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We consider hidden Markov models indexed by a binary tree where the hidden state space is a general metric space. We study the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the model parameters based only on the observed variables. In both…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-20 Julien Weibel

We consider parameter estimation in finite hidden state space Markov models with time-dependent inhomogeneous noise, where the inhomogeneity vanishes sufficiently fast. Based on the concept of asymptotic mean stationary processes we prove…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-02 Manuel Diehn , Axel Munk , Daniel Rudolf

The paper studies large sample asymptotic properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) for the parameter of a continuous time Markov chain, observed in white noise. Using the method of weak convergence of likelihoods due to…

概率论 · 数学 2009-06-18 Pavel Chigansky

Nonparametric identification and maximum likelihood estimation for finite-state hidden Markov models are investigated. We obtain identification of the parameters as well as the order of the Markov chain if the transition probability…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-01 Grigory Alexandrovich , Hajo Holzmann , Anna Leister

This paper deals with a parametrized family of partially observed bivariate Markov chains. We establish that, under very mild assumptions, the limit of the normalized log-likelihood function is maximized when the parameters belong to the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-01 Randal Douc , Francois Roueff , Tepmony Sim

Let $(Y_k)_{k\in \mathbb{Z}}$ be a stationary sequence on a probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{A},\mathbb{P})$ taking values in a standard Borel space $\mathsf{Y}$. Consider the associated maximum likelihood estimator with respect to a…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-19 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines

A hidden Markov model with trends is a hidden Markov model whose emission distributions are translated by a trend that depends on the current hidden state and on the current time. Contrary to standard hidden Markov models, such processes…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-17 Luc Lehéricy , Augustin Touron

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

Motivated by studying asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in stochastic volatility (SV) models, in this paper we investigate likelihood estimation in state space models. We first prove, under some regularity…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-11-15 Cheng-Der Fuh

Finite state space hidden Markov models are flexible tools to model phenomena with complex time dependencies: any process distribution can be approximated by a hidden Markov model with enough hidden states.We consider the problem of…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-16 Luc Lehéricy

We study the consistency and optimality of the maximum marginal likelihood estimate (MMLE) in the hyperparameter inference for large-degree-of-freedom models. We perform main analyses within the exponential family, where the natural…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-27 Dye SK Sato , Yukitoshi Fukahata

In finite mixtures of location-scale distributions, if there is no constraint on the parameters then the maximum likelihood estimate does not exist. But when the ratios of the scale parameters are restricted appropriately, the maximum…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-09 Kentaro Tanaka

In this paper, we introduce a variant of hidden Markov models in which the transition probabilities between the states, as well as the emission distributions, are not constant in time but vary in a periodic manner. This class of models,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-02-23 Augustin Touron

We give answer to an open problem regarding consistency of the maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) in generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) involving crossed random effects. The solution to the open problem introduces an interesting,…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-03-13 Jiming Jiang

This paper generalizes asymptotic properties obtained in the observation-driven times series models considered by \cite{dou:kou:mou:2013} in the sense that the conditional law of each observation is also permitted to depend on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-08 Randal Douc , François Roueff , Tepmony Sim

Maximum pseudolikelihood (MPL) estimators are useful alternatives to maximum likelihood (ML) estimators when likelihood functions are more difficult to manipulate than their marginal and conditional components. Furthermore, MPL estimators…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-30 Hien D. Nguyen

Strong consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for parametric Gibbs point process models is established. The setting is very general. It includes pairwise pair potentials, finite and infinite multibody interactions and…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-27 David Dereudre , Frédéric Lavancier

This paper develops several interesting, significant, and interconnected approaches to nonparametric or semi-parametric statistical inferences. The overwhelmingly favoured maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) under parametric model is…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-30 Haodi Liang , Jiahua Chen

This paper presents a tractable sufficient condition for the consistency of maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) in partially observed diffusion models, stated in terms of stationary distribution of the associated fully observed diffusion,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-10 Sergey Nadtochiy , Yuan Yin

We consider maximum likelihood estimation of finite mixture of uniform distributions. We prove that maximum likelihood estimator is strongly consistent, if the scale parameters of the component uniform distributions are restricted from…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Kentaro Tanaka , Akimichi Takemura
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