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We consider online computation of expectations of additive state functionals under general path probability measures proportional to products of unnormalised transition densities. These transition densities are assumed to be intractable but…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-04-13 Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff , Jimmy Olsson

We examine the optimal scaling and the efficiency of the pseudo-marginal random walk Metropolis algorithm using a recently-derived result on the limiting efficiency as the dimension, $d\rightarrow \infty$. We prove that the optimal scaling…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-04-24 Chris Sherlock

Lifted samplers form a class of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods which has drawn a lot attention in recent years due to superior performance in challenging Bayesian applications. A canonical example of lifted samplers is the one that is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Philippe Gagnon , Florian Maire

High-dimensional distributions, especially those with heavy tails, are notoriously difficult for off-the-shelf MCMC samplers: the combination of unbounded state spaces, diminishing gradient information, and local moves results in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-02-22 Jun Yang , Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Gareth O. Roberts

In this paper, we examine the convergence of mirror descent in a class of stochastic optimization problems that are not necessarily convex (or even quasi-convex), and which we call variationally coherent. Since the standard technique of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-07-17 Zhengyuan Zhou , Panayotis Mertikopoulos , Nicholas Bambos , Stephen Boyd , Peter Glynn

Gaussian mixtures are commonly used for modeling heavy-tailed error distributions in robust linear regression. Combining the likelihood of a multivariate robust linear regression model with a standard improper prior distribution yields an…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-05 Haoxiang Li , Qian Qin , Galin L. Jones

We address the problem of upper bounding the mean square error of MCMC estimators. Our analysis is nonasymptotic. We first establish a general result valid for essentially all ergodic Markov chains encountered in Bayesian computation and a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-12 Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Błażej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro

Markov chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) is a popular approach to sample from high dimensional distributions, and the asymptotic variance is a commonly used criterion to evaluate the performance. While most popular MCMC algorithms are reversible,…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-06 Chi-Hao Wu , Ting-Li Chen

For a reversible and ergodic Markov chain $\{X_n,n\geq0\}$ with invariant distribution $\pi$, we show that a valid confidence interval for $\pi(h)$ can be constructed whenever the asymptotic variance $\sigma^2_P(h)$ is finite and positive.…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-14 Yves F. Atchadé

We develop a modular approach to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for unnormalized target densities. In this approach, Markov chains are constructed in parallel, each constrained to a subset of the target space. The Monte Carlo…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Joonha Park

The exchange algorithm is one of the most popular extensions of the Metropolis--Hastings algorithm to sample from doubly-intractable distributions. However, the theoretical exploration of the exchange algorithm is very limited. For example,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-08-20 Guanyang Wang

We develop a generic method for bounding the convergence rate of an averaging algorithm running in a multi-agent system with a time-varying network, where the associated stochastic matrices have a time-independent Perron vector. This method…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2020-07-10 Bernadette Charron-Bost

The random numbers driving Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation are usually modeled as independent U(0,1) random variables. Tribble [Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms using completely uniformly distributed driving sequences (2007)…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-05-11 S. Chen , J. Dick , A. B. Owen

A key limitation of sampling algorithms for approximate inference is that it is difficult to quantify their approximation error. Widely used sampling schemes, such as sequential importance sampling with resampling and Metropolis-Hastings,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-05-09 Marco F. Cusumano-Towner , Vikash K. Mansinghka

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods represent a classical set of techniques to simulate a sequence of probability measures through a simple selection/mutation mechanism. However, the associated selection functions and mutation kernels…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-16 Qiming Du , Arnaud Guyader

This paper discusses the irreducibility and geometric ergodicity of the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm. We consider cases where the number of steps of the symplectic integrator is either fixed or random. Under mild conditions on…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-05-14 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Eero Saksman

Strongly non-Gaussian ensembles of large random matrices possessing unitary symmetry and logarithmic level repulsion are studied both in presence and absence of hard edge in their energy spectra. Employing a theory of polynomials orthogonal…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-28 V. Freilikher , E. Kanzieper , I. Yurkevich

We consider the optimization of a smooth and strongly convex objective using constant step-size stochastic gradient descent (SGD) and study its properties through the prism of Markov chains. We show that, for unbiased gradient estimates…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-25 Ibrahim Merad , Stéphane Gaïffas

The tuning of stochastic gradient algorithms (SGAs) for optimization and sampling is often based on heuristics and trial-and-error rather than generalizable theory. We address this theory--practice gap by characterizing the large-sample…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-07-21 Jeffrey Negrea , Jun Yang , Haoyue Feng , Daniel M. Roy , Jonathan H. Huggins

We study the matrix discrepancy problem in the average-case setting. Given a sequence of $m \times m$ symmetric matrices $A_1,\ldots,A_n$, its discrepancy is defined as the minimal spectral norm over all signed sums $\sum_{i=1}^n x_iA_i$…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-07 Dmitriy Kunisky , Timm Oertel , Nicola Wengiel , Peiyuan Zhang