Markov Chain Order Estimation and Relative Entropy
Statistics Theory
2012-06-20 v5 Methodology
Statistics Theory
Abstract
We use the also called relative entropy as a measure of diversity between probability densities and review its basic properties. In the sequence we define a few objects which capture relevant information from the sample of a Markov Chain to be used in the definition of a couple of estimators i.e. the Local Dependency Level and Global Dependency Level for a Markov chain sample. After exploring their properties we propose a new estimator for the Markov chain order. Finally we show a few tables containing numerical simulation results, comparing the performance of the new estimator with the well known and already established AIC and BIC estimators.
Cite
@article{arxiv.0910.0264,
title = {Markov Chain Order Estimation and Relative Entropy},
author = {A. R. Baigorri and C. R. Goncalves and P. A. A. Resende},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:0910.0264},
year = {2012}
}
Comments
Revised for better and shorter proof, new numerical simulations as well as improved references