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The asymptotic behavior of the stochastic gradient algorithm with a biased gradient estimator is analyzed. Relying on arguments based on the dynamic system theory (chain-recurrence) and the differential geometry (Yomdin theorem and…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-09-04 Vladislav B. Tadic , Arnaud Doucet

We consider a linear mixed-effects model with a clustered structure, where the parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood (ML) based on possibly unbalanced data. Inference with this model is typically done based on asymptotic theory,…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-30 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

For a set of dependent random variables, without stationary or the strong mixing assumptions, we derive the asymptotic independence between their sums and maxima. Then we apply this result to high-dimensional testing problems, where we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-12 Long Feng , Tiefeng Jiang , Xiaoyun Li , Binghui Liu

Conditional copula models allow dependence structures to vary with observed covariates while preserving a separation between marginal behavior and association. We study the uniform asymptotic behavior of kernel-weighted local likelihood…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-06 Mathias Nthiani Muia

Approximate Bayesian computation allows for statistical analysis in models with intractable likelihoods. In this paper we consider the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution obtained by this method. We give general results on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-09 David T. Frazier , Gael M. Martin , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

Suppose we observe a geometrically ergodic semi-Markov process and have a parametric model for the transition distribution of the embedded Markov chain, for the conditional distribution of the inter-arrival times, or for both. The first two…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-12-21 Ursula U. Müller , Anton Schick , Wolfgang Wefelmeyer

For affine stochastic differential equation with uniformly distributed time delay the local asymptotic properties of the likelihood function are studied. Local asymptotic normality, local asymptotic mixed normality, periodic local…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-10 János Marcell Benke , Gyula Pap

In the face of the upcoming 30th anniversary of econophysics, we review our contributions and other related works on the modeling of the long-range memory phenomenon in physical, economic, and other social complex systems. Our group has…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-08-31 Rytis Kazakevicius , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Bronislovas Kaulakys , Vygintas Gontis

This paper describes limiting behaviour of tail empirical process associated with long memory stochastic volatility models. We show that such process has dichotomous behaviour, according to an interplay between a Hurst parameter and a tail…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-11-23 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier

The paper concerns the probabilistic evaluation of plans in the presence of unmeasured variables, each plan consisting of several concurrent or sequential actions. We establish a graphical criterion for recognizing when the effects of a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-21 Judea Pearl , James M. Robins

In a series of two papers, we investigate the large deviations and asymptotic behavior of stochastic models of brain neural networks with random interaction coefficients. In this first paper, we take into account the spatial structure of…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-05 Tanguy Cabana , Jonathan Touboul

This article provides an introduction to the asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes. Maximum likelihood estimation is considered. The aim of this introduction is to be accessible to a wide audience and…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-16 François Bachoc

Feature selection procedures for spatial point processes parametric intensity estimation have been recently developed since more and more applications involve a large number of covariates. In this paper, we investigate the setting where the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-29 Achmad Choiruddin , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Frédérique Letué

In this paper we propose a nonparametric procedure for validating the assumption of stationarity in multivariate locally stationary time series models. We develop a bootstrap assisted test based on a Kolmogorov-Smirnov type statistic, which…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-06 Ruprecht Puchstein , Philip Preuß

We present two approaches for linear prediction of long-memory time series. The first approach consists in truncating the Wiener-Kolmogorov predictor by restricting the observations to the last $k$ terms, which are the only available values…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Fanny Godet

We provide a comprehensive overview of latent Markov (LM) models for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data. The main assumption behind these models is that the response variables are conditionally independent given a latent process…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-03-16 F. Bartolucci , A. Farcomeni , F. Pennoni

We consider a nonparametric autoregression model under conditional heteroscedasticity with the aim to test whether the innovation distribution changes in time. To this end we develop an asymptotic expansion for the sequential empirical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-11-07 Leonie Selk , Natalie Neumeyer

Methods of estimation and forecasting for stationary models are well known in classical time series analysis. However, stationarity is an idealization which, in practice, can at best hold as an approximation, but for many time series may be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-08 Shreyan Ganguly , Peter F. Craigmile

In this paper, we study the asymptotic distribution of some U-statistics whose entries are functions of empirical moments computed from non-overlapping consecutive blocks of an underlying weakly dependent process. The length of these blocks…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-27 Herold G. Dehling , Davide Giraudo , Sara K. Schmidt

We present a general construction for dependent random measures based on thinning Poisson processes on an augmented space. The framework is not restricted to dependent versions of a specific nonparametric model, but can be applied to all…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-11-21 Nicholas J. Foti , Joseph D. Futoma , Daniel N. Rockmore , Sinead Williamson