相关论文: Extreme times for volatility processes
We study the time until first occurrence, the first-passage time, of rare density fluctuations in diffusive systems. We approach the problem using a model consisting of many independent random walkers on a lattice. The existence of spatial…
We introduce a class of randomly time-changed fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility models and, using spectral theory and singular perturbation techniques, we derive an approximation for the prices of European options in this setting.…
We solve the escape problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact expressions for the survival probability (which ammounts to solving the complete escape problem) as well as for the mean exit time. We also average the…
We present the analysis of the first passage time problem on a finite interval for the generalized Wiener process that is driven by L\'evy stable noises. The complexity of the first passage time statistics (mean first passage time,…
We consider a general class of maps of the interval having Lyapunov subexponential instability $|\delta x_{t}|\sim|\delta x_{0}|\exp[\Lambda_{t}(x_{0})\zeta(t)]$, where $\zeta(t)$ grows sublinearly as $t\rightarrow\infty$. We outline here a…
In this paper we study the mean of the first exit time from a bounded interval of various L\'evy processes. We establish sharp two-sided estimates of the mean for L\'evy processes under certain condition on their characteristic exponents.…
All real physical processes, including of the first-passage time, occur with a change in entropy. This circumstance is not taken into account when studying the first-passage time, but is illustrated in this article using the example of…
In this short paper, we study the simulation of a large system of stochastic processes subject to a common driving noise and fast mean-reverting stochastic volatilities. This model may be used to describe the firm values of a large pool of…
In one-dimensional systems, the dynamics of a Brownian particle are governed by the force derived from a potential as well as by diffusion properties. In this work, we obtain the first-passage-time statistics of a Brownian particle driven…
First passage time plays a fundamental role in dynamical characterization of stochastic processes. Crucially, our current understanding on the problem is almost entirely relies on the theoretical formulations, which assume the processes…
We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…
We derive general bounds on the probability that the empirical first-passage time $\overline{\tau}_n\equiv \sum_{i=1}^n\tau_i/n$ of a reversible ergodic Markov process inferred from a sample of $n$ independent realizations deviates from the…
The mean first exit (passage) time characterizes the average time of a stochastic process never leaving a fixed region in the state space, while the escape probability describes the likelihood of a transition from one region to another for…
We study the first-passage dynamics of a non-Markovian stochastic process with time-averaged feedback, which we model as a one-dimensional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process wherein the particle drift is modified by the empirical mean of its…
We derive a functional equation for the mean first-passage time (MFPT) of a generic self-similar Markovian continuous process to a target in a one-dimensional domain and obtain its exact solution. We show that the obtained expression of the…
Financial markets provide an ideal frame for the study of crossing or first-passage time events of non-Gaussian correlated dynamics mainly because large data sets are available. Tick-by-tick data of six futures markets are herein considered…
The first passage time for a single diffusing particle has been studied extensively, but the first passage time of a system of many diffusing particles, as is often the case in physical systems, has received little attention until recently.…
We study a first passage time of a L\'evy process over a positive constant level. In the spectrally negative case we give conditions for absolutely continuity of the distributions of the first passage times. The tail asymptotics of their…
Research in psychology and neuroscience has successfully modeled decision making as a process of noisy evidence accumulation to a decision bound. While there are several variants and implementations of this idea, the majority of these…
A collection of identical and independent rare event first passage times is considered. The problem of finding the fastest out of $N$ such events to occur is called an extreme first passage time. The rare event times are singular and limit…