概率论

Let $X:=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be an ergodic Markov process on $\real^d$, and $p>0$. We derive upper bounds of the $p$-Wasserstein distance between the invariant measure and the empirical measures of the Markov process $X$. For this we assume,…

In this paper, we introduce a natively positive approximation method based on the Feynman-Kac representation using random walks, to approximate the solution to the one-dimensional parabolic Anderson model of Skorokhod type, with either a…

In this paper, we consider a modified version of a well-known submartingale condition fortheweak convergence of probabilitymeasures, adapted to the semi-Markov case. In this setting, it is convenient to work with an embedded Markov chain…

Community detection is the problem of identifying dense communities in networks. Motivated by transitive behavior in social networks ("thy friend is my friend"), an emerging line of work considers spatially-embedded networks, which…

Let $\{Z_{m},m\geq 0\}$ be a critical branching process in random environment and $\{S_{m},m\geq 0\}$ be its associated random walk. Assuming that the increments distribution of the associated random walk belongs without centering to the…

We consider consensus of multi-agent systems as a dual problem to Markov processes. Based on an exchange of relevant notions and results between the two fields, we present a uniform framework which admits the introduction and treatment of…

We revisit the proof of the de Moivre--Laplace theorem, which is the ancestor of the central limit theorem for the binomial distribution. Our goal is to provide a proof that can be reasonably presented to undergraduate students within a…

High dimensional central limit theorems (the CLTs) have been extensively studied in recent years under a variety of sufficient moment conditions connecting the dimension growth rate with the tail decay rate. In this article, we investigate…

We study a Markov chain with very different mixing rates depending on how mixing is measured. The chain is the "Burnside process on the hypercube $C_2^n$." Started at the all-zeros state, it mixes in a bounded number of steps, no matter how…

We generalize the celebrated coagulation-fragmentation duality of Pitman (1999), originally established for the PD$(\alpha,\theta)$ laws of Pitman and Yor (1997), resolving a two-decade open problem. Our framework extends the duality to…

For a class of time inhomogenous distribution dependent birth-death processes, we derive the well-posedness, $\mathbb{W}_p$-estimate, exponential ergodicity, and uniform in time propagation of chaos. These extend the corresponding results…

We study a general class of nonlinear Ginzburg-Landau SPDEs in infinite volume under weak nonlinearity scaling and with non-equilibrium initial data. We derive the KPZ equation as a continuum limit of these equations. This makes rigorous…

Ferromagnetic exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are nonlinear exponential tilts of Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi models, under which the presence of certain subgraphs such as triangles may be emphasized. These models are mixtures of metastable…

We develop a mean-field theory for large, non-exchangeable particle (agent) systems where the states and interaction weights co-evolve in a coupled system of SDEs. A first main result is the establishment of the propagation of…

Recently, a generalized Bernoulli process (GBP) was developed as a stationary binary sequence that can have long-range dependence. In this paper, we find the scaling limit of a random walk that follows GBP. The result is a new class of…

We characterise probability distributions via a martingale property associated with a natural generalisation of record values, known as $\delta$-records. For an independent and identically distributed sequence $(X_n)$ with running maximum…

Folklore belief holds that metastable wells in low-temperature statistical mechanics models exhibit high-temperature behavior. We make this rigorous in the exponential random graph model (ERGM) through the lens of concentration of measure.…

Consider a discrete-time optimal selection problem where one observes a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials and receives a nonnegative reward upon stopping on a success. The aim is to find a single-choice strategy that maximises the…

The aim of this note is to estimate the tail of the distribution of the number of particles in an interval under determinantal and Pfaffian point processes. The main result of the note is that the square of the number of particles under the…

Semiconductor model is a system of parabolic partial differential equations with cross-diffusion phenomenon. Previous results showed that a weak solution exists and is not bounded in general. So semiconductor model was categorized as a…