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We study asymptotic behaviour of stochastic approximation procedures with three main characteristics: truncations with random moving bounds, a matrix valued random step-size sequence, and a dynamically changing random regression function.…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-22 Teo Sharia , Lei Zhong

Fixed effect estimators of nonlinear panel data models suffer from the incidental parameter problem. This leads to two undesirable consequences in applied research: (1) point estimates are subject to large biases, and (2) confidence…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-04-18 Shuowen Chen

Stochastic gradient descent procedures have gained popularity for parameter estimation from large data sets. However, their statistical properties are not well understood, in theory. And in practice, avoiding numerical instability requires…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-09-29 Panos Toulis , Edoardo M. Airoldi

This paper investigates the {\em nonasymptotic} properties of Bayes procedures for estimating an unknown distribution from $n$ i.i.d.\ observations. We assume that the prior is supported by a model $(\scr{S},h)$ (where $h$ denotes the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-11-03 Lucien Birgé

In this paper we propose a solution to the problem of parameter estimation of nonlinearly parameterized regressions--continuous or discrete time--and apply it for system identification and adaptive control. We restrict our attention to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-10-18 Romeo Ortega , Vladislav Gromov , Emmanuel Nuño , Anton Pyrkin , Jose Guadalupe Romero

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the prop- erties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-18 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

The empirical copula process plays a central role in the asymptotic analysis of many statistical procedures which are based on copulas or ranks. Among other applications, results regarding its weak convergence can be used to develop…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-11-24 Axel Bücher , Betina Berghaus , Stanislav Volgushev

We apply the concept of distance covariance for testing independence of two long-range dependent time series. As test statistic we propose a linear combination of empirical distance cross-covariances. We derive the asymptotic distribution…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-28 Annika Betken , Herold Dehling

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

We study nonasymptotic (finite-sample) confidence intervals for treatment effects in randomized experiments. In the existing literature, the effective sample sizes of nonasymptotic confidence intervals tend to be looser than the…

The paper considers the problem of distributed adaptive linear parameter estimation in multi-agent inference networks. Local sensing model information is only partially available at the agents and inter-agent communication is assumed to be…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2012-08-07 Soummya Kar , Jose' M. F. Moura , H. Vincent Poor

We study the weak convergence of conditional empirical copula processes, when the conditioning event has a nonzero probability. The validity of several bootstrap schemes is stated, including the exchangeable bootstrap. We define general -…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-24 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian

This paper derives the asymptotic distribution of variance weighted Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics for conditional moment inequality models for the case of a one dimensional covariate. The asymptotic distribution depends on the data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-02-02 Timothy B. Armstrong

The empirical copula process plays a central role for statistical inference on copulas. Recently, Segers (2011) investigated the asymptotic behavior of this process under non-restrictive smoothness assumptions for the case of i.i.d. random…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-14 Axel Bücher , Stanislav Volgushev

We study the asymptotic behaviour of Bahadur-Kiefer processes that are generated by summing partial sums of (weakly or strongly dependent) random variables and their renewals. Known results for i.i.d. case will be extended to dependent…

概率论 · 数学 2014-05-27 Endre Csáki , Miklós Csörgõ

The Dynamical Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models provide an elegant non-parametric framework for learning the low dimensional representations of the high-dimensional time-series. Real world observational studies, however, are often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-26 Thanh Le , Vasant Honavar

We investigate the asymptotics of eigenvalues of sample covariance matrices associated with a class of non-independent Gaussian processes (separable and temporally stationary) under the Kolmogorov asymptotic regime. The limiting spectral…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-11 Tiebin Mi , Robert Caiming Qiu

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

Modeling biological processes is a highly demanding task because not all processes are fully understood. Mathematical models allow us to test hypotheses about possible mechanisms of biological processes. The mathematical mechanisms…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-12-11 Cordula Reisch , Hannah Burmester

We derive a nonparametric higher-order asymptotic expansion for small-time changes of conditional characteristic functions of It\^o semimartingale increments. The asymptotics setup is of joint type: both the length of the time interval of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-02-12 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov