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This paper is devoted to a study of robust fundamental theorems of asset pricing in discrete time and finite horizon settings. Uncertainty is modelled by a (possibly uncountable) family of price processes on the same probability space. Our…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-04-04 Huy N. Chau

This paper consider a highly general dissemination model that keeps track of the stochastic evolution of the distribution of wealth over a set of agents. There are two types of events: (i) units of wealth externally arrive, and (ii) units…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-12 K. M. D. Chan , M. R. H. Mandjes

There is a lack of quantitative measures to evaluate the progression of topics through time in dynamic topic models (DTMs). Filling this gap, we propose a novel evaluation measure for DTMs that analyzes the changes in the quality of each…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-09-19 Charu James , Mayank Nagda , Nooshin Haji Ghassemi , Marius Kloft , Sophie Fellenz

This manuscript presents an advanced framework for Bayesian learning by incorporating action and state-dependent signal variances into decision-making models. This framework is pivotal in understanding complex data-feedback loops and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-29 Kaiwen Hou

We present a new model for credit index derivatives, in the top-down approach. This model has a dynamic loss intensity process with volatility and jumps and can include counterparty risk. It handles CDS, CDO tranches, Nth-to-default and…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2009-11-10 Louis Paulot

This paper proposes a market consistent valuation framework for variable annuities with guaranteed minimum accumulation benefit, death benefit and surrender benefit features. The setup is based on a hybrid model for the financial market and…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-05-24 Laura Ballotta , Ernst Eberlein , Thorsten Schmidt , Raghid Zeineddine

We present a novel approach to modeling market dynamics using ordinary differential equations that explicitly incorporates product competitiveness and consumer behavior. Our framework treats market segments as interacting populations in a…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-11-26 Aparna Komarla , Max Hill

This paper investigates the equilibrium portfolio selection for smooth ambiguity preferences in a continuous-time market. The investor is uncertain about the risky asset's drift term and updates the subjective belief according to the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-02-17 Guohui Guan , Zongxia Liang , Jianming Xia

This paper reviews some of the phenomenological models which have been introduced to incorporate the scaling properties of financial data. It also illustrates a microscopic model, based on heterogeneous interacting agents, which provides a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Giulia Iori

In this paper, we investigate a financial market model consisting of a risky asset, modeled as a general diffusion parameterized by a scale function and a speed measure, and a bank account process with a constant interest rate. This…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-12-09 Alexis Anagnostakis , David Criens , Mikhail Urusov

Agents' heterogeneity is recognized as a driver mechanism for the persistence of financial volatility. We focus on the multiplicity of investment strategies' horizons, we embed this concept in a continuous time stochastic volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-04-04 Danilo Delpini , Giacomo Bormetti

This article proposes a spatial dynamic structural equation model for the analysis of housing prices at the State level in the USA. The study contributes to the existing literature by extending the use of dynamic factor models to the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-12-23 Pasquale Valentini , Luigi Ippoliti , Lara Fontanella

Financial economic models often assume that investors know (or agree on) the fundamental value of the shares of the firm, easing the passage from the individual to the collective dimension of the financial system generated by the Share…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-09-27 Yuri Biondi , Pierpaolo Giannoccolo , Serge Galam

System identification in scenarios where the observed number of variables is less than the degrees of freedom in the dynamics is an important challenge. In this work we tackle this problem by using a recognition network to increase the…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-10-14 Constantino A. Garcia , Paulo Felix , Jesus M. Presedo , Abraham Otero

We unify and establish equivalence between the pathwise and the quasi-sure approaches to robust modelling of financial markets in discrete time. In particular, we prove a Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing and a Superhedging Theorem,…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-12-04 Jan Obloj , Johannes Wiesel

We consider a discrete-time, linear state equation with delay which arises as a model for a trader's account value when buying and selling a risky asset in a financial market. The state equation includes a nonnegative feedback gain $\alpha$…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-07-23 Chung-Han Hsieh , B. Ross Barmish , John A. Gubner

We propose a novel framework for modeling time-varying persistence in economic time series, allowing for smoothly evolving heterogeneity in shock dynamics. We leverage localized regression techniques to flexibly identify changes in…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2025-06-06 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

The paper proposes a class of financial market models which are based on inhomogeneous telegraph processes and jump diffusions with alternating volatilities. It is assumed that the jumps occur when the tendencies and volatilities are…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2008-12-04 Nikita Ratanov

The paper studies derivative asset analysis in structural credit risk models where the asset value of the firm is not fully observable. It is shown that in order to compute the price dynamics of traded securities one needs to solve a…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2017-05-03 Ruediger Frey , Lars Roesler , Dan Lu

While simulations have been utilized in diverse domains, such as urban growth modeling, market dynamics modeling, etc; some of these applications may require validations based upon some real-world observations modeled in the simulation, as…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2019-08-12 Dongjun Kim , Tae-Sub Yun , Il-Chul Moon