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This paper presents a novel systematic methodology to obtain new simple and tight approximations, lower bounds, and upper bounds for the Gaussian Q-function, and functions thereof, in the form of a weighted sum of exponential functions.…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-21 Islam M. Tanash , Taneli Riihonen

We consider covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes with functional inputs. From an increasing-domain asymptotics perspective, we prove the asymptotic consistency and normality of the maximum likelihood estimator. We extend…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-16 Lucas Reding , Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc

Gaussian random processes which variances reach theirs maximum values at unique points are considered. Exact asymptotic behaviors of probabilities of large absolute maximums of theirs trajectories have been evaluated using Double Sum Method…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-29 E. Hashorva , S. Kobelkov , V. I. Piterbarg

In this paper we develop non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation results for the sampling distribution of suprema of empirical processes when the indexing function class $\mathcal{F}_n$ varies with the sample size $n$ and may not be Donsker.…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-06 Alexander Giessing

We consider the asymptotic behavior of the fluctuations for the empirical measures of interacting particle systems with singular kernels. We prove that the sequence of fluctuation processes converges in distribution to a generalized…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-31 Zhenfu Wang , Xianliang Zhao , Rongchan Zhu

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is a widely used method for maximum likelihood estimation in models with latent variables. For estimating mixtures of Gaussians, its iteration can be viewed as a soft version of the k-means…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-06 Constantinos Daskalakis , Christos Tzamos , Manolis Zampetakis

This paper addresses the issue of estimating the expectation of a real-valued random variable of the form $X = g(\mathbf{U})$ where $g$ is a deterministic function and $\mathbf{U}$ can be a random finite- or infinite-dimensional vector.…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2015-09-10 Clément Walter

Practitioners building classifiers often start with a smaller pilot dataset and plan to grow to larger data in the near future. Such projects need a toolkit for extrapolating how much classifier accuracy may improve from a 2x, 10x, or 50x…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Ethan Harvey , Wansu Chen , David M. Kent , Michael C. Hughes

This paper investigates the approximation of Gaussian random variables in Banach spaces, focusing on the high-probability bounds for the approximation of Gaussian random variables using finitely many observations. We derive non-asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-28 Daniel Winkle , Ingo Steinwart , Bernard Haasdonk

We propose a straightforward and effective method for discretizing multi-dimensional diffusion processes as an extension of Milstein scheme. The new scheme is explicitly given and can be simulated using Gaussian variates, requiring the same…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-09-04 Yuga Iguchi , Toshihiro Yamada

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

We consider the classical problem of learning, with arbitrary accuracy, the natural parameters of a $k$-parameter truncated \textit{minimal} exponential family from i.i.d. samples in a computationally and statistically efficient manner. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-13 Abhin Shah , Devavrat Shah , Gregory W. Wornell

We provide upper bounds of the expected Wasserstein distance between a probability measure and its empirical version, generalizing recent results for finite dimensional Euclidean spaces and bounded functional spaces. Such a generalization…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-29 Jing Lei

This paper introduces a general method to approximate the convolution of an arbitrary program with a Gaussian kernel. This process has the effect of smoothing out a program. Our compiler framework models intermediate values in the program…

图形学 · 计算机科学 2017-06-06 Yuting Yang , Connelly Barnes

In this work, we investigate Gaussian process regression used to recover a function based on noisy observations. We derive upper and lower error bounds for Gaussian process regression with possibly misspecified correlation functions. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-20 Wenjia Wang , Bing-Yi Jing

Optimization of expensive computer models with the help of Gaussian process emulators in now commonplace. However, when several (competing) objectives are considered, choosing an appropriate sampling strategy remains an open question. We…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-10-03 Victor Picheny

We present a review of some recent results on estimation of location parameter for several models of observations with cusp-type singularity at the change point. We suppose that the cusp-type models fit better to the real phenomena…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-13 S. Dachian , N. Kordzakhia , Yu. A. Kutoyants , A. Novikov

This paper considers approximate smoothing for discretely observed non-linear stochastic differential equations. The problem is tackled by developing methods for linearising stochastic differential equations with respect to an arbitrary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-21 Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

We extend the theoretical results for any FOU(p) processes for the case in which the Hurst parameter is less than 1/2 and we show theoretically and by simulations that under some conditions on T and the sample size n it is possible to…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-10 Juan Kalemkerian

We study the small deviation probabilities of a family of very smooth self-similar Gaussian processes. The canonical process from the family has the same scaling property as standard Brownian motion and plays an important role in the study…

概率论 · 数学 2011-08-18 Frank Aurzada , Fuchang Gao , Thomas Kühn , Wenbo V. Li , Qi-Man Shao