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There is a long history of establishing central limit theorems for Markov chains. Quantitative bounds for chains with a spectral gap were proved by Mann and refined later. Recently, rates of convergence for the total variation distance were…

概率论 · 数学 2023-08-24 Rafael Chiclana , Yuval Peres

Stochastic gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SG-MCMC) has been developed as a flexible family of scalable Bayesian sampling algorithms. However, there has been little theoretical analysis of the impact of minibatch size to the algorithm's…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-06 Changyou Chen , Wenlin Wang , Yizhe Zhang , Qinliang Su , Lawrence Carin

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating the autocovariance sequence resulting from a reversible Markov chain. A motivating application for studying this problem is the estimation of the asymptotic variance in central limit…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-13 Stephen Berg , Hyebin Song

A Markov chain is geometrically ergodic if it converges to its in- variant distribution at a geometric rate in total variation norm. We study geo- metric ergodicity of deterministic and random scan versions of the two-variable Gibbs…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-06-22 Aixin Tan , Galin L. Jones , James P. Hobert

The Chiral Random Matrix Model or the Gaussian Penner Model (generalized Laguerre ensemble) is re-examined in the light of the results which have been found in double well matrix models [D97,BD99] and subtleties discovered in the single…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 N. Deo

We introduce a mesh-type approach for tackling discrete-time, finite-horizon Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) characterized by state and action spaces that are general, encompassing both finite and infinite (yet suitably regular) subsets of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-07-02 Denis Belomestny , John Schoenmakers

Structured non-convex learning problems, for which critical points have favorable statistical properties, arise frequently in statistical machine learning. Algorithmic convergence and statistical estimation rates are well-understood for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-31 Lu Yu , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Stanislav Volgushev , Murat A. Erdogdu

In this paper, we provide sufficient conditions for the existence of the invariant distribution and for subgeometric rates of convergence in Wasserstein distance for general state-space Markov chains which are (possibly) not irreducible.…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-15 Alain Durmus , Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines

We consider stochastic variational inequality problems where the mapping is monotone over a compact convex set. We present two robust variants of stochastic extragradient algorithms for solving such problems. Of these, the first scheme…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-03-25 Farzad Yousefian , Angelia Nedic , Uday V. Shanbhag

The asymptotic behavior of stochastic gradient algorithms is studied. Relying on results from differential geometry (Lojasiewicz gradient inequality), the single limit-point convergence of the algorithm iterates is demonstrated and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-09-19 Vladislav B. Tadic

Using elementary methods, we prove that for a countable Markov chain $P$ of ergodic degree $d > 0$ the rate of convergence towards the stationary distribution is subgeometric of order $n^{-d}$, provided the initial distribution satisfies…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Stefano Isola

Gibbs samplers are preeminent Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms used in computational physics and statistical computing. Yet, their most fundamental properties, such as relations between convergence characteristics of their various…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-07-11 Iwona Chlebicka , Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Błażej Miasojedow

Exact approximations of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a general emerging class of sampling algorithms. One of the main ideas behind exact approximations consists of replacing intractable quantities required to run standard…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-10-30 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

We study the asymptotic behavior of kernel estimators of asymptotic variances (or long-run variances) for a class of adaptive Markov chains. The convergence is studied both in $L^p$ and almost surely. The results also apply to Markov chains…

概率论 · 数学 2011-05-17 Yves F. Atchadé

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a powerful Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for estimating expectations with respect to continuous un-normalized probability distributions. MCMC estimators typically have higher variance than…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-03-04 Dan Piponi , Matthew D. Hoffman , Pavel Sountsov

We introduce new Gaussian proposals to improve the efficiency of the standard Hastings-Metropolis algorithm in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, used for the sampling from a target distribution in large dimension $d$. The improved…

Independent sampling of orthogonal polynomial bases via Monte Carlo is of interest for uncertainty quantification of models, using Polynomial Chaos (PC) expansions. It is known that bounding the spectral radius of a random matrix consisting…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-23 Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

We present a Metropolis-Hastings Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for detecting hidden variables in a continuous time Bayesian network (CTBN), which uses reversible jumps in the sense defined by (Green 1995). In common with several…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-18 Blazej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , John Noble , Krzysztof Opalski

We study asymptotic behavior of Monte Carlo method. Local consistency is one of an ideal property of Monte Carlo method. However, it may fail to hold local consistency for several reason. In fact, in practice, it is more important to study…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-23 Kengo Kamatani

Deriving Bayesian inference for exponential random graph models (ERGMs) is a challenging "doubly intractable" problem as the normalizing constants of the likelihood and posterior density are both intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-26 Linda S. L. Tan , Nial Friel