English

Adaptive Bayesian Learning with Action and State-Dependent Signal Variance

Methodology 2023-11-29 v2 Machine Learning Econometrics Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

This manuscript presents an advanced framework for Bayesian learning by incorporating action and state-dependent signal variances into decision-making models. This framework is pivotal in understanding complex data-feedback loops and decision-making processes in various economic systems. Through a series of examples, we demonstrate the versatility of this approach in different contexts, ranging from simple Bayesian updating in stable environments to complex models involving social learning and state-dependent uncertainties. The paper uniquely contributes to the understanding of the nuanced interplay between data, actions, outcomes, and the inherent uncertainty in economic models.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2311.12878,
  title  = {Adaptive Bayesian Learning with Action and State-Dependent Signal Variance},
  author = {Kaiwen Hou},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2311.12878},
  year   = {2023}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T13:27:48.156Z