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We show how convergence to the Gumbel distribution in an extreme value setting can be understood in an information-theoretic sense. We introduce a new type of score function which behaves well under the maximum operation, and which implies…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-22 Oliver Johnson

Noncolliding diffusion processes reported in the present paper are $N$-particle systems of diffusion processes in one-dimension, which are conditioned so that all particles start from the origin and never collide with each other in a finite…

概率论 · 数学 2011-05-05 Minami Izumi , Makoto Katori

This paper considers a family of autoregressive processes with marginal distributions resembling the Cantor function. It is shown that the marginal distribution is in the domain of attraction of a max-semistable distribution. The main…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-02 Alef E. Sterk

We investigate extreme value theory of a class of random sequences defined by the all-time suprema of aggregated self-similar Gaussian processes with trend. This study is motivated by its potential applications in various areas and its…

概率论 · 数学 2022-11-09 Lanpeng Ji , Xiaofan Peng

A discrete version of the Gumbel (Type I) extreme value distribution has been derived by using the general approach of discretization of a continuous distribution. Important distributional and reliability properties have been explored. It…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-29 Subrata Chakraborty , Dhrubajyoti Chakravarty

We consider the extreme value statistics of $N$ independent and identically distributed random variables, which is a classic problem in probability theory. When $N\to\infty$, fluctuations around the maximum of the variables are described by…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-07-14 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

In this note, we obtain verifiable sufficient conditions for the extreme value distribution for a certain class of skew product extensions of non-uniformly hyperbolic base maps. We show that these conditions, formulated in terms of the…

动力系统 · 数学 2008-10-27 Chinmaya Gupta

The generalized extreme value distribution and its particular case, the Gumbel extreme value distribution, are widely applied for extreme value analysis. The Gumbel distribution has certain drawbacks because it is a non-heavy-tailed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-08-12 E. C. Pinheiro , S. L. P. Ferrari

We consider discrete time dynamical systems and show the link between Hitting Time Statistics (the distribution of the first time points land in asymptotically small sets) and Extreme Value Theory (distribution properties of the partial…

动力系统 · 数学 2010-06-17 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

For non-uniformly hyperbolic dynamical systems we consider the time series of maxima along typical orbits. Using ideas based upon quantitative recurrence time statistics we prove convergence of the maxima (under suitable normalization) to…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-09-11 Mark Holland , Pau Rabassa , Alef Sterk

We obtain a strong invariance principle for nonconventional sums and applying this result we derive for them a version of the law of iterated logarithm, as well as an almost sure central limit theorem. Among motivations for such results are…

概率论 · 数学 2012-09-11 Yuri Kifer

We consider three classes of linear differential equations on distribution functions, with a fractional order $\alpha\in [0,1].$ The integer case $\alpha =1$ corresponds to the three classical extreme families. In general, we show that…

概率论 · 数学 2019-08-05 Lotfi Boudabsa , Thomas Simon , Pierre Vallois

Extreme value functionals of stochastic processes are inverse functionals of the first passage time -- a connection that renders their probability distribution functions equivalent. Here, we deepen this link and establish a framework for…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-05-30 David Hartich , Aljaz Godec

We deal with a generalized statistical description of nonequilibrium complex systems based on least biased distributions given some prior information. A maximum entropy principle is introduced that allows for the determination of the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Erik Van der Straeten , Christian Beck

Extreme value theory is part and parcel of any study of order statistics in one dimension. Our aim here is to consider such large sample theory for the maximum distance to the origin, and the related maximum "interpoint distance," in…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-30 Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka , Svante Janson

An exact analytical description of extreme intensity statistics in complex random states is derived. These states have the statistical properties of the Gaussian and Circular Unitary Ensemble eigenstates of random matrix theory. Although…

量子物理 · 物理学 2011-08-02 Arul Lakshminarayan , Steven Tomsovic , Oriol Bohigas , Satya N. Majumdar

The present paper studies the limiting behavior of the average score of a sequentially selected group of items or individuals, the underlying distribution of which, $F$, belongs to the Gumbel domain of attraction of extreme value…

概率论 · 数学 2010-11-16 Abba M. Krieger , Moshe Pollak , Ester Samuel-Cahn

We study distributional robustness in the context of Extreme Value Theory (EVT). We provide a data-driven method for estimating extreme quantiles in a manner that is robust against incorrect model assumptions underlying the application of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-09 Jose Blanchet , Fei He , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

We study the distribution of the occurrence of rare patterns in sufficiently mixing Gibbs random fields on the lattice $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d\geq 2$. A typical example is the high temperature Ising model. This distribution is shown to converge…

概率论 · 数学 2009-11-10 M. Abadi , J. -R. Chazottes , F. Redig , E. Verbitskiy

Typically, in the dynamical theory of extremal events, the function that gauges the intensity of a phenomenon is assumed to be convex and maximal, or singular, at a single, or at most a finite collection of points in phase--space. In this…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-09-21 Giorgio Mantica , Luca Perotti