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We investigate multivariate regular variation in the context of time-homogeneous Markov chains on general vector spaces and in random coefficient linear models. In the first part, we show that the regular variation of the stationary…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-23 Piotr Dyszewski , Tamara Mika

We consider irreversible Markov chains on finite commutative rings randomly generated using both addition and multiplication. We restrict ourselves to the case where the addition is uniformly random and multiplication is arbitrary. We first…

表示论 · 数学 2020-06-11 Arvind Ayyer , Pooja Singla

On complete, non-compact manifolds and infinite graphs, Faber-Krahn inequalities have been used to estimate the rate of decay of the heat kernel. We develop this technique in the setting of finite Markov chains, proving upper and lower…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Sharad Goel , Ravi Montenegro , Prasad Tetali

Pseudospectral analysis serves as a powerful tool in matrix computation and the study of both linear and nonlinear dynamical systems. Among various numerical strategies, random sampling, especially in the form of rank-$1$ perturbations,…

谱理论 · 数学 2025-05-19 Kuo Gai , Bin Shi

This article provides the first procedure for computing a fully data-dependent interval that traps the mixing time $t_{\text{mix}}$ of a finite reversible ergodic Markov chain at a prescribed confidence level. The interval is computed from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-11-04 Daniel Hsu , Aryeh Kontorovich , Csaba Szepesvári

In this paper we propose an efficient variance reduction approach for additive functionals of Markov chains relying on a novel discrete time martingale representation. Our approach is fully non-asymptotic and does not require the knowledge…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-22 D. Belomestny , E. Moulines , S. Samsonov

Hybrid Gibbs samplers represent a prominent class of approximated Gibbs algorithms that utilize Markov chains to approximate conditional distributions, with the Metropolis-within-Gibbs algorithm standing out as a well-known example. Despite…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-24 Qian Qin , Nianqiao Ju , Guanyang Wang

We consider Markov chains which are polynomially mixing, in a weak sense expressed in terms of the space of functions on which the mixing speed is controlled. In this context, we prove polynomial large and moderate deviations inequalities.…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-22 J Dedecker , Sébastien Gouëzel , F Merlevède

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are central in computational statistics, and typically rely on detailed balance to ensure invariance with respect to a target distribution. Although straightforward to construct by Metropolization, this can…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-14 Erik Jansson , Moritz Schauer , Ruben Seyer , Akash Sharma

We prove central limit theorems, Berry-Esseen type theorems, almost sure invariance principles, large deviations and Livsic type regularity for partial sums of the form $S_n=\sum_{j=0}^{n-1}f_j(...,X_{j-1},X_j,X_{j+1},...)$, where $(X_j)$…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-14 Yeor Hafouta

By proving a local limit theorem for higher-order transitions, we determine the time required for necklace chains to be close to stationarity. Because necklace chains, built by arranging identical smaller chains around a directed cycle, are…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-22 Elizabeth L. Wilmer

We obtain a perfect sampling characterization of weak ergodicity for backward products of finite stochastic matrices, and equivalently, simultaneous tail triviality of the corresponding nonhomogeneous Markov chains. Applying these ideas to…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-07 Nick Whiteley , Anthony Lee

We provide explicit nonasymptotic estimates for the rate of convergence of empirical means of Markov chains, together with a Gaussian or exponential control on the deviations of empirical means. These estimates hold under a "positive…

概率论 · 数学 2010-11-11 Aldéric Joulin , Yann Ollivier

We consider the problem of finding the transition rates of a continuous-time homogeneous Markov chain under the empirical condition that the state changes at most once during a time interval of unit length. It is proven that this…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-01 Philippe Carette , Marie-Anne Guerry

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods generate samples that are asymptotically distributed from a target distribution of interest as the number of iterations goes to infinity. Various theoretical results provide upper bounds on the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-10-30 Niloy Biswas , Pierre E. Jacob , Paul Vanetti

To a unitary matrix U we associate a doubly stochastic matrix M by taking the modulus squared of each element of U. To study the connection between onset of quantum chaos on graphs and ergodicity of the underlying Markov chain, specified by…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2011-10-19 G. Berkolaiko

We study Markov chains with non-negative sectional curvature on finite metric spaces. Neither reversibility, nor the restriction to a particular combinatorial distance are imposed. In this level of generality, we prove that a 1-step…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-12 Pietro Caputo , Florentin Münch , Justin Salez

Conditions on the generator of a Markov process to control the fluctuations of its bridges are found. In particular, continuous time random walks on graphs and gradient diffusions are considered. Under these conditions, a concentration of…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-08 Giovanni Conforti

Convergence rates of Markov chains have been widely studied in recent years. In particular, quantitative bounds on convergence rates have been studied in various forms by Meyn and Tweedie [Ann. Appl. Probab. 4 (1994) 981-1101], Rosenthal…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 R. Douc , E. Moulines , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Reversibility is a key property of Markov chains, central to algorithms such as Metropolis-Hastings and other MCMC methods. Yet many applications yield non-reversible chains, motivating the problem of approximating them by reversible ones…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-27 Stefano Cipolla , Fabio Durastante , Miryam Gnazzo , Beatrice Meini