of a Non-standard Extreme Value Law

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In this manuscript, we study the limiting distribution for the joint law of the largest and the smallest singular values for random circulant matrices with generating sequence given by independent and identically distributed random elements…

概率论 · 数学 2023-05-05 Gerardo Barrera , Paulo Manrique-Mirón

The Extremal Index is a parameter that measures the intensity of clustering of rare events and is usually equal to the reciprocal of the mean of the limiting cluster size distribution. We show how to build dynamically generated stochastic…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-05-20 Miguel Abadi , Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas

In order to better fit real-world datasets, studying asymmetric distribution is of great interest. In this work, we derive several mathematical properties of a general class of asymmetric distributions with positive support which shows up…

We propose extreme value analogues of natural exponential families and exponential dispersion models, and introduce the slope function as an analogue of the variance function. The set of quadratic and power slope functions characterize…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-12-31 Bent Jørgensen , Yuri Goegebeur , José Raúl Martínez

The object of this paper is twofold. From one side we study the dichotomy, in terms of the Extremal Index of the possible Extreme Value Laws, when the rare events are centred around periodic or non periodic points. Then we build a general…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-03-24 Hale Aytaç , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Sandro Vaienti

Extreme value statistics, or extreme statistics for short, refers to the statistics that characterizes rare events of either unusually high or low intensity: climate disasters like floods following extremely intense rains are among the…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2013-11-11 R. Labbé , G. Bustamante

The paper deals with the asymptotic laws of functional of standard random variables. These classes of statistics are closely related to estimators of the extreme value index when the underlying distribution function is in the Weibull domain…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-22 Gane Samb Lo , Adja Mbarka Fall , Cheikhna Hamallah Ndiaye , Akym Adekpejou

For flows whose return map on a cross section has sufficient mixing property, we show that the hitting time distribution of the flow to balls is exponential in limit. We also establish a link between the extreme value distribution of the…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-09-26 Maria Jose Pacifico , Fan Yang

Consider an ergodic measure preserving dynamical system $(T,X,\mu)$, and an observable $\phi:X\to\mathbb{R}$. For the time series $X_n(x)=\phi(T^{n}(x))$, we establish limit laws for the maximum process $M_n=\max_{k\leq n}X_k$ in the case…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-05-13 Meagan Carney , Mark Holland , Matthew Nicol

A famous result going back to Eric Kostlan states that the moduli of the eigenvalues of random normal matrices with radial potential are independent yet non identically distributed. This phenomenon is at the heart of the asymptotic analysis…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-07 David García-Zelada

Inference over tails is usually performed by fitting an appropriate limiting distribution over observations that exceed a fixed threshold. However, the choice of such threshold is critical and can affect the inferential results. Extreme…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-02-26 Chiara Lattanzi , Manuele Leonelli

We prove limit theorems of an entirely new type for certain long memory regularly varying stationary infinitely divisible random processes. These theorems involve multiple phase transitions governed by how long the memory is. Apart from one…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-23 Gennady Samorodnitsky , Yizao Wang

The distribution of block maxima of sequences of independent and identically-distributed random variables is used to model extreme values in many disciplines. The traditional extreme value (EV) theory derives a closed-form expression for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-27 Marco Marani , Enrico Zorzetto

According to Benford's Law, many data sets have a bias towards lower leading digits (about $30\%$ are $1$'s). The applications of Benford's Law vary: from detecting tax, voter and image fraud to determining the possibility of match-fixing…

The statistics of the slowest first-passage time among a large population of $N$ searchers is crucial for determining the completion time of many stochastic processes. Classical extreme-value theory predicts that for diffusing particles in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-12-24 Talia Baravi , Eli Barkai

The Generalized Central Limit Theorem is a remarkable generalization of the Central Limit Theorem, showing that the sum of a large number of independent, identically-distributed (i.i.d) random variables with infinite variance may converge…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-02-19 Ariel Amir

A simple expression for the non-equilibrium distribution function in ultra-fast transient processes is proposed. Postulating its dependence on temporal derivatives of the equilibrium integrals of motion, non-equilibrium analogues of the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-02-18 K. S. Glavatskiy

In this paper we discuss the problem of the estimation of extreme event occurrence probability for data drawn from some multifractal process. We also study the heavy (power-law) tail behavior of probability density function associated with…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Jean-Francois Muzy , Emmanuel Bacry , Alexey Kozhemyak

We consider the Gumbel or extreme value statistics describing the distribution function p_G(x_max) of the maximum values of a random field x within patches of fixed size. We present, for smooth Gaussian random fields in two and three…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-27 S. Colombi , O. Davis , J. Devriendt , S. Prunet , J. Silk

We analyze almost sure asymptotic behavior of extreme values of a regenerative process. We show that under certain conditions a properly centered and normalized running maximum of a regenerative process satisfies a law of the iterated…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-30 Alexander Marynych , Ivan Matsak