相关论文: Another Look at AR(1)
For the class of stationary Gaussian long memory processes, we study some properties of the least-squares predictor of X_{n+1} based on (X_n, ..., X_1). The predictor is obtained by projecting X_{n+1} onto the finite past and the…
We consider the Pickands process {equation*} P_{n}(s)=\log (1/s)^{-1}\log \frac{X_{n-k+1,n}-X_{n-[k/s]+1,n}}{% X_{n-[k/s]+1,n}-X_{n-[k/s^{2}]+1,n}}, {equation*} {equation*} (\frac{k}{n}\leq s^2 \leq 1), {equation*} which is a generalization…
We study the probability distribution $P(X_N=X,N)$ of the total displacement $X_N$ of an $N$-step run and tumble particle on a line, in presence of a constant nonzero drive $E$. While the central limit theorem predicts a standard Gaussian…
We consider the perturbed Mann's iterative process \begin{equation} x_{n+1}=(1-\theta_n)x_n+\theta_n f(x_n)+r_n, \end{equation} where $f:[0,1]\rightarrow[0,1]$ is a continuous function, $\{\theta_n\}\in [0,1]$ is a given sequence, and…
Suppose that X_n, n>=0 is a stationary Markov chain and V is a certain function on a phase space of the chain, called an observanle. We say that the observable satisfies the central limit theorem (C.L.T.) if Y_n:=N^{-1/2}\sum_{n=0}^NV(X_n)…
We prove a central limit theorem for a certain class of functions on sparse rank-one inhomogeneous random graphs endowed with additional i.i.d. edge and vertex weights. Our proof of the central limit theorem uses a perturbative form of…
The out-of-sample error (OO) is the main quantity of interest in risk estimation and model selection. Leave-one-out cross validation (LO) offers a (nearly) distribution-free yet computationally demanding approach to estimate OO. Recent…
We study the stationary sojourn time distribution in an M/G/1 queue operating under heavy traffic. It is known that the sojourn time converges to an exponential distribution in the limit. Our focus is on obtaining pre-asymptotic,…
A new type of stochastic dependence for a sequence of random variables is introduced and studied. Precisely, (X_n)_{n\geq 1} is said to be conditionally identically distributed (c.i.d.), with respect to a filtration (G_n)_{n\geq 0}, if it…
Suppose that $X_1,\...,X_n,\...$ are i.i.d. rotationally invariant $N$-by-$N$ matrices. Let $\Pi_n=X_n\... X_1$. It is known that $n^{-1}\log |\Pi_n|$ converges to a nonrandom limit. We prove that under certain additional assumptions on…
When analysing time series an important issue is to decide whether the time series is stationary or a random walk. Relaxing these notions, we consider the problem to decide in favor of the I(0)- or I(1)-property. Fixed-sample statistical…
We obtain the law of large numbers (LLN) and the central limit theorem (CLT) for weakly dependent non-stationary arrays of random fields with asymptotically unbounded moments. The weak dependence condition for arrays of random fields is…
In this article, we introduce and study a one sided tempered stable first order autoregressive model called TAR(1). Under the assumption of stationarity of the model, the marginal probability density function of the error term is found. It…
In this paper we study the functional central limit theorem for stationary Markov chains with self-adjoint operator and general state space. We investigate the case when the variance of the partial sum is not asymptotically linear in n; and…
Consider a branching Markov process, $X = (X(t), t \ge 0)$, with non-local branching mechanism. Studying the asymptotic behaviour of the moments of X has recently received attention in the literature [6, 7] due to the importance of these…
In this paper, we derive the limit distribution of the least squares estimator for an AR(1) model with a non-zero intercept and a possible infinite variance. It turns out that the estimator has a quite different limit for the cases of…
In this paper we investigate a sequence of square integrable random processes with space varying memory. We establish sufficient conditions for the central limit theorem in the space $L^2(\mu)$ for the partial sums of the sequence of random…
We prove a central limit theorem with speed $n^{-1/2}$ for stationary processes satisfying a strong decorrelation hypothesis. The proof is a modification of the proof of a theorem of Rio. It is elementary but quite long and technical.
We prove a central limit theorem for the length of the longest subsequence of a random permutation which follows one of a class of repeating patterns. This class includes every fixed pattern of ups and downs having at least one of each,…
We give the distribution of $M_n$, the maximum of a sequence of $n$ observations from a moving average of order 1. Solutions are first given in terms of repeated integrals and then for the case where the underlying independent random…