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Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

In this paper a randomized version of the Beverton-Holt type discrete model is proposed. Its solution stochastic process and the random steady state are determined. Its first probability density function and second probability density…

综合数学 · 数学 2019-01-23 J. -C. Cortés , A. Navarro-Quiles , J. -V. Romero , M. -D. Roselló

Estimating hidden processes from non-linear noisy observations is particularly difficult when the parameters of these processes are not known. This paper adopts a machine learning approach to devise variational Bayesian inference for such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-05 Komlan Atitey , Pavel Loskot , Lyudmila Mihaylova

We address the problem of estimating unknown model parameters and state variables in stochastic reaction processes when only sparse and noisy measurements are available. Using an asymptotic system size expansion for the backward equation we…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2010-07-02 Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

Hawkes processes are a class of point processes that have the ability to model the self- and mutual-exciting phenomena. Although the classic Hawkes processes cover a wide range of applications, their expressive ability is limited due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-10 Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong , Yixuan Zhang , Cheng Feng , Jun Zhu

Multivariate point processes are widely applied to model event-type data such as natural disasters, online message exchanges, financial transactions or neuronal spike trains. One very popular point process model in which the probability of…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-27 Deborah Sulem , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

We consider a discrete-time version of a Hawkes process defined as a Poisson auto-regressive process whose parameters depend on the past of the trajectory. We allow these parameters to take on negative values, modelling inhibition. More…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-19 Manon Costa , Pascal Maillard , Anthony Muraro

Random processes with stationary increments and intrinsic random processes are two concepts commonly used to deal with non-stationary random processes. They are broader classes than stationary random processes and conceptually closely…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-05 Jongwook Kim

The Poisson distribution is the probability distribution of the number of independent events in a given period of time. Although the Poisson distribution appears ubiquitously in various stochastic dynamics of gene expression, both as…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-10-02 Julian Lee

The paper considers the stationary Poisson Boolean model with spherical grains and proposes a family of nonparametric estimators for the radius distribution. These estimators are based on observed distances and radii, weighted in an…

概率论 · 数学 2013-01-09 Daniel Hug , Günter Last , Zbyněk Pawlas , Wolfgang Weil

Dynamic heterogeneity has often been modeled by assuming that a single-particle observable, fluctuating at a molecular scale, is influenced by its coupling to environmental variables fluctuating on a second, perhaps slower, time scale.…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Gregor Diezemann , Gerald Hinze , Hans Sillescu

In this paper we introduce a model which provides a new approach to the phenomenon of stochastic resonance. It is based on the study of the properties of the stationary distribution of the underlying stochastic process. We derive the…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Peter Imkeller , Ilya Pavlyukevich

Many spatial processes exhibit nonstationary features. We estimate a variance function from a single process observation where the errors are nonstationary and correlated. We propose a difference-based approach for a one-dimensional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-24 Eunice J. Kim , Zhengyuan Zhu

We study a special case of the problem of statistical learning without the i.i.d. assumption. Specifically, we suppose a learning method is presented with a sequence of data points, and required to make a prediction (e.g., a classification)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-05-22 Steve Hanneke , Liu Yang

We introduce two non-homogeneous processes: a fractional non-homogeneous Poisson process of order $k$ and and a fractional non-homogeneous P\'olya-Aeppli process of order $k$. We characterize these processes by deriving their non-local…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-04 Tetyana Kadankova , Nikolai Leonenko , Enrico Scalas

This paper presents a unified treatment of Gaussian process models that extends to data from the exponential dispersion family and to survival data. Our specific interest is in the analysis of data sets with predictors that have an a priori…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-06-17 Terrance Savitsky , Marina Vannucci , Naijun Sha

We further study the stochastic model discussed in Ref.[2] in which positive and negative particles diffuse in an asymmetric, CP invariant way on a ring. The positive particles hop clockwise, the negative counter-clockwise and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Peter F. Arndt , Vladimir Rittenberg

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

In [Schuhmacher, Electron. J. Probab. 10 (2005), 165--201] estimates of the Barbour-Brown distance d_2 between the distribution of a thinned point process and the distribution of a Poisson process were derived by combining discretization…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Dominic Schuhmacher

We study the long-time behavior of stochastic models with an absorbing state, conditioned on survival. For a large class of processes, in which saturation prevents unlimited growth, statistical properties of the surviving sample attain…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Ronald Dickman , Ronaldo Vidigal