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We obtain concentration and large deviation for the sums of independent and identically distributed random variables with heavy-tailed distributions. Our concentration results are concerned with random variables whose distributions satisfy…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-27 Milad Bakhshizadeh , Arian Maleki , Victor H. de la Pena

We investigate asymptotic behaviour of probabilities of large deviations for normalized combinatorial sums. We find a zone in which these probabilities are equivalent to the tail of the standard normal law. Our conditions are similar to the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-15 Andrei N. Frolov

We present a path integral calculation of the probability distribution associated with the time-integrated moments of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process that includes the Gaussian prefactor in addition to the dominant path or instanton term…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-06-07 Daniel Nickelsen , Hugo Touchette

Affine point processes are a class of simple point processes with self- and mutually-exciting properties, and they have found useful applications in several areas. In this paper, we obtain large-time asymptotic expansions in large…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-26 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

We formulate large deviations principle (LDP) for diffusion pair $(X^\epsilon,\xi^\epsilon)=(X_t^\epsilon,\xi_t^\epsilon)$, where first component has a small diffusion parameter while the second is ergodic Markovian process with fast time.…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 R. Liptser

This note presents sharp inequalities for deviation probability of a general quadratic form of a random vector \(\xiv\) with finite exponential moments. The obtained deviation bounds are similar to the case of a Gaussian random vector. The…

概率论 · 数学 2013-02-08 Vladimir Spokoiny

We consider a Galton-Watson process $\mathbf{Z}% (n)=(Z_{1}(n),Z_{2}(n))$ with two types of particles. Particles of type 2 may produce offspring of both types while particles of type 1 may produce particles of their own type only. Let…

概率论 · 数学 2015-08-28 Charline Smadi , Vladimir A. Vatutin

We focus on the partial sum $S_{n}=X_{1}+\cdots+X_{n}$ of the critical branching process with immigration $\{X_{n}\}$, when the offspring $\xi$ is regularly varying with index $\nu+1$ and the immigration $\eta$ is regularly varying with…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Jiayan Guo , Wenming Hong

Large random matrices appear in different fields of mathematics and physics such as combinatorics, probability theory, statistics, operator theory, number theory, quantum field theory, string theory etc... In the last ten years, they…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Alice Guionnet

In this paper we study approximations for boundary crossing probabilities for the moving sums of i.i.d. normal random variables. We propose approximating a discrete time problem with a continuous time problem allowing us to apply developed…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-30 Jack Noonan , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

This paper deals with the large deviations behavior of a stochastic process called thinned Levy process. This process appeared recently as a stochastic-process limit in the context of critical inhomogeneous random graphs. The process has a…

We study large deviation properties of Telecom processes appearing as limits in a critical regime of infinite source Poisson models.

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-27 M. A. Lifshits , S. E. Nikitin

Large deviation inequalities for ergodic sums is an important subject since the seminal contribution of Bernstein for independent random variables with finite variances, followed by the Chernoff method and the Hoefding result for…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-12 Miguel Abadi

We study right tail large deviations of the logarithm of the partition function for directed lattice paths in i.i.d. random potentials. The main purpose is the derivation of explicit formulas for the $1+1$-dimensional exactly solvable case…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-17 Nicos Georgiou , Timo Seppäläinen

In this paper, we expand and generalize the findings presented in our previous work on the law of large numbers and the large deviation principle for Poisson processes with uniform catastrophes. We study three distinct scalings: sublinear…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-29 A. Logachov , O. Logachova , A. Yambartsev

We study the asymptotic behaviour of partial sums of long range dependent random variables and that of their counting process, together with an appropriately normalized integral process of the sum of these two processes, the so-called…

概率论 · 数学 2013-02-18 Endre Csáki , Miklós Csörgö , Rafal Kulik

We consider an indecomposable Galton-Watson branching process with countably infinitely many types. Assuming that the process is critical and allowing for infinite variance of the offspring sizes of some (or all) types of particles we…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-02 V. A. Topchii , V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

We construct two kinds of stochastic flows of discrete Galton-Watson branching processes. Some scaling limit theorems for the flows are proved, which lead to local and nonlocal branching superprocesses over the positive half line.

概率论 · 数学 2012-04-06 Hui He , Rugang Ma

We introduce and test an algorithm that adaptively estimates large deviation functions characterizing the fluctuations of additive functionals of Markov processes in the long-time limit. These functions play an important role for predicting…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-03-30 Grégoire Ferré , Hugo Touchette

We establish a large-deviations principle for the largest eigenvalue of a generalized sample covariance matrix, meaning a matrix proportional to $Z^T \Gamma Z$, where $Z$ has i.i.d. real or complex entries and $\Gamma$ is not necessarily…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-07 Jonathan Husson , Benjamin McKenna