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We introduce a general theory on stationary approximations for locally stationary continuous-time processes. Based on the stationary approximation, we use $\theta$-weak dependence to establish laws of large numbers and central limit type…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-01 Robert Stelzer , Bennet Ströh

We consider parametric inference for an ergodic and stationary diffusion process, when the data are high-frequency observations of the integral of the diffusion process. Such data are obtained via certain measurement devices, or if…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-09 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

We consider a discrete time semi-Markov process where the characteristics defining the process depend on a small perturbation parameter. It is assumed that the state space consists of one finite communicating class of states and, in…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-21 Mikael Petersson

A major issue in financial economics is the behavior of asset returns over long horizons. Various estimators of long range dependence have been proposed. Even though some have known asymptotic properties, it is important to test their…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-24 Rafal Weron

We propose a new approach that combines multiple non-parametric likelihood-type components to build a data-driven approximation of the true likelihood function. Our approach is built on empirical likelihood, a non-parametric approximation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

Statistical models incorporating change points are common in practice, especially in the area of biomedicine. This approach is appealing in that a specific parameter is introduced to account for the abrupt change in the response variable…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Hongling Zhou , Kung-Yee Liang

The subject of robust estimation in time series is widely discussed in literature. One of the approaches is to use GM-estimation. This method incorporates a broad class of nonparametric estimators which under suitable conditions includes…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Alexander Alekseev

The paper presents a systematic theory for asymptotic inference of autocovariances of stationary processes. We consider nonparametric tests for serial correlations based on the maximum (or ${\cal L}^\infty$) and the quadratic (or ${\cal…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Han Xiao , Wei Biao Wu

We derive inferential procedures for large sample sizes that remain valid under data-dependent significance levels (so-called "post-hoc valid inference"). Classical statistical tools require that the significance level -- the "type-I error"…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-10 Ben Chugg , Etienne Gauthier , Michael I. Jordan , Aaditya Ramdas , Ian Waudby-Smith

This paper derives the rate of convergence and asymptotic distribution for a class of Kolmogorov-Smirnov style test statistics for conditional moment inequality models for parameters on the boundary of the identified set under general…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-12-06 Timothy B. Armstrong

From a continuous-time long memory stochastic process, a discrete-time randomly sampled one is drawn. We investigate the second-order properties of this process and establish some time-and frequency-domain asymptotic results. We mainly…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-12 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe , Caroline Robet

The paper deals with planar segment processes given by a density with respect to the Poisson process. Parametric models involve reference distributions of directions and/or lengths of segments. These distributions generally do not coincide…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-08-30 Viktor Benes , Jakub Vecera , Milan Pultar

Ordinal pattern dependence is a multivariate dependence measure based on the co-movement of two time series. In strong connection to ordinal time series analysis, the ordinal information is taken into account to derive robust results on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-09 Ines Nüßgen , Alexander Schnurr

Procedures in assessing the impact of serial dependency on performance analysis are usually built on parametrically specified models. In this paper, we propose a robust, nonparametric approach to carry out this assessment, by computing the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-22 Henry Lam

We describe likelihood-based statistical tests for use in high energy physics for the discovery of new phenomena and for construction of confidence intervals on model parameters. We focus on the properties of the test procedures that allow…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-06-25 Glen Cowan , Kyle Cranmer , Eilam Gross , Ofer Vitells

In this work, we will investigate a Bayesian approach to estimating the parameters of long memory models. Long memory, characterized by the phenomenon of hyperbolic autocorrelation decay in time series, has garnered significant attention.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-19 Clara Grazian

Long-term outcomes of experimental evaluations are necessarily observed after long delays. We develop semiparametric methods for combining the short-term outcomes of experiments with observational measurements of short-term and long-term…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-21 Jiafeng Chen , David M. Ritzwoller

In this paper we present new theoretical results on optimal estimation of certain random quantities based on high frequency observations of a L\'evy process. More specifically, we investigate the asymptotic theory for the conditional mean…

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-09 Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Mark Podolskij

Parametric estimation for diffusion processes is considered for high frequency observations over a fixed time interval. The processes solve stochastic differential equations with an unknown parameter in the diffusion coefficient. We find…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-03 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

We observe the actions of a $K$ sub-sample of $N$ individuals up to time $t$ for some large $K<N$. We model the relationships of individuals by i.i.d. Bernoulli($p$)-random variables, where $p\in (0,1]$ is an unknown parameter. The rate of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-15 Chenguang Liu