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Large deviation theory is a branch of probability theory that is devoted to a study of the "rate" at which empirical estimates of various quantities converge to their true values. The object of study in this paper is the rate at which…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-09-17 Mathukumalli Vidyasagar

The asymptotic variance is an important criterion to evaluate the performance of Markov chains, especially for the central limit theorems. We give the variational formulas for the asymptotic variance of discrete-time (non-reversible) Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-29 Lu-Jing Huang , Yong-Hua Mao

The theory of $L^2$-spectral gaps for reversible Markov chains has been studied by many authors. In this paper we consider positive recurrent general state space Markov chains with stationary transition probabilities. Replacing the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-08-07 Achim Wuebker , Zakhar Kabluchko

In this article, we consider products of ergodic Markov chains and discuss their cutoffs in the total variation. Through a new inequality relating the total variation and the Hellinger distance, we may identify the total variation cutoffs…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-13 Guan-Yu Chen , Takashi Kumagai

For every given real value of the ratio $\mu:=A_X/G_X>1$ of the arithmetic and geometric means of a positive random variable $X$ and every real $v>0$, exact upper bounds on the right- and left-tail probabilities $\mathsf{P}(X/G_X\ge v)$ and…

概率论 · 数学 2021-03-30 Iosif Pinelis

A large deviation principle is derived for stochastic partial differential equations with slow-fast components. The result shows that the rate function is exactly that of the averaged equation plus the fluctuating deviation which is a…

概率论 · 数学 2010-01-28 Wei Wang , A. J. Roberts , Jinqiao Duan

On the basis of the Vlasov chain of equations, a new infinite dispersion chain of equations is obtained for the distribution functions of mixed higher order kinematical values. In contrast to the Vlasov chain, the dispersion chain contains…

数学物理 · 物理学 2022-01-26 E. E. Perepelkin , B. I. Sadovnikov , N. G. Inozemtseva , I. I. Aleksandrov

This paper presents an elementary proof of stochastic stability of a discrete-time reversible Markov chain starting from a Foster-Lyapunov drift condition. Besides its relative simplicity, there are two salient features of the proof: (i) it…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-19 Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta

We introduce a general algorithm for the computation of the scale functions of a spectrally negative L\'evy process $X$, based on a natural weak approximation of $X$ via upwards skip-free continuous-time Markov chains with stationary…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-21 Aleksandar Mijatović , Matija Vidmar , Saul Jacka

Using the renewal approach we prove exponential inequalities for additive functionals and empirical processes of ergodic Markov chains, thus obtaining counterparts of inequalities for sums of independent random variables. The inequalities…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-18 Radosław Adamczak , Witold Bednorz

Markov processes restarted or reset at random times to a fixed state or region in space have been actively studied recently in connection with random searches, foraging, and population dynamics. Here we study the large deviations of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-01-06 Janusz M. Meylahn , Sanjib Sabhapandit , Hugo Touchette

Given an irreducible discrete-time Markov chain on a finite state space, we consider the largest expected hitting time $T(\alpha)$ of a set of stationary measure at least $\alpha$ for $\alpha\in(0,1)$. We obtain tight inequalities among the…

We use the $f-divergence$ also called relative entropy as a measure of diversity between probability densities and review its basic properties. In the sequence we define a few objects which capture relevant information from the sample of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-06-20 A. R. Baigorri , C. R. Goncalves , P. A. A. Resende

The upper extremes of a Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution are known to exhibit under general conditions a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. More generally, if the Markov chain is…

概率论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Johan Segers

Reversible Markov chains play a central role in stochastic modelling and in algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Motivated by the fundamental importance of reversibility in classical settings, this paper develops a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Damjan Škulj

Bernstein's theorem (also called Hausdorff--Bernstein--Widder theorem) enables the integral representation of a completely monotonic function. We introduce a finite completely monotonic function, which is a completely monotonic function…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-07-25 Yohei M. Koyama

We propose an exact technique to calculate lower bounds of spectral gaps of discrete time reversible Markov chains on finite state sets. Spectral gaps are a common tool for evaluating convergence rates of Markov chains. As an illustration,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-08-31 N. Destainville

Random sampling of large Markov matrices with a tunable spectral gap, a nonuniform stationary distribution, and a nondegenerate limiting empirical spectral distribution (ESD) is useful. Fix $c>0$ and $p>0$. Let $A_n$ be the adjacency matrix…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-09 Zhiyi Chi

We show sharp bounds for probabilities of large deviations for sums of independent random variables satisfying Bernstein's condition. One such bound is very close to the tail of the standard Gaussian law in certain case; other bounds…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-13 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

We consider a sequence of additive functionals {\phi_n}, set on a sequence of Markov chains {X_n} that weakly converges to a Markov process X. We give sufficient condition for such a sequence to converge in distribution, formulated in terms…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Yuri N. Kartashov , Alexey M. Kulik