相关论文: Identification d'un processus autor\'{e}gressif ga…
The weighted nonlinear least-squares problem for low-rank signal estimation is considered. The problem of constructing a numerical solution that is stable and fast for long time series is addressed. A modified weighted Gauss-Newton method,…
A threshold autoregressive (TAR) model is a powerful tool for analyzing nonlinear multivariate time series, which includes special cases like self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) models and vector autoregressive (VAR) models. In…
This paper addresses the estimation of locally stationary long-range dependent processes, a methodology that allows the statistical analysis of time series data exhibiting both nonstationarity and strong dependency. A time-varying…
In this paper, we study non-asymptotic deviation bounds of the least squares estimator in Gaussian AR($n$) processes. By relying on martingale concentration inequalities and a tail-bound for $\chi^2$ distributed variables, we provide a…
Large sample statistical analysis of threshold autoregressive (TAR) models is usually based on the assumption that the underlying driving noise is uncorrelated. In this paper, we consider a model, driven by Gaussian noise with geometric…
In this paper, we consider the dynamics of integrable stochastic Hamiltonian systems. Utilizing the Nagaev-Guivarc'h method, we obtain several generalized results of the central limit theorem. Making use of this technique and the Birkhoff…
We study the Gaussian Process regression model in the context of training data with noise in both input and output. The presence of two sources of noise makes the task of learning accurate predictive models extremely challenging. However,…
This paper develops a novel two-step estimating procedure for heavy-tailed AR models with non-zero median GARCH-type noises, allowing for time-varying volatility. We first establish the self-weighted quantile regression estimator (SQE)…
We present an estimator of the covariance matrix $\Sigma$ of random $d$-dimensional vector from an i.i.d. sample of size $n$. Our sole assumption is that this vector satisfies a bounded $L^p-L^2$ moment assumption over its one-dimensional…
We develop a Bayesian median autoregressive (BayesMAR) model for time series forecasting. The proposed method utilizes time-varying quantile regression at the median, favorably inheriting the robustness of median regression in contrast to…
We study stochastic Korteweg - de Vries equation driven by L\'evy noise consisting of the compensated time homogeneous Poisson random measure and a cylindrical Wiener process. We prove the existence of a martingale solution to the equation…
In this article, we first propose the modified Hannan-Rissanen Method for estimating the parameters of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) process with symmetric stable noise and symmetric stable generalized autoregressive conditional…
In this article, we consider the stochastic wave equation in spatial dimension $d=1$, with linear term $\sigma(u)=u$ multiplying the noise. This equation is driven by a Gaussian noise which is white in time and fractional in space with…
A new approach for the analysis of Langevin-type stochastic processes in the presence of strong measurement noise is presented. For the case of Gaussian distributed, exponentially correlated, measurement noise it is possible to extract the…
The Lasso is a popular model selection and estimation procedure for linear models that enjoys nice theoretical properties. In this paper, we study the Lasso estimator for fitting autoregressive time series models. We adopt a double…
We propose a machine-learning algorithm for Bayesian inverse problems in the function-space regime based on one-step generative transport. Building on the Mean Flows, we learn a fully conditional amortized sampler with a neural-operator…
The goal of this paper is to show that a single robust estimator of the mean of a multivariate Gaussian distribution can enjoy five desirable properties. First, it is computationally tractable in the sense that it can be computed in a time…
In this letter, we address the problem of estimating Gaussian noise level from the trained dictionaries in update stage. We first provide rigorous statistical analysis on the eigenvalue distributions of a sample covariance matrix. Then we…
The main objective of the paper is to study the long-time behavior of general discrete dynamics driven by an ergodic stationary Gaussian noise. In our main result, we prove existence and uniqueness of the invariant distribution and exhibit…
In high dimension, it is customary to consider Lasso-type estimators to enforce sparsity. For standard Lasso theory to hold, the regularization parameter should be proportional to the noise level, yet the latter is generally unknown in…