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Volatility measures the amplitude of price fluctuations. Despite it is one of the most important quantities in finance, volatility is not directly observable. Here we apply a maximum likelihood method which assumes that price and volatility…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2012-09-03 Jordi Camprodon , Josep Perelló

Expanding the ideas of the author's paper 'Nonexpansive maps and option pricing theory' (Kibernetica 34:6 (1998), 713-724) we develop a pure game-theoretic approach to option pricing, by-passing stochastic modeling. Risk neutral…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-05-03 Vassili Kolokoltsov

Lions and Musiela (2007) give sufficient conditions to verify when a stochastic exponential of a continuous local martingale is a martingale or a uniformly integrable martingale. Blei and Engelbert (2009) and Mijatovi\'c and Urusov (2012c)…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-10 Carole Bernard , Zhenyu Cui , Don McLeish

We reanalyze high resolution data from the New York Stock Exchange and find a monotonic (but not power law) variation of the mean value per trade, the mean number of trades per minute and the mean trading activity with company…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

For a converging sequence of exponential L\'evy models, we give conditions under which the associated sequence of option prices converges. We also study the behaviour of the prices when no such convergence holds. We then consider two…

概率论 · 数学 2018-04-20 S. Cawston , L. Vostrikova

Single index financial market models cannot account for the empirically observed complex interactions between shares in a market. We describe a multi-share financial market model and compare characteristics of the volatility, that is the…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Adam Ponzi

This paper studies arbitrage pricing theory in financial markets with implicit transaction costs. We extend the existing theory to include the more realistic possibility that the price at which the investors trade is dependent on the traded…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2017-07-25 Erindi Allaj

We present several models to describe the stochastic evolution of stocks that show some strong resistance at some level and generalize to this situation the evolution based upon geometric Brownian motion. If volatility and drift are related…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Javier Villarroel

In this paper, we establish sample path large and moderate deviation principles for log-price processes in Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and study the asymptotic behavior of exit probabilities, call pricing functions, and the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-06-17 Archil Gulisashvili

We study the range of prices at which a rational agent should contemplate transacting a financial contract outside a given securities market. Trading is subject to nonproportional transaction costs and portfolio constraints and full…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2022-04-08 Maria Arduca , Cosimo Munari

While the use of volatilities is pervasive throughout finance, our ability to determine the instantaneous volatility of stocks is nascent. Here, we present a method for measuring the temporal behavior of stocks, and show that stock prices…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2010-07-30 Achilles D. Speliotopoulos

Time variation and persistence are crucial properties of volatility that are often studied separately in energy volatility forecasting models. Here, we propose a novel approach that allows shocks with heterogeneous persistence to vary…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-09 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

In high-frequency financial data not only returns, but also waiting times between consecutive trades are random variables. Therefore, it is possible to apply continuous-time random walks (CTRWs) as phenomenological models of the…

The volatility characterizes the amplitude of price return fluctuations. It is a central magnitude in finance closely related to the risk of holding a certain asset. Despite its popularity on trading floors, the volatility is unobservable…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver

This article introduces the class of periodic trawl processes, which are continuous-time, infinitely divisible, stationary stochastic processes, that allow for periodicity and flexible forms of their serial correlation, including both…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-20 Almut E. D. Veraart

Biondi et al. (2012) develop an analytical model to examine the emergent dynamic properties of share market price formation over time, capable to capture important stylized facts. These latter properties prove to be sensitive to regulatory…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2021-09-27 Yuri Biondi , Simone Righi

We prove a law of large numbers in terms of complete convergence of independent random variables taking values in increments of monotone functions, with convergence uniform both in the initial and the final time. The result holds also for…

概率论 · 数学 2016-12-30 Tetsuya Hattori

In this paper, we study the martingale property for a Scott correlated stochastic volatility model, when the correlation coefficient between the Brownian motion driving the volatility and the one driving the asset price process is…

概率论 · 数学 2016-06-14 Khadija Akdim , M'hamed Eddahbi , Mouna Haddadi

Markets have internal dynamics leading to excess volatility and other phenomena that are difficult to explain using rational expectations models. This paper studies these using a nonequilibrium price formation rule, developed in the context…

adap-org · 物理学 2015-06-30 J. Doyne Farmer

We investigate the possibility of statistical evaluation of the market completeness for discrete time stock market models. It is known that the market completeness is not a robust property: small random deviations of the coefficients…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2015-05-05 Nikolai Dokuchaev